Northeast Bancorp (NBN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Northeast Bancorp $83.25, price $129, upside -35.5%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $28.68 – $137.51 · fair‑value band $59.72 – $129.73 · the $129.01 price screens above the $83.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Northeast Bank provides various banking services to individual and corporate customers in Maine. The company's deposit products include demand deposit, NOW, money market, savings, certificate of deposit, and checking accounts.
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Northeast Bank provides various banking services to individual and corporate customers in Maine. The company's deposit products include demand deposit, NOW, money market, savings, certificate of deposit, and checking accounts. Its loan portfolio comprises residential mortgage loans; multi-family and other commercial real estate loans; commercial and industrial loans, such as term loans, lines of credit and equipment, and receivables financing; and consumer loans, including mobile home and overdraft, and deposit-secured loans. The company also provides telephone banking, online banking and bill payment, mobile banking, and remote deposit capture services, as well as debit and credit card, ATM, electronic transfer, and check services. Northeast Bank was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Portland, Maine.
Stock analysis
Northeast Bancorp (NBN) currently trades at $129.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $83.25, implying the stock looks roughly 55.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $80.89 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $129.01 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $38.71, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $59.72 (bear) to $129.73 (bull), the price of $129.01 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Northeast Bancorp reported revenue of $351M in FY2025 versus $147M in FY2021, a compound +24.3%/yr. Reported net income was $83.4M in FY2025, compounding +3.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.1B · P/E ratio 11.0 · P/S ratio 2.61 · EPS (TTM) $11.73 · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin 23.8% · Return on equity 19.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −35%, NBN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $59.72Fair Value $83.25Bull $129.73
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($11.69 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+34.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+47.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +21.5% a year
Revenue growth 35 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+27.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+27.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.32% vs 30%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.35% → 36%
2025 sits 69% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1074 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside−37% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Return on assets2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)43% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)65% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth35% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.63× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)11.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B2.21× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)4.74× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF20.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA7.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG5.27× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 45
PAST (return on equity)76· sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)68· sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)1· sector 53
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Northeast Bancorp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NBN
Frequently asked questions
Is Northeast Bancorp (NBN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $83.25 versus a price of $129.01, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NBN?
Our model-based fair value for Northeast Bancorp is $83.25 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $129.01.
What is the quality score of NBN?
Northeast Bancorp has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Northeast Bancorp (NBN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $83.25 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $59.72, optimistic scenario $129.73. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Northeast Bancorp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $83.25, about −35% upside versus a price of $129.01 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $59.72, optimistic scenario $129.73. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Northeast Bancorp (NBN)?
Northeast Bancorp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $230M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Northeast Bancorp pay a dividend?
Northeast Bancorp currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.03% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Northeast Bancorp (NBN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Northeast Bancorp would have to grow free cash flow by +8.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +29.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NBN use?
Our models discount Northeast Bancorp at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.59, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Northeast Bancorp that is +8.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Northeast Bancorp (NBN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Northeast Bancorp grew +29.9 % a year. The price currently implies +8.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Northeast Bancorp (NBN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Northeast Bancorp (+8.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Northeast Bancorp (NBN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.00 %: that much free cash flow Northeast Bancorp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Northeast Bancorp (NBN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Northeast Bancorp it is $83.25 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $129.01. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Northeast Bancorp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, NBN trades above its calculated fair value: price $129.01, fair value $83.25, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NBN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($129.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($83.25). For Northeast Bancorp the two are $45.76 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Northeast Bancorp worth?
The market values Northeast Bancorp at about $1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $129.01; our models calculate a fair value of $83.25 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NBN?
Our models span a range for Northeast Bancorp: cautious scenario $59.72, base $83.25, optimistic $129.73 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $129.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NBN?
Northeast Bancorp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $83.25 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 5.3, P/B 2.2, P/S 4.7, EV/EBITDA 7.7.
What is the PEG ratio of NBN?
The PEG ratio of Northeast Bancorp is 5.27 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Northeast Bancorp (NBN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Northeast Bancorp (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 19.0%, debt of 0.63 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NBN from its 52-week high?
Northeast Bancorp trades at $129.01, about 6% below its 52-week high of $137.51 and 58% above the low of $81.72 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $83.25 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Northeast Bancorp?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A, HDFC Bank Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Northeast Bancorp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $129.01, calculated fair value $83.25 (−35%), Quality Score 45/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NBN calculated?
We run Northeast Bancorp through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $83.25, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Northeast Bancorp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Northeast Bancorp (NBN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $129.01. Our model-based fair value is $83.25, about −35% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Northeast Bancorp right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($59.72 to $129.73) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Northeast Bancorp (NBN) come from?
Earnings per share at Northeast Bancorp grew +33.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +24.0 %, EBIT margin +7.3 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Northeast Bancorp
How large is the market capitalisation of Northeast Bancorp (NBN)?
The market capitalisation of Northeast Bancorp is $1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Northeast Bancorp (NBN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Northeast Bancorp is 2.61 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Northeast Bancorp (NBN)?
Earnings per share at Northeast Bancorp are $11.73 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Northeast Bancorp (NBN)?
The dividend yield of Northeast Bancorp is 0.0% (payout 0.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Northeast Bancorp (NBN)?
The net margin of Northeast Bancorp is 23.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Northeast Bancorp (NBN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Northeast Bancorp is 19.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Northeast Bancorp (NBN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Northeast Bancorp is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Northeast Bancorp (NBN)?
The operating margin of Northeast Bancorp is 65.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Northeast Bancorp (NBN)?
Revenue at Northeast Bancorp is growing +34.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +47.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Northeast Bancorp (NBN)?
Earnings per share at Northeast Bancorp are growing +58.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Northeast Bancorp (NBN) hold?
Northeast Bancorp holds more cash than debt, $74.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026