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Nazara Technologies Limited (NAZARA) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · IN · Market cap ₹113B

NT Nazara Technologies Limited NAZARA · NSE
Price₹350.10
Fair Value₹51.96
Upside-85.2%
Quality34/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 5.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 26/100
Evidence: High Range ₹29.64 – ₹51.96 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +14.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 85% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹51.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹160,205 ₹121.47 Fair Value ₹51.96 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹121.47 – ₹160,205 · fair‑value band ₹29.64 – ₹51.96 · the ₹350.10 price screens above the ₹51.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Nazara Technologies Limited (NAZARA) currently trades at ₹350.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹51.96, implying the stock looks roughly 85.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Nazara Technologies Limited generated revenue of ₹18.3B at a net margin of 5.2%. Revenue declined 23.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹402M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹29.64 (bear case) to ₹51.96 (bull case); at ₹350.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -85%, NAZARA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (₹10.55 to ₹211.61). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹22.99 ₹40.14 ₹68.25 80
Residual Income ₹67.38 ₹64.91 ₹53.83 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹15.11 ₹20.92 ₹33.20 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹24.09 ₹34.71 ₹68.53 38
Owner Earnings ₹96.11 ₹211.61 ₹454.08 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹14.31 ₹18.96 ₹28.55 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹56.33 ₹103.93 ₹197.61 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹42.88 ₹95.35 ₹167.96 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹17.09 ₹26.85 ₹31.79 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹47.96 ₹117.33 ₹243.85 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹38.15 ₹88.37 ₹173.49 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹17.59 ₹122.68 ₹172.17 54
Lynch FV ₹60.39 ₹86.28 ₹112.16 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹60.39 ₹86.28 ₹112.16 46
EPV ₹9.84 ₹10.55 ₹11.17 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹6.49 ₹13.50 ₹21.42 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹6.49 ₹11.38 ₹14.17 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹42.69 ₹56.91 ₹71.14 63
P/S Multiple ₹32.98 ₹43.98 ₹54.97 58
P/B Multiple ₹32.98 ₹43.98 ₹54.97 55
EV/EBIT ₹11.55 ₹13.54 ₹15.53 53
EV/EBITDA ₹66.06 ₹86.23 ₹106.39 54
EV/Revenue ₹10.10 ₹12.04 ₹13.99 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹46.88 ₹62.82 ₹93.76 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹22.99 ₹40.14 ₹68.25 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹15.11 ₹20.92 ₹33.20 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹67.38 ₹64.91 ₹53.83 76
ROIC Compounder ₹9.84 ₹10.55 ₹11.17 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹80.92 ₹115.60 ₹150.28 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹115.60) versus Economic Profit (₹10.55). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹18.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) -23.6%
Net margin 5.2%
Return on equity 2.0%
Free cash flow ₹408M FY2026
P/E ratio 12.9
More key figures
Operating margin 8.1%
EPS (TTM) ₹27.22
EPS growth (YoY) +64,663%
Net cash ₹402M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 26
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 63
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nazara Technologies Limited operates a gaming and sports media platform in India, Africa, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, the United States, and internationally. It operates through gaming and other segments. The company offers subscription, download of games, and support services.

Full company description

Nazara Technologies Limited operates a gaming and sports media platform in India, Africa, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, the United States, and internationally. It operates through gaming and other segments. The company offers subscription, download of games, and support services. It also provides interactive and online gaming, including gamified early learning ecosystems; e-sports; and advertising technology ecosystems. In addition, the company owns various IPs, including World Cricket Championship, Kiddopia, Animal Jam, Classic Rummy, Openplay, Halaplay, Nazara Telco Distribution, Nodwin, NODWIN Gaming, SportsKeeda, Ultimate Teen Patti, PokerBaazi, Crash Arena Turbo Stars, King of Thieves, Curve Games, Love Island, Big Brother, Fusebox Games, Funky Monkeys, Curve Games and Smaaash, Branded, Pro Football Network, Soap Central, Datawrkz, and Space and Time. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Mumbai, India with additional offices in Dubai, United Arab Emirates and Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Nazara Technologies Limited reported revenue of ₹18.3B in FY2026 versus ₹6.2B in FY2022, a compound +31.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹958M in FY2026, compounding +35.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹18.3B
Latest YoY
+12.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+32.1%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+31.1%
Revenue +31.0%/yr
FY22 ₹6.2B
FY23 ₹10.9B
FY24 ₹11.4B
FY25 ₹16.2B
FY26 ₹18.3B
Net income +35.5%/yr
FY22 ₹284M
FY23 ₹394M
FY24 ₹566M
FY25 ₹754M
FY26 ₹958M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) −2.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +20.7 pp

of which total revenue +26.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.7 pp

EBIT margin −18.8 pp
Tax rate +2.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −6.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

NAZARA screens 85% overvalued. Compare with NetEase, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nazara Technologies Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NAZARA

Peer Group

Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 156 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth -24% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.9× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 8 · sector 9
HEALTH 99 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 5 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NetEase, Inc 9999 HK$192.50 HK$262.75 +36%
Electronic Arts Inc EA $209.70 $76.57 -63%
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO $243.00 $60.20 -75%
Roblox Corporation RBLX $36.22 $21.20 -41%
Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 ¥14.29 ¥14.68 +3%
KRAFTON, Inc 259960 234,500 KRW 356,218 KRW +52%
Giant Network Group 002558 ¥28.57 ¥15.50 -46%
International Games System Co 3293 762.00 TWD 568.16 TWD -25%
37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 ¥19.21 ¥22.29 +16%
Kingnet Network Co 002517 ¥17.36 ¥12.86 -26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nazara Technologies Limited (NAZARA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹51.96 versus a price of ₹350.10, about −85% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NAZARA?
Our model-based fair value for Nazara Technologies Limited is ₹51.96 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹350.10.
What is the quality score of NAZARA?
Nazara Technologies Limited has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nazara Technologies Limited (NAZARA)?
Nazara Technologies Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹18.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NAZARA?
The net profit margin of Nazara Technologies Limited is about 5.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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