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Movella Holdings Inc. (MVLA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Movella Holdings Inc. $0.00, price $0.00, upside -50.0%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · US · ISIN US62459N1054

MH Movella Holdings Inc. logo Thin data Oct 4, 2026

Movella Holdings Inc.

MVLA · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Low debt
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +17.6 %/yr in USD)
Fair value $0.0002 · Strongly overvalued (−50.0%)
Quality 37/100
Loss-making · -45.0% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/9)
Narrow moat 6/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$10.50 $0.0001 Fair Value $0.0002 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0001 – $10.50 · fair‑value band $0.0002 – $0.0002 · the $0.0004 price screens above the $0.0002 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Movella Holdings Inc. operates as a full-stack provider of sensors, software, and analytics that enable the digitization of movement in the United States. Its real-time character movement in digital environments transforms movement into digital data that provides actionable insights.

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Movella Holdings Inc. operates as a full-stack provider of sensors, software, and analytics that enable the digitization of movement in the United States. Its real-time character movement in digital environments transforms movement into digital data that provides actionable insights. The company offers Xsens 3D Body Motion Systems comprises wearable sensor systems and motion capture solutions, including MVN Animate or MVN Analyze software, a full-body wearable sensor system, which captures the motion of the human body. It also provides Xsens sensor modules that enables customers to accelerate the development of motion-based applications; and DOT wearables for analysis and reporting of human kinematics. In addition, the company offers Kinduct human performance platform that provides biomechanical, biometric, and objective data for athletic performance, wellness, and injury risk. It serves the entertainment, health and sports, and automation and mobility markets. Movella Holdings Inc. is based in Henderson, Nevada.

Stock analysis

Movella Holdings Inc. (MVLA) currently trades at $0.0004, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0002, 50.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0002 (bear) to $0.0002 (bull), the price of $0.0004 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Movella Holdings Inc. reported revenue of $40.5M in FY2022 versus $24.0M in FY2020, a compound +29.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$217K in FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $50.9K · P/E ratio 0.0 · EPS (TTM) $5.80 · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity −26.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.9% · Operating margin −92.6% · Revenue (TTM) $39.9M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 84% below its 52-week high and 300% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −50%, MVLA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0002 Fair Value $0.0002 Bull $0.0002
Price $0.0004 · Upside -50.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings $0.0001 $0.0002 $0.0004 62
NCAV (Graham) $0.0001 $0.0002 $0.0002 54
All 2 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.0001 $0.0002 $0.0004 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0001 $0.0002 $0.0002 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 12
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

MVLA screens overvalued: fair value 50% below the price. Compare with SAP SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 675 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −50.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −10.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −45.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −92.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.10× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 41
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €188.60 €172.46 −9%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $229.79 $342.73 +49%
Shopify Inc SHOP $151.39 $64.36 −57%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $136.08 $149.69 +10%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $68.11 $103.69 +52%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $341.04 $74.36 −78%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $257.68 $150.01 −42%
Adobe Inc ADBE $239.94 $454.04 +89%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $277.22 $32.52 −88%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $351.35 $225.48 −36%

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Movella Holdings Inc. · Fair Value
$0.0002 −50%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Movella Holdings Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MVLA

Frequently asked questions

Is Movella Holdings Inc. (MVLA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0002 versus a price of $0.0004, about −50% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MVLA?
Our model-based fair value for Movella Holdings Inc. is $0.0002 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0004.
What is the quality score of MVLA?
Movella Holdings Inc. has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Movella Holdings Inc. (MVLA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0002 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0002, optimistic scenario $0.0002. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Movella Holdings Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0002, about −50% upside versus a price of $0.0004 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0002, optimistic scenario $0.0002. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Movella Holdings Inc. (MVLA)?
Movella Holdings Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $39.9M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Movella Holdings Inc. (MVLA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Movella Holdings Inc. it is $0.0002 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of $0.0004. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Movella Holdings Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, MVLA trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0004, fair value $0.0002, a gap of about −50% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MVLA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0004); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0002). For Movella Holdings Inc. the two are $0.0002 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Movella Holdings Inc. worth?
The market values Movella Holdings Inc. at about $50.9K (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is $0.0004; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0002 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MVLA?
Our models span a range for Movella Holdings Inc.: cautious scenario $0.0002, base $0.0002, optimistic $0.0002 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price $0.0004). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MVLA?
Movella Holdings Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.0 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.0002 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Movella Holdings Inc. (MVLA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Movella Holdings Inc. (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −26.1%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MVLA from its 52-week high?
Movella Holdings Inc. trades at $0.0004, about 84% below its 52-week high of $0.0025 and 300% above the low of $0.0001 (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0002 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Movella Holdings Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Movella Holdings Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price $0.0004, calculated fair value $0.0002 (−50%), Quality Score 37/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MVLA calculated?
We run Movella Holdings Inc. through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0002, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Movella Holdings Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Movella Holdings Inc. (MVLA)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was $0.0004. Our model-based fair value is $0.0002, about −50% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Movella Holdings Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0002). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. The models converge in a tight band ($0.0002 to $0.0002), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Movella Holdings Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Movella Holdings Inc. (MVLA)?
The market capitalisation of Movella Holdings Inc. is $50.9K. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Movella Holdings Inc. (MVLA)?
Earnings per share at Movella Holdings Inc. are $5.80 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Movella Holdings Inc. (MVLA)?
The net margin of Movella Holdings Inc. is −0.5% (fiscal year 2022). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Movella Holdings Inc. (MVLA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Movella Holdings Inc. is −26.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Movella Holdings Inc. (MVLA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Movella Holdings Inc. is −9.9% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Movella Holdings Inc. (MVLA)?
The operating margin of Movella Holdings Inc. is −92.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Movella Holdings Inc. (MVLA)?
Revenue at Movella Holdings Inc. is growing −2.5% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Movella Holdings Inc. (MVLA) generate?
The free cash flow of Movella Holdings Inc. is −$15.3M (fiscal year 2022). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Movella Holdings Inc. (MVLA) carry?
The net debt of Movella Holdings Inc. is $923K (fiscal year 2022). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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