NICE Ltd (NICE) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $5.0B
NICE Ltd
NICE · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $198.46 to $191.10 (−3.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.2% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 88% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (82/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($144.24). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $83.15 – $315.02 · fair‑value band $144.24 – $253.59 · the $101.85 price screens below the $191.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
NICE Ltd (NICE) currently trades at $101.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $191.10, implying the stock looks roughly 87.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, NICE Ltd generated revenue of $3.0B at a net margin of 17.6%. Revenue grew 9.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $216M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $144.24 (bear case) to $253.59 (bull case); at $101.85, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 88%, NICE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($235.98) versus Dividend Discount ($0.2500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
NICE Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides AI-powered cloud platforms for customer engagement, and financial crime and compliance in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in two segments, Customer Engagement; and Financial Crime and Compliance.
Full company description
NICE Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides AI-powered cloud platforms for customer engagement, and financial crime and compliance in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in two segments, Customer Engagement; and Financial Crime and Compliance. The Customer Engagement segment provides CXone Mpower platform for organizations to automate service, augment the workforce with AI-powered solutions, and unify enterprise knowledge, data and AI models resolutions, and customer experiences. The Financial Crime and Compliance segment offers embedded-AI solutions that identify risks and help prevent money laundering and fraud, as well as help ensure financial markets compliance in real-time. It also provides NICE Evidencentral, a digital evidence management and investigation platform for criminal justice system. In addition, the company offers NiCE Actimize provides cloud platforms embedded with AI capabilities for real-time and cross-channel fraud prevention, know-your-customer, anti-money laundering, and capital markets compliance; X-Sight, an open AI-cloud platform for Financial Crime and Compliance, enabling financial services organizations; Xceed which provides AI, data intelligence, machine learning, and insights for AML and fraud prevention for small and mid-sized organizations; cloud platforms provide financial services organizations with the agility required to adapt changing regulatory and threat landscapes; data intelligence solutions enable organizations to turn raw data into actionable intelligence to prevent and detect financial crimes; AI and analytics; intelligent investigations solutions; and self-service solutions. The company also develops NiCE Labs, a AI innovation initiatives for customer experience and related solutions. The company was formerly known as NICE-Systems Ltd. and changed its name to NICE Ltd. in June 2016. NICE Ltd. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Ra'anana, Israel.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
NICE Ltd reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2025 versus $1.9B in FY2021, a compound +11.3%/yr. Reported net income was $612M in FY2025, compounding +32.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Compared to Estimates, Nice (NICE) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
- NICE Ltd (NICE) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record AI Bookings and Cloud Momentum Drive ...
- Concentrix and Currys Win NiCE International CX Excellence Award for Transforming Customer Engagement
- NiCE Exceeds Revenue Guidance Range, Reporting 8% Year-Over-Year Revenue Growth in Second Quarter 2026
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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