Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Metropolitan Land Tbk IDR 514, price IDR 520, upside -1.2%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 274.60 IDR – 642.29 IDR · fair‑value band 512.16 IDR – 712.12 IDR · the 520.00 IDR price screens above the 513.89 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Metropolitan Land Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, develops residential and commercial properties in Indonesia. It operates through Real Estate, Shopping Center, Hotel, and Others segments. The company's development portfolio comprises housing, hotels, recreation centers, sports centers, shopping centers, apartments, and offices.
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PT Metropolitan Land Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, develops residential and commercial properties in Indonesia. It operates through Real Estate, Shopping Center, Hotel, and Others segments. The company's development portfolio comprises housing, hotels, recreation centers, sports centers, shopping centers, apartments, and offices. It also engages in land acquisition; rental of land, shopping centers, and apartments; hotel construction and operation; sale of land and buildings, including residential houses shop houses, office houses, apartments, and offices; operation of sports centers and recreation centers; provision of management services; and restaurant and food industry activities. PT Metropolitan Land Tbk was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Bekasi, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA) currently trades at 520.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 513.89 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 1.2% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 917.01 IDR per share, and 6 of the 9 models we run sit above the 520.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 124.49 IDR, and 3 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 512.16 IDR (bear) to 712.12 IDR (bull), the price of 520.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Metropolitan Land Tbk reported revenue of 1.8T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.2T IDR in FY2021, a compound +10.4%/yr. Reported net income was 413B IDR in FY2025, compounding +2.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.0T IDR (≈ $222M) · P/E ratio 10.0 · P/S ratio 2.31 · EPS (TTM) 52.22 IDR · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 23.2% · Return on equity 7.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −1%, MTLA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 512.16 IDRFair Value 513.89 IDRBull 712.12 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (38.34 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.48/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.0% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+4.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2% vs 4%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 27%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 547 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)23% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)20% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Metropolitan Land Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MTLA
Frequently asked questions
Is Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 513.89 IDR versus a price of 520.00 IDR, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MTLA?
Our model-based fair value for Metropolitan Land Tbk is 513.89 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 520.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of MTLA?
Metropolitan Land Tbk has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 513.89 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario 512.16 IDR, optimistic scenario 712.12 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Metropolitan Land Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 513.89 IDR, about −1% upside versus a price of 520.00 IDR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 512.16 IDR, optimistic scenario 712.12 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA)?
Metropolitan Land Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Metropolitan Land Tbk pay a dividend?
Metropolitan Land Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.25% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Metropolitan Land Tbk it is 513.89 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 520.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Metropolitan Land Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MTLA trades above its calculated fair value: price 520.00 IDR, fair value 513.89 IDR, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MTLA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (520.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (513.89 IDR). For Metropolitan Land Tbk the two are 6.11 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Metropolitan Land Tbk worth?
The market values Metropolitan Land Tbk at about 4.0T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 520.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 513.89 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MTLA?
Our models span a range for Metropolitan Land Tbk: cautious scenario 512.16 IDR, base 513.89 IDR, optimistic 712.12 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 520.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MTLA?
Metropolitan Land Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 513.89 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 6.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Metropolitan Land Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.9%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MTLA from its 52-week high?
Metropolitan Land Tbk trades at 520.00 IDR, about 19% below its 52-week high of 642.29 IDR and 29% above the low of 402.05 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 513.89 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Metropolitan Land Tbk?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Metropolitan Land Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 520.00 IDR, calculated fair value 513.89 IDR (−1%), Quality Score 52/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MTLA calculated?
We run Metropolitan Land Tbk through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 513.89 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Metropolitan Land Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 520.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 513.89 IDR, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Metropolitan Land Tbk right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA) come from?
Earnings per share at Metropolitan Land Tbk grew +6.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.6 %, EBIT margin −2.4 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Metropolitan Land Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA)?
The market capitalisation of Metropolitan Land Tbk is 4.0T IDR (≈ $222M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Metropolitan Land Tbk is 2.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA)?
Earnings per share at Metropolitan Land Tbk are 52.22 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA)?
The dividend yield of Metropolitan Land Tbk is 2.2% (payout 22.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA)?
The net margin of Metropolitan Land Tbk is 23.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Metropolitan Land Tbk is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Metropolitan Land Tbk is 6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA)?
The operating margin of Metropolitan Land Tbk is 20.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA)?
Revenue at Metropolitan Land Tbk is growing −0.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA)?
Earnings per share at Metropolitan Land Tbk are growing −17.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA) generate?
The free cash flow of Metropolitan Land Tbk is −211B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Metropolitan Land Tbk (MTLA) carry?
The net debt of Metropolitan Land Tbk is 611B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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