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MYR Group (MYRG) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $6.2B

MG MYR Group logo MYR Group MYRG · US
Price$337.42
Fair Value$159.70
Upside-52.7%
Quality74/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range $119.78 – $199.63 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −19.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 53% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($199.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$501.13 $77.10 Fair Value $159.70 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $77.10 – $501.13 · fair‑value band $119.78 – $199.63 · the $337.42 price screens above the $159.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

MYR Group (MYRG) currently trades at $337.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $159.70, implying the stock looks roughly 52.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, MYR Group generated revenue of $3.8B at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue grew 20.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $46.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $119.78 (bear case) to $199.63 (bull case); at $337.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 113% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -53%, MYRG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $187.52 $316.42 $524.52 80
Residual Income $48.69 $67.21 $271.55 76
Rev-Margin DCF $129.71 $207.64 $308.98 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $189.54 $332.45 $572.86 38
Owner Earnings $77.67 $133.40 $227.16 31
5Y Revenue Exit $129.71 $208.18 $312.35 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $155.31 $261.16 $392.64 41
5Y P/E Exit $140.75 $231.02 $333.01 38
10Y Revenue Exit $145.75 $226.44 $346.07 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $165.51 $264.48 $412.02 37
10Y P/E Exit $156.05 $242.84 $363.04 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $51.71 $243.30 $334.50 54
Lynch FV $64.47 $92.10 $119.72 50
PEG = 1.0 $64.47 $92.10 $119.72 46
EPV $76.05 $87.09 $96.62 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.68 $11.31 $17.13 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.68 $9.78 $11.94 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $119.78 $159.70 $199.63 63
P/S Multiple $96.96 $129.28 $161.60 58
P/B Multiple $96.96 $129.28 $161.60 55
EV/EBIT $139.29 $183.68 $228.06 53
EV/EBITDA $149.61 $197.44 $245.26 54
EV/Revenue $101.18 $141.91 $182.63 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $21.21 $28.42 $42.41 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $187.52 $316.42 $524.52 80
Rev-Margin DCF $129.71 $207.64 $308.98 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $48.69 $67.21 $271.55 76
ROIC Compounder $85.30 $111.34 $144.46 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $101.96 $145.66 $189.36 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($231.02) versus Dividend Discount ($9.78). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.0%
Net margin 3.7%
Return on equity 22.7%
Free cash flow $232M FY2025
P/E ratio 45.6
More key figures
Operating margin 6.4%
EPS (TTM) $8.74
EPS growth (YoY) +106%
Net cash $46.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 79
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 32
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MYR Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides electrical construction services in the United States and Canada. The company operates through two segments: Transmission and Distribution, and Commercial and Industrial.

Full company description

MYR Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides electrical construction services in the United States and Canada. The company operates through two segments: Transmission and Distribution, and Commercial and Industrial. Its Transmission and Distribution segment offers a range of services on electric transmission and distribution networks, and substation facilities, including design, engineering, procurement, construction, upgrade, maintenance, and repair services with primary focus on construction, maintenance, and repair to customers in the electric utility industry; and services, including construction and maintenance of high voltage transmission lines, substations, and lower voltage underground and overhead distribution systems, clean energy projects, and electric vehicle charging infrastructure services, as well as emergency restoration services in response to hurricane, wildfire, ice storm, or other related damages. This segment serves as prime contractor to customers, such as investor-owned utilities, cooperatives, private developers, government-funded utilities, independent power producers, independent transmission companies, industrial facility owners, and other contractors. The Commercial and Industrial segment provides a range of services, including design, installation, maintenance, and repair of commercial and industrial wiring; and installation of intelligent transportation systems, roadway lighting, and signalization for airports, hospitals, data centers, hotels, stadiums, commercial and industrial facilities, clean energy projects, manufacturing plants, processing facilities, water/waste-water treatment facilities, mining facilities, intelligent transportation systems, roadway lighting, signalization, and electric vehicle charging infrastructure. This segment serves general contractors, commercial and industrial facility owners, governmental agencies, and developers. MYR Group Inc. was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Thornton, Colorado.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MYR Group reported revenue of $3.7B in FY2025 versus $2.5B in FY2021, a compound +10.0%/yr. Reported net income was $118M in FY2025, compounding +8.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.7B
Latest YoY
+8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+9.1%
Revenue +10.0%/yr
FY21 $2.5B
FY22 $3.0B
FY23 $3.6B
FY24 $3.4B
FY25 $3.7B
Net income +8.6%/yr
FY21 $85.0M
FY22 $83.4M
FY23 $91.0M
FY24 $30.3M
FY25 $118M

MYRG screens 53% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MYR Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MYRG

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −53% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth 20% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 45.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 9.40× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.62× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 26.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 23.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 3.41× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 18
PAST 91 · sector 26
HEALTH 96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MYR Group (MYRG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $159.70 versus a price of $337.42, about −53% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MYRG?
Our model-based fair value for MYR Group is $159.70 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $337.42.
What is the quality score of MYRG?
MYR Group has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MYR Group (MYRG)?
MYR Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MYRG?
The net profit margin of MYR Group is about 3.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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