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Nicolás Correa, S.A (NEA) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · ES · Market cap €115M

NC Nicolás Correa, S.A NEA · MC
Price€9.30
Fair Value€18.33
Upside+97.1%
Quality54/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range €12.83 – €23.06 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −6.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 97% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€12.83). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€11.76 €3.68 Fair Value €18.33 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €3.68 – €11.76 · fair‑value band €12.83 – €23.06 · the €9.30 price screens below the €18.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Nicolás Correa, S.A (NEA) currently trades at €9.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €18.33, implying the stock looks roughly 97.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nicolás Correa, S.A generated revenue of €120M at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue grew 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €12.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €12.83 (bear case) to €23.06 (bull case); at €9.30, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 97%, NEA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €6.51 €7.31 €10.76 76
ROIC Compounder €8.23 €9.39 €10.66 72
Gordon GGM €2.14 €3.58 €4.65 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €3.37 €4.11 €5.03 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €6.73 €20.65 €27.42 54
Lynch FV €4.44 €6.35 €8.25 50
PEG = 1.0 €4.44 €6.35 €8.25 46
EPV €8.14 €8.94 €9.59 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €2.14 €3.58 €4.65 70
DDM Multi-Stage €2.14 €3.19 €3.85 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €15.60 €20.80 €26.00 63
P/S Multiple €12.63 €16.84 €21.05 58
P/B Multiple €12.63 €16.84 €21.05 55
EV/EBIT €16.38 €21.37 €26.36 53
EV/EBITDA €14.63 €19.03 €23.44 54
EV/Revenue €12.10 €16.68 €21.25 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €3.81 €5.11 €7.63 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €6.51 €7.31 €10.76 76
ROIC Compounder €8.23 €9.39 €10.66 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €12.83 €18.33 €23.83 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€18.33) versus Dividend Discount (€3.19). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €120M
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.7%
Net margin 10.0%
Return on equity 13.7%
Free cash flow −€1.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 9.7
More key figures
Operating margin 11.1%
EPS (TTM) €0.9900
EPS growth (YoY) -14.6%
Net cash €12.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nicolás Correa, S.A. engages in the manufacture ang sale of milling machines and machining centers in Spain, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

Nicolás Correa, S.A. engages in the manufacture ang sale of milling machines and machining centers in Spain, Europe, and internationally. The company offers bed type, travelling column, bridge type, moving table, gantry type, and top gantry milling machines; bed type, travelling column, bridge type, and gantry multitasking machines; express delivery machines; and milling head products. It also provides applications engineering and after-sales services. The company's products are used in aeronautics, automotive, railway, wind energy, capital goods, energy, defense, general machining, and oil and gas applications. The company was founded in 1947 and is based in Burgos, Spain.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nicolás Correa, S.A reported revenue of €119M in FY2025 versus €76.5M in FY2021, a compound +11.7%/yr. Reported net income was €12.0M in FY2025, compounding +21.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 54/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€119M
Latest YoY
−2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.4%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−16.2%
Revenue +11.7%/yr
FY21 €76.5M
FY22 €98.2M
FY23 €110M
FY24 €121M
FY25 €119M
Net income +21.2%/yr
FY21 €5.6M
FY22 €9.0M
FY23 €10.5M
FY24 €13.7M
FY25 €12.0M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +20.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.4 pp

of which total revenue +8.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.1 pp

EBIT margin +6.4 pp
Tax rate −2.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +7.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nicolás Correa, S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NEA

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside +97% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.10× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.44× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.11× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.46× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 9 · sector 23
PAST 55 · sector 28
HEALTH 95 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nicolás Correa, S.A (NEA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €18.33 versus a price of €9.30, about +97% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NEA?
Our model-based fair value for Nicolás Correa, S.A is €18.33 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €9.30.
What is the quality score of NEA?
Nicolás Correa, S.A has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nicolás Correa, S.A (NEA)?
Nicolás Correa, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €120M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NEA?
The net profit margin of Nicolás Correa, S.A is about 10.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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