Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Pathos Commun Ltd £0.22, price £0.26, upside -13.7%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
10‑month range £0.2150 – £0.3300 · fair‑value band £0.1600 – £0.3400 · the £0.2550 price screens above the £0.2200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 5, 2026.
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Pathos Communications PLC operates as a technology-enabled, human-led PR company. The company collaborates with its clients to create and distribute articles and media across a variety of platforms, including established news outlets, digital media and podcast channels. It operates as a creative engagement, communications, and brand reputation agency.
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Pathos Communications PLC operates as a technology-enabled, human-led PR company. The company collaborates with its clients to create and distribute articles and media across a variety of platforms, including established news outlets, digital media and podcast channels. It operates as a creative engagement, communications, and brand reputation agency. It caters to client base comprises small-medium enterprises (SMEs), including micro-SMEs, which can benefit from public exposure through media and news publishers. The company operates in United Kingdom, DIFC, and United Arab Emirates. Pathos Communications PLC was incorporated in 2019 and is based in London, United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS) currently trades at £0.2550, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.2200, 13.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of £0.2500 per share, and 3 of the 10 models we run sit above the £0.2550 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.0400, and 7 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: £0.1600 (bear) to £0.3400 (bull), the price of £0.2550 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Pathos Commun Ltd reported revenue of $13.1M in FY2025 versus $3.7M in FY2022, a compound +52.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$630K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 17.0M GBX · P/S ratio 1.21 · EPS (TTM) £−0.0100 · Net margin −4.8% · Return on equity −11.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 25.7% · Operating margin 14.0% · Revenue (TTM) $14.0M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 23% fair-value upside, at −14%, NEWS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £0.1600Fair Value £0.2200Bull £0.3400
Price £0.2550 · Upside -13.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+52.0%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
42.5% (2022) → −2.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 190 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Below median
Fair Value upside−13.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−1.6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−3.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)14.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth14.3% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper
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Is Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.2200 versus a price of £0.2550, about −14% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NEWS?
Our model-based fair value for Pathos Commun Ltd is £0.2200 (as of Oct 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.2550.
What is the quality score of NEWS?
Pathos Commun Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.2200 (as of Oct 5, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.1600, optimistic scenario £0.3400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pathos Commun Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.2200, about −14% upside versus a price of £0.2550 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £0.1600, optimistic scenario £0.3400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS)?
Pathos Commun Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $14.0M (latest available figure, as of Oct 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Pathos Commun Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +14.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +52.0 % per year. As of Oct 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NEWS use?
Our models discount Pathos Commun Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Pathos Commun Ltd that is +14.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Pathos Commun Ltd grew +52.0 % a year. The price currently implies +14.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Pathos Commun Ltd (+14.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.94 %: that much free cash flow Pathos Commun Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pathos Commun Ltd it is £0.2200 per share (as of Oct 5, 2026), against a price of £0.2550. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Pathos Commun Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 5, 2026, NEWS trades above its calculated fair value: price £0.2550, fair value £0.2200, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NEWS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.2550); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.2200). For Pathos Commun Ltd the two are £0.0350 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pathos Commun Ltd worth?
The market values Pathos Commun Ltd at about 17.0M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Oct 5, 2026). Per share that is £0.2550; our models calculate a fair value of £0.2200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NEWS?
Our models span a range for Pathos Commun Ltd: cautious scenario £0.1600, base £0.2200, optimistic £0.3400 per share (as of Oct 5, 2026, price £0.2550). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pathos Commun Ltd (as of Oct 5, 2026): return on equity −11.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Pathos Commun Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value AppLovin Corporation, Publicis Groupe S.A, Omnicom Group, Focus Media Information Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pathos Commun Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 5, 2026: price £0.2550, calculated fair value £0.2200 (−14%), Quality Score 53/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NEWS calculated?
We run Pathos Commun Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.2200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Pathos Commun Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was £0.2550. Our model-based fair value is £0.2200, about −14% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pathos Commun Ltd right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (£0.1600 to £0.3400) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Pathos Commun Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS)?
The market capitalisation of Pathos Commun Ltd is 17.0M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pathos Commun Ltd is 1.21 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS)?
Earnings per share at Pathos Commun Ltd are £−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS)?
The net margin of Pathos Commun Ltd is −4.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pathos Commun Ltd is −11.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pathos Commun Ltd is 25.7% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS)?
The operating margin of Pathos Commun Ltd is 14.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS)?
Revenue at Pathos Commun Ltd is growing +14.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +52.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Pathos Commun Ltd (NEWS)?
Earnings per share at Pathos Commun Ltd are growing +24.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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