Nido Education Limited (NDO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · AU · Market cap A$87.4M
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price −3.9% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 32% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from A$0.3600 (bear) to A$0.6100 (bull), base A$0.4900. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 55/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.2650 – A$6.73 · fair‑value band A$0.3600 – A$0.6100 · the A$0.3700 price screens below the A$0.4900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Nido Education Limited (NDO) currently trades at A$0.3700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.4900, implying the stock looks roughly 32.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Nido Education Limited generated revenue of A$170M at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue grew 0.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.5%. Net debt stands at A$207M. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.3600 (bear case) to A$0.6100 (bull case); at A$0.3700, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 32%, NDO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$1.23) versus Asset-Based (A$0.3300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nido Education Limited owns, operates, and manages long day early childhood education and care centers under the Nido Early School brand in Australia. It also provides establishment and management services to clients and third party incubator partners. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Drummoyne, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nido Education Limited reported revenue of A$170M in FY2025 versus A$19.2M in FY2021, a compound +72.4%/yr. Reported net income was A$6.5M in FY2025, compounding +36.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Education & Training Services · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 897.37 MXN | -7% |
| TAL Education Group TAL | $10.24 | $15.60 | +52% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $36.45 | $41.45 | +14% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹131.59 | ₹14.81 | -89% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $149.00 | $152.01 | +2% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $116.22 | $135.45 | +17% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $83.39 | $139.45 | +67% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $40.33 | $21.35 | -47% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $31.66 | $41.45 | +31% |
| Strategic Education, Inc STRA | $84.18 | $105.48 | +25% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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