PT Metropolitan Land Tbk, (MTLA) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · ID · Market cap 3.8T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price +1.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 76% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (687.76 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 274.60 IDR – 642.29 IDR · fair‑value band 687.76 IDR – 1,146 IDR · the 520.00 IDR price screens below the 917.01 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
PT Metropolitan Land Tbk, (MTLA) currently trades at 520.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 917.01 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 76.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Metropolitan Land Tbk, generated revenue of 1.8T IDR at a net margin of 22.5%. Revenue declined 0.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at 611B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 687.76 IDR (bear case) to 1,146 IDR (bull case); at 520.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 76%, MTLA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (917.01 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (193.53 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Metropolitan Land Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, develops residential and commercial properties in Indonesia. It operates through Real Estate, Shopping Center, Hotel, and Others segments. The company's development portfolio comprises housing, hotels, recreation centers, sports centers, shopping centers, apartments, and offices.
Full company description
PT Metropolitan Land Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, develops residential and commercial properties in Indonesia. It operates through Real Estate, Shopping Center, Hotel, and Others segments. The company's development portfolio comprises housing, hotels, recreation centers, sports centers, shopping centers, apartments, and offices. It also engages in land acquisition; rental of land, shopping centers, and apartments; hotel construction and operation; sale of land and buildings, including residential houses shop houses, office houses, apartments, and offices; operation of sports centers and recreation centers; provision of management services; and restaurant and food industry activities. PT Metropolitan Land Tbk was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Bekasi, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Metropolitan Land Tbk, reported revenue of 1.8T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.2T IDR in FY2021, a compound +10.4%/yr. Reported net income was 413B IDR in FY2025, compounding +2.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +5.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 520 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC | 223,000 VND | 25,731 VND | -88% |
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$44.76 | HK$18.03 | -60% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$23.90 | HK$18.75 | -22% |
| China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 | HK$39.92 | HK$34.92 | -13% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 3,725 CLP | 5,571 CLP | +50% |
| SAGAA SAGAA | kr 170.00 | kr 75.55 | -56% |
| Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS | 2,324 CLP | 2,976 CLP | +28% |
| WHA Corporation WHAR | 5.45 THB | 4.14 THB | -24% |
| PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR | 372.00 IDR | 1,208 IDR | +225% |
| PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK | 3,530 IDR | 3,464 IDR | -2% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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