Microvast Holdings (MVST) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $430M
Microvast Holdings
MVST · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $2.03 to $1.23 (−39.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −16.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 36% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.8800 to $1.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1606 – $14.70 · fair‑value band $0.8800 – $1.74 · the $0.9060 price screens below the $1.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Microvast Holdings (MVST) currently trades at $0.9060, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.23, implying the stock looks roughly 35.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Microvast Holdings generated revenue of $372M at a net margin of -11.5%. Revenue declined 48.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.3%. Net debt stands at $280M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.8800 (bear case) to $1.74 (bull case); at $0.9060, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 36%, MVST screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($3.61) versus Asset-Based ($0.8300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Microvast Holdings, Inc. engages in the design, development, and manufacturing of battery components and systems primarily for electric commercial vehicles and energy storage systems.
Full company description
Microvast Holdings, Inc. engages in the design, development, and manufacturing of battery components and systems primarily for electric commercial vehicles and energy storage systems. The company offers a range of cell chemistries, such as lithium titanate oxide, lithium iron phosphate, electrolyte formulation, full concentration gradient cathode, polyaramid separator, and nickel manganese cobalt. It also designs, develops, and manufactures components of lithium-ion batteries, such as cathode, anode, electrolytes, and separator. The company's commercial vehicle markets cover buses, trains, mining trucks, marine and port vehicles, and automated guided and specialty vehicles, as well as light, medium, and heavy-duty trucks. It operates in China, India, rest of the Asia Pacific, Italy, France, rest of Europe, and the United States. Microvast Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Stafford, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Microvast Holdings reported revenue of $428M in FY2025 versus $152M in FY2021, a compound +29.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$29.2M in FY2025.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- DEADLINE ALERT for PODD, MVST, HUBG: Law Offices of Howard G. Smith Reminds Investors of Opportunity to Lead Securities Fraud Class Actions
- MVST Shareholder Alert: September 21, 2026 Lead Plaintiff Deadline in Microvast Holdings, Inc. Securities Class Action - Contact SueWallSt
- Lead Plaintiff Deadlines in Shareholder Class Action Lawsuits Against Planet Fitness, Inc. (PLNT), Microvast Holdings, Inc. (MVST), and Equi
- ROSEN, A GLOBAL AND LEADING LAW FIRM, Encourages Microvast Holdings, Inc. Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securitie
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 642 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 25/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
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| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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