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MYR Group Inc (MYRG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of MYR Group Inc $160, price $295, upside -45.9%, quality 74 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · ISIN US55405W1045

MG MYR Group Inc logo Broad data Sep 24, 2026

MYR Group Inc

MYRG · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $159.70 · Strongly overvalued (−46%)
✓Quality 74/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +10.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Moderate moat 51/100
!Insider activity 30/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$501.13 $77.10 Fair Value $159.70 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $77.10 – $501.13 · fair‑value band $119.78 – $199.63 · the $295.18 price screens above the $159.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

MYR Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides electrical construction services in the United States and Canada. The company operates through two segments: Transmission and Distribution, and Commercial and Industrial.

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MYR Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides electrical construction services in the United States and Canada. The company operates through two segments: Transmission and Distribution, and Commercial and Industrial. Its Transmission and Distribution segment offers a range of services on electric transmission and distribution networks, and substation facilities, including design, engineering, procurement, construction, upgrade, maintenance, and repair services with primary focus on construction, maintenance, and repair to customers in the electric utility industry; and services, including construction and maintenance of high voltage transmission lines, substations, and lower voltage underground and overhead distribution systems, clean energy projects, and electric vehicle charging infrastructure services, as well as emergency restoration services in response to hurricane, wildfire, ice storm, or other related damages. This segment serves as prime contractor to customers, such as investor-owned utilities, cooperatives, private developers, government-funded utilities, independent power producers, independent transmission companies, industrial facility owners, and other contractors. The Commercial and Industrial segment provides a range of services, including design, installation, maintenance, and repair of commercial and industrial wiring; and installation of intelligent transportation systems, roadway lighting, and signalization for airports, hospitals, data centers, hotels, stadiums, commercial and industrial facilities, clean energy projects, manufacturing plants, processing facilities, water/waste-water treatment facilities, mining facilities, intelligent transportation systems, roadway lighting, signalization, and electric vehicle charging infrastructure. This segment serves general contractors, commercial and industrial facility owners, governmental agencies, and developers. MYR Group Inc. was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Thornton, Colorado.

Stock analysis

MYR Group Inc (MYRG) currently trades at $295.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $159.70, implying the stock looks roughly 84.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $232.83 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the $295.18 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $28.42, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $119.78 (bear) to $199.63 (bull), the price of $295.18 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

MYR Group Inc reported revenue of $3.7B in FY2025 versus $2.5B in FY2021, a compound +10.0%/yr. Reported net income was $118M in FY2025, compounding +8.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $6.2B · P/E ratio 33.8 · P/S ratio 1.09 · EPS (TTM) $8.74 · Net margin 3.2% · Return on equity 22.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.1% · Operating margin 6.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −46%, MYRG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $119.78 Fair Value $159.70 Bull $199.63
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($6.39 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $193.18 $339.67 $586.59 78
Growth DCF $191.05 $323.01 $536.35 76
Owner Earnings $81.10 $139.80 $238.75 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $193.18 $339.67 $586.59 78
Owner Earnings $81.10 $139.80 $238.75 74
5Y Revenue Exit $130.91 $209.92 $314.80 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $156.55 $263.04 $395.39 74
5Y P/E Exit $141.97 $232.83 $335.55 70
10Y Revenue Exit $147.75 $229.30 $350.27 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $167.54 $267.47 $416.54 67
10Y P/E Exit $158.07 $245.76 $367.33 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $51.71 $244.49 $336.24 64
Lynch FV $64.89 $92.70 $120.51 61
PEG = 1.0 $64.89 $92.70 $120.51 57
EPV $76.05 $87.09 $96.62 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $119.78 $159.70 $199.63 63
P/S Multiple $96.96 $129.28 $161.60 58
P/B Multiple $96.96 $129.28 $161.60 55
EV/EBIT $139.29 $183.68 $228.06 66
EV/EBITDA $149.61 $197.44 $245.26 67
EV/Revenue $101.18 $141.91 $182.63 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $21.21 $28.42 $42.41 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $191.05 $323.01 $536.35 76
Rev-Margin DCF $130.91 $209.41 $311.64 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $48.12 $63.48 $206.66 58
ROIC Compounder $85.36 $111.50 $144.78 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $102.34 $146.20 $190.06 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 79
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.2% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+11.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.17% vs 19%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 4%
2025 sits 53% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.5% a year for the price and +7.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+13.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+11.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+9.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+8.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+7.6%

