Nicolas Correa SA (NEA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Nicolas Correa SA €8.91, price €10.20, upside -12.7%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €3.68 – €11.76 · fair‑value band €6.73 – €10.68 · the €10.20 price screens above the €8.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Nicolás Correa, S.A. engages in the manufacture ang sale of milling machines and machining centers in Spain, Europe, and internationally.
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Nicolás Correa, S.A. engages in the manufacture ang sale of milling machines and machining centers in Spain, Europe, and internationally. The company offers bed type, travelling column, bridge type, moving table, gantry type, and top gantry milling machines; bed type, travelling column, bridge type, and gantry multitasking machines; express delivery machines; and milling head products. It also provides applications engineering and after-sales services. The company's products are used in aeronautics, automotive, railway, wind energy, capital goods, energy, defense, general machining, and oil and gas applications. The company was founded in 1947 and is based in Burgos, Spain.
Stock analysis
Nicolas Correa SA (NEA) currently trades at €10.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €8.91, implying the stock looks roughly 14.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €18.33 per share, and 8 of the 17 models we run sit above the €10.20 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €3.19, and 9 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €6.73 (bear) to €10.68 (bull), the price of €10.20 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Nicolas Correa SA reported revenue of €119M in FY2025 versus €76.5M in FY2021, a compound +11.7%/yr. Reported net income was €12.0M in FY2025, compounding +21.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €124M · P/E ratio 10.3 · P/S ratio 1.04 · EPS (TTM) €0.9900 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 10.1% · Return on equity 13.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −13%, NEA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €6.73Fair Value €8.91Bull €10.68
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.7242 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.54/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.9% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+19.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.16% vs 25%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 12%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 828 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Below median
Fair Value upside−14% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)11% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.10× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nicolas Correa SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NEA
Frequently asked questions
Is Nicolas Correa SA (NEA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €8.91 versus a price of €10.20, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NEA?
Our model-based fair value for Nicolas Correa SA is €8.91 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €10.20.
What is the quality score of NEA?
Nicolas Correa SA has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nicolas Correa SA (NEA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €8.91 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario €6.73, optimistic scenario €10.68. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nicolas Correa SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €8.91, about −13% upside versus a price of €10.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €6.73, optimistic scenario €10.68. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nicolas Correa SA (NEA)?
Nicolas Correa SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €120M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Nicolas Correa SA pay a dividend?
Nicolas Correa SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.24% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nicolas Correa SA (NEA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nicolas Correa SA it is €8.91 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €10.20. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nicolas Correa SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, NEA trades above its calculated fair value: price €10.20, fair value €8.91, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NEA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€10.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€8.91). For Nicolas Correa SA the two are €1.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nicolas Correa SA worth?
The market values Nicolas Correa SA at about €124M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €10.20; our models calculate a fair value of €8.91 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NEA?
Our models span a range for Nicolas Correa SA: cautious scenario €6.73, base €8.91, optimistic €10.68 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €10.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NEA?
Nicolas Correa SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €8.91 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.5, P/B 1.5, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 7.8.
What is the PEG ratio of NEA?
The PEG ratio of Nicolas Correa SA is 0.46 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nicolas Correa SA (NEA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nicolas Correa SA (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 13.7%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NEA from its 52-week high?
Nicolas Correa SA trades at €10.20, about 1% below its 52-week high of €10.35 and 17% above the low of €8.69 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €8.91 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nicolas Correa SA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nicolas Correa SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €10.20, calculated fair value €8.91 (−13%), Quality Score 54/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NEA calculated?
We run Nicolas Correa SA through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €8.91, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Nicolas Correa SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nicolas Correa SA (NEA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €10.20. Our model-based fair value is €8.91, about −13% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nicolas Correa SA right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Nicolas Correa SA (NEA) come from?
Earnings per share at Nicolas Correa SA grew +20.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.4 %, EBIT margin +6.4 %, tax rate −2.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +6.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Nicolas Correa SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Nicolas Correa SA (NEA)?
The market capitalisation of Nicolas Correa SA is €124M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nicolas Correa SA (NEA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nicolas Correa SA is 1.04 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nicolas Correa SA (NEA)?
Earnings per share at Nicolas Correa SA are €0.9900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nicolas Correa SA (NEA)?
The dividend yield of Nicolas Correa SA is 3.2% (payout 33.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nicolas Correa SA (NEA)?
The net margin of Nicolas Correa SA is 10.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nicolas Correa SA (NEA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nicolas Correa SA is 13.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nicolas Correa SA (NEA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nicolas Correa SA is 8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nicolas Correa SA (NEA)?
The operating margin of Nicolas Correa SA is 11.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nicolas Correa SA (NEA)?
Revenue at Nicolas Correa SA is growing +1.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nicolas Correa SA (NEA)?
Earnings per share at Nicolas Correa SA are growing −14.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nicolas Correa SA (NEA) generate?
The free cash flow of Nicolas Correa SA is −€1.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Nicolas Correa SA (NEA) hold?
Nicolas Correa SA holds more cash than debt, €12.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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