Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Nova Leap Health Corp C$0.63, price C$0.54, upside +16.7%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.1250 – C$0.9800 · fair‑value band C$0.3800 – C$1.13 · the C$0.5400 price screens below the C$0.6300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Nova Leap Health Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides home-based and community-based healthcare services in the United States and Canada.
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Nova Leap Health Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides home-based and community-based healthcare services in the United States and Canada. It offers home and home health care services, including dementia care, companionship, personal and skilled nursing care, respite care, palliative care, care management, cooking and meal preparation, light housekeeping, daily living activities, transportation, medication reminders, and medication administration by nursing staff. The company provides its services through private homes, assisted living communities, hospitals, nursing homes, hospice, and rehabilitation centers. Nova Leap Health Corp. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Halifax, Canada.
Stock analysis
Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH) currently trades at C$0.5400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.6300, implying the stock looks roughly 14.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$0.4800 per share, and 2 of the 13 models we run sit above the C$0.5400 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at C$0.1400, and 11 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: C$0.3800 (bear) to C$1.13 (bull), the price of C$0.5400 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Nova Leap Health Corp reported revenue of $31.5M in FY2025 versus $21.3M in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$190K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$47.1M (≈ $33.3M) · P/S ratio 1.00 · Net margin −0.6% · Return on equity 1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1% · Operating margin 3.7% · Revenue (TTM) C$32.2M · Revenue growth (YoY) +10.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 104% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 35% fair-value upside, at 17%, NLH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$0.3800Fair Value C$0.6300Bull C$1.13
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+134.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.5% (2020) → 3.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Medical Care Facilities · 258 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Above median
Fair Value upside+17% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth11% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nova Leap Health Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NLH
Frequently asked questions
Is Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.6300 versus a price of C$0.5400, about +17% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NLH?
Our model-based fair value for Nova Leap Health Corp is C$0.6300 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.5400.
What is the quality score of NLH?
Nova Leap Health Corp has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.6300 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.3800, optimistic scenario C$1.13. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nova Leap Health Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.6300, about +17% upside versus a price of C$0.5400 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$0.3800, optimistic scenario C$1.13. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH)?
Nova Leap Health Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$32.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nova Leap Health Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +20.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.7 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NLH use?
Our models discount Nova Leap Health Corp at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.61, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nova Leap Health Corp that is +20.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nova Leap Health Corp grew +12.7 % a year. The price currently implies +20.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nova Leap Health Corp (+20.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.30 %: that much free cash flow Nova Leap Health Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nova Leap Health Corp it is C$0.6300 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$0.5400. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nova Leap Health Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, NLH trades below its calculated fair value: price C$0.5400, fair value C$0.6300, a gap of about +17% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NLH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.5400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.6300). For Nova Leap Health Corp the two are C$0.0900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nova Leap Health Corp worth?
The market values Nova Leap Health Corp at about C$47.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$0.5400; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.6300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NLH?
Our models span a range for Nova Leap Health Corp: cautious scenario C$0.3800, base C$0.6300, optimistic C$1.13 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$0.5400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nova Leap Health Corp (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 1.1%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NLH from its 52-week high?
Nova Leap Health Corp trades at C$0.5400, about 8% below its 52-week high of C$0.5900 and 104% above the low of C$0.2650 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.6300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nova Leap Health Corp?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value HCA Healthcare, Inc, Fresenius SE, Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group, IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company,, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nova Leap Health Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$0.5400, calculated fair value C$0.6300 (+17%), Quality Score 62/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NLH calculated?
We run Nova Leap Health Corp through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.6300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Nova Leap Health Corp currently trades 17 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was C$0.5400. Our model-based fair value is C$0.6300, about +17% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nova Leap Health Corp right now?
The model range is unusually wide (C$0.3800 to C$1.13). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Nova Leap Health Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH)?
The market capitalisation of Nova Leap Health Corp is C$47.1M (≈ $33.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nova Leap Health Corp is 1.00 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH)?
The net margin of Nova Leap Health Corp is −0.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nova Leap Health Corp is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nova Leap Health Corp is 4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH)?
The operating margin of Nova Leap Health Corp is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH)?
Revenue at Nova Leap Health Corp is growing +10.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH)?
Earnings per share at Nova Leap Health Corp are growing −41.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH) carry?
The net debt of Nova Leap Health Corp is C$514K (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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