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Naphtha Israel Petroleum Corp (NFTA) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · Il · Market cap 2.4B ILA

NI Naphtha Israel Petroleum Corp NFTA · TA
Price24.72 ILA
Fair Value32.84 ILA
Upside+32.8%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 10.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
0.08% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: Medium Range 24.63 ILA – 44.48 ILA Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price −3.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 33% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (24.63 ILA to 44.48 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

29.49 ILA 10.35 ILA Fair Value 32.84 ILA Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 10.35 ILA – 29.49 ILA · fair‑value band 24.63 ILA – 44.48 ILA · the 24.72 ILA price screens below the 32.84 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Naphtha Israel Petroleum Corp (NFTA) currently trades at 24.72 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 32.84 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 32.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Naphtha Israel Petroleum Corp generated revenue of 2.1B ILA at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue declined 21.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.4%. Net debt stands at 930M ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 24.63 ILA (bear case) to 44.48 ILA (bull case); at 24.72 ILA, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 33%, NFTA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 93.40 ILA 174.22 ILA 309.99 ILA 80
Residual Income 14.82 ILA 18.26 ILA 36.48 ILA 76
Rev-Margin DCF 39.83 ILA 64.75 ILA 98.49 ILA 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 95.60 ILA 188.08 ILA 353.11 ILA 38
Owner Earnings 31.83 ILA 67.72 ILA 131.41 ILA 31
5Y Revenue Exit 39.83 ILA 64.17 ILA 95.22 ILA 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 52.44 ILA 91.32 ILA 139.67 ILA 41
5Y P/E Exit 40.65 ILA 65.93 ILA 94.09 ILA 38
10Y Revenue Exit 57.09 ILA 87.46 ILA 131.32 ILA 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 66.17 ILA 107.39 ILA 169.25 ILA 37
10Y P/E Exit 58.39 ILA 88.76 ILA 130.36 ILA 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 15.95 ILA 85.18 ILA 118.00 ILA 54
Lynch FV 23.51 ILA 33.59 ILA 43.67 ILA 50
PEG = 1.0 23.51 ILA 33.59 ILA 43.67 ILA 46
EPV 48.67 ILA 57.68 ILA 65.46 ILA 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 15.73 ILA 31.34 ILA 47.45 ILA 70
DDM Multi-Stage 15.73 ILA 27.08 ILA 33.08 ILA 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 24.63 ILA 32.84 ILA 41.05 ILA 63
P/S Multiple 23.33 ILA 31.11 ILA 38.89 ILA 58
P/B Multiple 19.31 ILA 25.75 ILA 32.19 ILA 55
EV/EBIT 46.41 ILA 64.67 ILA 82.94 ILA 53
EV/EBITDA 34.83 ILA 49.23 ILA 63.64 ILA 54
EV/Revenue 13.39 ILA 22.72 ILA 32.06 ILA 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 7.15 ILA 9.58 ILA 14.31 ILA 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 93.40 ILA 174.22 ILA 309.99 ILA 80
Rev-Margin DCF 39.83 ILA 64.75 ILA 98.49 ILA 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 14.82 ILA 18.26 ILA 36.48 ILA 76
ROIC Compounder 57.24 ILA 79.02 ILA 106.39 ILA 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 28.76 ILA 41.08 ILA 53.41 ILA 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (87.46 ILA) versus Asset-Based (9.58 ILA). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.1B ILA
Revenue growth (YoY) -21.0%
Net margin 10.0%
Return on equity 16.4%
Free cash flow 762M ILA FY2025
P/E ratio 11.1
More key figures
Operating margin 29.9%
EPS (TTM) 2.23 ILA
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -28.5%
Net debt 930M ILA FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 95
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Naphtha Israel Petroleum Corp. Ltd. engages in the exploration, production, and sale of oil and gas in Israel, the Middle East, the United States, and Europe. It is also involved in the rental of real estate properties; operation of hotels; and provision of management services.

Full company description

Naphtha Israel Petroleum Corp. Ltd. engages in the exploration, production, and sale of oil and gas in Israel, the Middle East, the United States, and Europe. It is also involved in the rental of real estate properties; operation of hotels; and provision of management services. In addition, it provides operator services for oil and gas assets; and ancillary services. The company serves private electricity producers, industrial customers, and natural gas marketing companies. The company was incorporated in 1956 and is based in Petah Tikva, Israel. Naphtha Israel Petroleum Corp. Ltd. is a subsidiary of J.O.E.L. Jerusalem Oil Exploration Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Naphtha Israel Petroleum Corp reported revenue of 2.5B ILA in FY2025 versus 1.4B ILA in FY2021, a compound +16.0%/yr. Reported net income was 223M ILA in FY2025, compounding −14.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.5B ILS
Latest YoY
−7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+23.0%
Revenue +16.0%/yr
FY21 1.4B ILA
FY22 2.0B ILA
FY23 2.0B ILA
FY24 2.7B ILA
FY25 2.5B ILA
Net income −14.4%/yr
FY21 415M ILA
FY22 233M ILA
FY23 166M ILA
FY24 338M ILA
FY25 223M ILA

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Naphtha Israel Petroleum Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NFTA

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +33% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 30% · Above median
Revenue growth -21% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.93× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.57× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.36× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 77 · sector 14
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 65 · sector 0
HEALTH 53 · sector 87
DIVIDEND 2 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥28.97 ¥32.55 +12%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $109.04 $91.79 -16%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $42.86 $31.54 -26%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $139.89 $130.19 -7%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $54.86 $30.68 -44%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $183.39 $106.12 -42%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $43.83 $27.06 -38%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$30.46 A$20.71 -32%
EQT Corporation EQT $48.85 $42.85 -12%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $415.70 $79.20 -81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Naphtha Israel Petroleum Corp (NFTA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 32.84 ILA versus a price of 24.72 ILA, about +33% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NFTA?
Our model-based fair value for Naphtha Israel Petroleum Corp is 32.84 ILA (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 24.72 ILA.
What is the quality score of NFTA?
Naphtha Israel Petroleum Corp has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Naphtha Israel Petroleum Corp (NFTA)?
Naphtha Israel Petroleum Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B ILS (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NFTA?
The net profit margin of Naphtha Israel Petroleum Corp is about 10.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Naphtha Israel Petroleum Corp pay a dividend?
Naphtha Israel Petroleum Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.09% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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