Nava Nakorn Public Company (NNCL) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · TH · Market cap 3.5B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +4.7% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from 1.61 THB (bear) to 2.87 THB (bull), base 1.85 THB. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 61/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.19 THB – 2.07 THB · fair‑value band 1.61 THB – 2.87 THB · the 1.78 THB price screens below the 1.85 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Nava Nakorn Public Company (NNCL) currently trades at 1.78 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.85 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 3.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Nava Nakorn Public Company generated revenue of 894M THB at a net margin of 30.9%. Revenue declined 16.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 208M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.61 THB (bear case) to 2.87 THB (bull case); at 1.78 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 4%, NNCL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (2.55 THB) versus Dividend Discount (1.06 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nava Nakorn Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate development business in Thailand. It operates in two segments, Real Estate Business and Utilities Services Business.
Full company description
Nava Nakorn Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate development business in Thailand. It operates in two segments, Real Estate Business and Utilities Services Business. The company is involved in property development; trading and leasing of industrial promotion zone projects; and provision of utilities and other facilities services in the industrial promotion zone. It also leases and operates hotels, resort hotels, condominiums, and other accommodations, as well as warehouses. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Pathum Thani, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nava Nakorn Public Company reported revenue of 847M THB in FY2025 versus 890M THB in FY2021, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was 307M THB in FY2025, compounding −8.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Constellation Energy Corporation CEG | $257.57 | $89.08 | -65% |
| Vistra Corp VST | $158.86 | $47.59 | -70% |
| Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER | ₹218.45 | ₹75.57 | -65% |
| CGN Power Co 003816 | ¥3.88 | ¥3.13 | -19% |
| NRG Energy, Inc NRG | $137.90 | $56.02 | -59% |
| Gulf Development Public Company GULF | 67.50 THB | 40.44 THB | -40% |
| Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL | ₹1,730 | ₹342.02 | -80% |
| Talen Energy Corporation TLN | $372.37 | $44.67 | -88% |
| Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 | ¥5.80 | ¥4.95 | -15% |
| Power Assets Holdings 0006 | HK$58.45 | HK$31.90 | -45% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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