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Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc (NGVC) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $694M

Price$32.17
Fair Value$32.53
Upside+1.1%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $18.42 – $51.39

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

Analysis

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc (NGVC) currently trades at $32.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $32.53 — implying the stock looks roughly 1.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, retails natural and organic groceries, and dietary supplements in the United States. The company's stores offer natural and organic grocery products, such as organic produce; private label repackaged bulk products, including dried fruits, nuts, grains, granolas, teas, herbs, and spices, as well as peanut and almond butters; private label products comprising grocery staples, household products, bulk foods, and vitamins and dietary supplements, as well as organic eggs, organic flavored coffee, and organic mustard; dry, frozen, and canned groceries; meat and seafood products; dairy products, dairy substitutes, and eggs; prepared foods; bread and baked products; beverages; and beer, wine, and hard cider products. Its stores also provide name-brand supplements, as well as private label dietary supplements; body care products consisting of cosmetics, skin care, hair care, fragrance, and personal care products contai…

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Frequently asked questions

Is Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc (NGVC) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $32.53 versus a price of $32.17 — about +1% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of NGVC?
Our 21-model fair value for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc is $32.53 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $32.17.
What is the quality score of NGVC?
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.