Mothercare PLC (MTC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 3.9M GBX · ISIN GB0009067447
What is Mothercare PLC really worth?
A solid business, trading 14% below our fair value of £0.0082.
As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Mothercare PLC is £0.0082 per share against a price of £0.0071, so the fair value sits 16% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from £0.0069 to £0.0082 (+18.9%) since Jul 19, 2026.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (£0.0081). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The models converge in a tight band (£0.0081 to £0.0084), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.0061 – £0.1970 · fair‑value band £0.0081 – £0.0084 · the £0.0071 price screens below the £0.0082 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Mothercare PLC (MTC) currently trades at £0.0071, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.0082, implying the stock looks roughly 14.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £0.0082 per share, and 3 of the 11 models we run sit above the £0.0071 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at £0.0031, and 8 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Mothercare PLC generated revenue of £29.5M at a net margin of 21.4%. Revenue declined 44.8% year over year. Net debt stands at £4.5M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.7. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £0.0081 (bear case) to £0.0084 (bull case); at £0.0071, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 16%, MTC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly £0.0100 per share, which is 122.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (£0.0082) versus Earnings-Based (£0.0031). Highest evidence: EPV (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Mothercare plc, through its subsidiaries, operates as a specialist franchisor of products for parents and young children under the Mothercare brand. The company provides clothing, footwear, home and travel products, and toys. It operates through Mothercare stores, as well as online stores under the Mothercare brand.
Full company description
Mothercare plc, through its subsidiaries, operates as a specialist franchisor of products for parents and young children under the Mothercare brand. The company provides clothing, footwear, home and travel products, and toys. It operates through Mothercare stores, as well as online stores under the Mothercare brand. Mothercare plc was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Hemel Hempstead, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mothercare PLC reported revenue of 38.9M GBX in FY2025 versus 85.8M GBX in FY2021, a compound −17.9%/yr. Reported net income was 6.2M GBX in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 218 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$89.93 | C$104.32 | +16% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $755.47 | $398.90 | −47% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $235.09 | $162.63 | −31% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $537.10 | $475.40 | −11% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $139.15 | $233.87 | +68% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $82.44 | $108.04 | +31% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥54.97 | ¥40.40 | −27% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $34.72 | $35.52 | +2% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $259.41 | $117.29 | −55% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $574.12 | $423.35 | −26% |
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