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Nokian Renkaat Oyj (NKRKY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $2.0B

NR Nokian Renkaat Oyj logo Nokian Renkaat Oyj NKRKY · US
Price$8.68
Fair Value$12.90
Upside+48.6%
Quality50/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
2.08% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/12)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: Medium Range $8.48 – $12.90 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $6.39 to $12.90 (+101.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +20.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 49% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from $8.48 (bear) to $12.90 (bull), base $12.90. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 50/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$15.20 $2.89 Fair Value $12.90 Aug 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.89 – $15.20 · fair‑value band $8.48 – $12.90 · the $8.68 price screens below the $12.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Nokian Renkaat Oyj (NKRKY) currently trades at $8.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.90, implying the stock looks roughly 48.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $1.4B. Revenue grew 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.1%. Net debt stands at $664M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.48 (bear case) to $12.90 (bull case); at $8.68, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 153% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 49%, NKRKY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $1.08 $1.53 $1.95 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.08 $1.46 $1.84 61
EV/EBITDA $4.01 $5.94 $7.88 54
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.08 $1.53 $1.95 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.08 $1.46 $1.84 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.5300 $1.12 53
EV/EBITDA $4.01 $5.94 $7.88 54
EV/Revenue $0.3900 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.11 $2.83 $4.22 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($2.83) versus Multiples ($0.5300). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.7%
Net margin 0.0%
Return on equity 0.1%
Free cash flow −$13.3M FY2025
Operating margin -6.4%
More key figures
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +197%
Net debt $664M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nokian Renkaat Oyj develops and manufactures tires for passenger cars, trucks, and heavy machineries in Nordics, Central Europe, North America, and internationally. It operates through Passenger Car Tyres; Heavy Tyres; and Vianor segments.

Full company description

Nokian Renkaat Oyj develops and manufactures tires for passenger cars, trucks, and heavy machineries in Nordics, Central Europe, North America, and internationally. It operates through Passenger Car Tyres; Heavy Tyres; and Vianor segments. The company develops and produces winter, summer, and all-season tires for passenger cars, SUVs, and vans; tires for forestry machinery; tires for ports and terminals, mining, agriculture, trucks and buses, earthmoving, and road maintenance. It also sells car, truck, buse, and van tires under the Nokian Tyres and other tire brands; other automotive products and services; provide car maintenance and tire service; and operates Vianor service centers. The company distributes its products through Vianor chain, Vianor Partner chain, Nokian Tyres Authorized Dealers network, as well as through tire dealers, car dealerships, and vehicle manufacturers, and online stores. Nokian Renkaat Oyj was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Nokia, Finland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nokian Renkaat Oyj reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2025 versus $1.7B in FY2021, a compound −5.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$15.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 27/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.4B
Latest YoY
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+5.1%
Revenue −5.4%/yr
FY21 $1.7B
FY22 $1.8B
FY23 $1.2B
FY24 $1.3B
FY25 $1.4B
Net income
FY21 $206M
FY22 −$176M
FY23 −$326M
FY24 −$22.8M
FY25 −$15.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nokian Renkaat Oyj Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NKRKY

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +49% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.55× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.68× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.41× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 16.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 98 · sector 17
FUTURE 19 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 72 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 42 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nokian Renkaat Oyj (NKRKY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.90 versus a price of $8.68, about +49% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NKRKY?
Our model-based fair value for Nokian Renkaat Oyj is $12.90 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.68.
What is the quality score of NKRKY?
Nokian Renkaat Oyj has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nokian Renkaat Oyj (NKRKY)?
Nokian Renkaat Oyj reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NKRKY?
The net profit margin of Nokian Renkaat Oyj is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nokian Renkaat Oyj pay a dividend?
Nokian Renkaat Oyj currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.08% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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