Nelson Resources Ltd (NES) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$8.2M
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 25, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated today
Below-average quality, and trading another 11% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
- Quality 33/100 (below-average quality) with low evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0020 – A$0.0492 · the A$0.0030 price screens above the A$0.0027 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.
Analysis
Nelson Resources Ltd (NES) currently trades at A$0.0030, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0027, implying the stock looks roughly 10.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$11.0K. It earns a return on equity of -31.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$1.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 25, 2026
The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -9% fair-value upside, at -10%, NES screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Nelson Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of natural resources in Australia. The company primarily explores for gold deposit. Its flagship property is the Woodline Project that covers an area of approximately 1185 square kilometers located at the boundary between the Proterozoic Albany-Fraser Orogen and the Archean Yilgarn-Craton.
Full company description
Nelson Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of natural resources in Australia. The company primarily explores for gold deposit. Its flagship property is the Woodline Project that covers an area of approximately 1185 square kilometers located at the boundary between the Proterozoic Albany-Fraser Orogen and the Archean Yilgarn-Craton. The company was formerly known as Mongolian Resource Corporation Limited and changed its name to Nelson Resources Limited in November 2016. Nelson Resources Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nelson Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$11.0K in FY2025 versus A$204K in FY2021, a compound −51.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$839K in FY2025.
NES screens 10% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Peer Group
Gold · 246 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $112.82 | +1% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥32.21 | ¥39.42 | +22% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$257.82 | C$154.33 | -40% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $41.23 | $50.66 | +23% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$187.84 | C$52.47 | -72% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$346.87 | C$118.53 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $97.92 | $88.63 | -9% |
| Zijin Gold International Company 2259 | HK$160.30 | HK$96.81 | -40% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $27.48 | $34.62 | +26% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$23.19 | A$15.98 | -31% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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