MYRG screens 85% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 844 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −46% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 20% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 33.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B 9.40× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.62× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 26.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 23.4× · Priciest 25%
PEG 3.41× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)91 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Quanta Services, Inc PWR $642.63 $163.08 −75%
Vinci SA DG €112.30 €185.62 +65%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,625 $1,122 −31%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,866 ₹1,994 −48%
Ferrovial N.V FER $56.30 $24.01 −57%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 264,296 KRW −28%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €403.60 €203.87 −49%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €95.95 €75.04 −22%
EMCOR Group EME $756.50 $521.87 −31%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $221.69 $106.05 −52%

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MYR Group Inc · Fair Value
$159.70 −85%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MYR Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MYRG

Frequently asked questions

Is MYR Group Inc (MYRG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $159.70 versus a price of $295.18, about −46% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MYRG?
Our model-based fair value for MYR Group Inc is $159.70 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $295.18.
What is the quality score of MYRG?
MYR Group Inc has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MYR Group Inc (MYRG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $159.70 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $119.78, optimistic scenario $199.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MYR Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $159.70, about −46% upside versus a price of $295.18 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $119.78, optimistic scenario $199.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MYR Group Inc (MYRG)?
MYR Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into MYR Group Inc (MYRG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, MYR Group Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +11.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MYRG use?
Our models discount MYR Group Inc at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.31, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For MYR Group Inc that is +11.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has MYR Group Inc (MYRG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at MYR Group Inc grew +10.2 % a year. The price currently implies +11.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of MYR Group Inc (MYRG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into MYR Group Inc (+11.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of MYR Group Inc (MYRG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.00 %: that much free cash flow MYR Group Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of MYR Group Inc (MYRG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MYR Group Inc it is $159.70 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $295.18. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is MYR Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MYRG trades above its calculated fair value: price $295.18, fair value $159.70, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MYRG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($295.18); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($159.70). For MYR Group Inc the two are $135.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MYR Group Inc worth?
The market values MYR Group Inc at about $6.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $295.18; our models calculate a fair value of $159.70 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MYRG?
Our models span a range for MYR Group Inc: cautious scenario $119.78, base $159.70, optimistic $199.63 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $295.18). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MYRG?
MYR Group Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $159.70 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.4, P/B 9.4, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 23.4.
What is the PEG ratio of MYRG?
The PEG ratio of MYR Group Inc is 3.41 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of MYR Group Inc (MYRG)?
Balance-sheet figures for MYR Group Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 22.7%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 74/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MYRG from its 52-week high?
MYR Group Inc trades at $295.18, about 41% below its 52-week high of $501.13 and 61% above the low of $183.53 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $159.70 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MYR Group Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MYR Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $295.18, calculated fair value $159.70 (−46%), Quality Score 74/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MYRG calculated?
We run MYR Group Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $159.70, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. MYR Group Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MYR Group Inc (MYRG)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $295.18. Our model-based fair value is $159.70, about −46% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MYR Group Inc right now?
A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($199.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Where does the earnings growth of MYR Group Inc (MYRG) come from?
Earnings per share at MYR Group Inc grew +14.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +17.1 %, EBIT margin −3.6 %, tax rate +1.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of MYR Group Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of MYR Group Inc (MYRG)?
The market capitalisation of MYR Group Inc is $6.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MYR Group Inc (MYRG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MYR Group Inc is 1.09 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of MYR Group Inc (MYRG)?
Earnings per share at MYR Group Inc are $8.74 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of MYR Group Inc (MYRG)?
The net margin of MYR Group Inc is 3.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MYR Group Inc (MYRG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MYR Group Inc is 22.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MYR Group Inc (MYRG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MYR Group Inc is 8.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MYR Group Inc (MYRG)?
The operating margin of MYR Group Inc is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MYR Group Inc (MYRG)?
Revenue at MYR Group Inc is growing +20.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MYR Group Inc (MYRG)?
Earnings per share at MYR Group Inc are growing +106% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does MYR Group Inc (MYRG) hold?
MYR Group Inc holds more cash than debt, $46.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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