Mazda Motor Corporation (MZDAY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $4.5B
Mazda Motor Corporation
MZDAY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $734.06 to $3.99 (−99.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $2.59 – $4.14 · fair‑value band $3.00 – $4.99 · the $3.39 price screens below the $3.99 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
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Mazda Motor Corporation (MZDAY) currently trades at $3.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.99, implying the stock looks roughly 17.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Mazda Motor Corporation generated revenue of $4.9T at a net margin of 0.7%. Revenue grew 6.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $215B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.00 (bear case) to $4.99 (bull case); at $3.39, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 18%, MZDAY screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Mazda Motor Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of passenger cars and commercial vehicles in Japan, North America, Europe, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Toyo Kogyo Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Mazda Motor Corporation in May 1984. Mazda Motor Corporation was incorporated in 1920 and is headquartered in Hiroshima, Japan.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Mazda Motor Corporation reported revenue of $5.2T in FY2026 versus $3.1T in FY2022, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was $37.2B in FY2026, compounding −17.8%/yr from FY2022.
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Recent news
- Group 1 Mazda Denton Celebrates One Year Under the Group 1 Name
- Subaru Cars Have a Cultish Following. Why the Stock Deserves Investor Love.
- What My 200,000-Mile Mazda Taught Me About Value Investing
- Mazda Selects Panasonic Automotive Systems' Cockpit Domain Controller for All-New CX-5
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $169.73 | $201.26 | +19% |
| VOW3 VOW3 | €87.66 | €102.86 | +17% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$67.90 | HK$42.60 | -37% |
| Tesla, Inc TSLA | 39,580 ARS | 29,866 ARS | -25% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 511,000 KRW | 793,325 KRW | +55% |
| General Motors Company GMCO34 | R$105.40 | R$67.46 | -36% |
| Ferrari N.V 2FE | €295.15 | €114.02 | -61% |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N | 1,909 MXN | 1,185 MXN | -38% |
| 8TI 8TI | €5.87 | €18.06 | +208% |
| Ford Motor Company F | C$11.86 | C$16.14 | +36% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.