Mitsui Matsushima Holdings (MTSMF) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $333M
Mitsui Matsushima Holdings
MTSMF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Below-average quality, screening 15% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($7.23 to $13.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from $7.23 (bear) to $13.41 (bull), base $10.32. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 41/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
12‑month range $8.06 – $9.00 · fair‑value band $7.23 – $13.41 · the $9.00 price screens below the $10.32 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Mitsui Matsushima Holdings (MTSMF) currently trades at $9.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.32, implying the stock looks roughly 14.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Mitsui Matsushima Holdings generated revenue of $65.5B at a net margin of 10.3%. Revenue grew 6.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.1%. Net debt stands at $44.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.23 (bear case) to $13.41 (bull case); at $9.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 15%, MTSMF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($17.01) versus Growth DCF ($4.92). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Mitsui Matsushima Holdings Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the consumer goods, industrial products, and energy business in Japan and internationally. The company operates, generates, and sells solar power to electric power companies.
Full company description
Mitsui Matsushima Holdings Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the consumer goods, industrial products, and energy business in Japan and internationally. The company operates, generates, and sells solar power to electric power companies. The company offers produces and sells drinking straws and food containers; office equipment centering on shredders; sells pet foods and related products; sells of hardware and plastic products for housing and furniture; and sells roll products, such as recording paper for register rolls. It provides mask blanks for liquid crystal panels, organic EL and electronic components; measurement devices and production facilities for crystal devices and related hardware and software; insulator strings and metal fittings; food processing machines; sells power transmission chains and conveyer chains; sells industrial roller chains; real estate lending for business operators and real estate brokerages; engages in holding, investment, management, and trading of stocks; operates and manages renewable energy power generation including solar power generation; manages real estate owned in Nagasaki Prefecture, and Mitsui Minato Club. The company was formerly known as Mitsui Matsushima Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Mitsui Matsushima Holdings Co., Ltd. in 2018. Mitsui Matsushima Holdings Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1913 and is headquartered in Fukuoka City, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Mitsui Matsushima Holdings reported revenue of $65.5B in FY2026 versus $46.6B in FY2022, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was $6.7B in FY2026, compounding +5.6%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 101 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥42.65 | ¥34.97 | -18% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹3,157 | ₹901.17 | -71% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥24.30 | ¥23.90 | -2% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥20.23 | ¥13.24 | -35% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹427.65 | ₹464.01 | +9% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥12.54 | ¥13.97 | +11% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥25.13 | ¥21.99 | -12% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥16.26 | ¥7.20 | -56% |
| PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, ADRO | 2,490 IDR | 3,220 IDR | +29% |
| PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, CUAN | 630.00 IDR | 360.72 IDR | -43% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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