MTR Corporation (MTCPY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $26.7B
MTR Corporation
MTCPY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $16.02 to $14.68 (−8.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.0% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $8.17 – $14.40 · fair‑value band $11.01 – $18.35 · the $12.75 price screens below the $14.68 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
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MTR Corporation (MTCPY) currently trades at $12.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.68, implying the stock looks roughly 15.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, MTR Corporation generated revenue of $55.5B at a net margin of 27.6%. Revenue declined 8.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. Net debt stands at $44.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $11.01 (bear case) to $18.35 (bull case); at $12.75, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 15%, MTCPY screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
MTR Corporation Limited engages in railway design, construction, operation, maintenance, and investment in Hong Kong, Australia, Mainland China, Macao, Sweden, and the United Kingdom. It operates through Hong Kong Transport Operations; Hong Kong Station Commercial Businesses; Hong Kong Property Rental and Management Businesses; Hong Kong Property Development; Mainland China and International Railway, Property Rental and Management Businesses; Mainland China Property Development; and Other Businesses segments. The company offers passenger operation and related services on the domestic mass transit railway system, the Airport Express, cross-boundary railway connections, light rail and bus feeder with railway system, and intercity railway transport. It is also involved in railway project management and property development businesses; station commercial business, including leasing of station retail space, leasing of advertising space inside trains and stations, and enabling of …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MTR Corporation reported revenue of $55.4B in FY2025 versus $47.2B in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was $14.0B in FY2025, compounding +10.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Assessing MTR (SEHK:66) Valuation After A Mixed Year Of Share Price Moves
- The Hong Kong Chartered Governance Institute Announces Gill Meller's Appointment as President of The Chartered Governance Institute
- MTR Lab and ZGC Science City Ltd Establish Ecosystem Partnership
- Fosun International Receives "Certificate of Excellence in Environmental, Social and Governance Reporting" from Hong Kong Management Associa
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $267.03 | $124.29 | -53% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $46.20 | $11.13 | -76% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $90.15 | $21.86 | -76% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNR | C$167.94 | C$57.43 | -66% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $313.45 | $81.84 | -74% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation W1AB34 | R$642.84 | R$341.60 | -47% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.64 | ¥5.65 | +22% |
| East Japan Railway Company EJPRF | $22.24 | $21.77 | -2% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.66 | ¥11.32 | +100% |
| Central Japan Railway Company CJPRF | $24.05 | $37.19 | +55% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.