Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · CA · Market cap C$32.3M
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from C$0.3100 to C$0.2100 (−32.3%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 45% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.2600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.1250 – C$0.9800 · fair‑value band C$0.1600 – C$0.2600 · the C$0.3800 price screens above the C$0.2100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Nova Leap Health Corp (NLH) currently trades at C$0.3800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.2100, implying the stock looks roughly 44.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nova Leap Health Corp generated revenue of C$32.2M at a net margin of 0.7%. Revenue grew 10.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.1600 (bear case) to C$0.2600 (bull case); at C$0.3800, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -45%, NLH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$0.3400) versus Earnings-Based (C$0.1100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nova Leap Health Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides home-based and community-based healthcare services in the United States and Canada.
Full company description
Nova Leap Health Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides home-based and community-based healthcare services in the United States and Canada. It offers home and home health care services, including dementia care, companionship, personal and skilled nursing care, respite care, palliative care, care management, cooking and meal preparation, light housekeeping, daily living activities, transportation, medication reminders, and medication administration by nursing staff. The company provides its services through private homes, assisted living communities, hospitals, nursing homes, hospice, and rehabilitation centers. Nova Leap Health Corp. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Halifax, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nova Leap Health Corp reported revenue of C$31.5M in FY2025 versus C$21.3M in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −C$190K in FY2025.
NLH screens 45% overvalued. Compare with HCA Healthcare, Inc →
Peer Group
Medical Care Facilities · 261 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA | $378.85 | $554.93 | +46% |
| Fresenius SE FRE | €41.73 | €32.15 | -23% |
| Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 | 235.00 SAR | 112.37 SAR | -52% |
| IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F | 2.58 SGD | 1.44 SGD | -44% |
| Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC | $194.91 | $338.05 | +73% |
| Rede D'Or São Luiz S.A RDOR3 | R$36.01 | R$47.31 | +31% |
| DaVita Inc DVA | $231.61 | $255.97 | +11% |
| Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP | ₹8,955 | ₹2,955 | -67% |
| Fresenius Medical Care AG FMS | $24.68 | $45.60 | +85% |
| Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 | ¥8.68 | ¥7.67 | -12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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