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Nobility Homes, Inc (NOBH) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $97.4M

NH Nobility Homes, Inc logo Nobility Homes, Inc NOBH · US
Price$28.50
Fair Value$31.31
Upside+9.9%
Quality71/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.6% net margin
generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: High Range $20.81 – $45.39 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −7.8% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($20.81 to $45.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$34.88 $19.31 Fair Value $31.31 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $19.31 – $34.88 · fair‑value band $20.81 – $45.39 · the $28.50 price screens below the $31.31 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Nobility Homes, Inc (NOBH) currently trades at $28.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $31.31, implying the stock looks roughly 9.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nobility Homes, Inc generated revenue of $48.6M at a net margin of 15.6%. Revenue declined 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $16.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $20.81 (bear case) to $45.39 (bull case); at $28.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at 10%, NOBH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $16.82 $19.18 $31.25 76
Growth DCF $14.69 $18.19 $22.30 72
Growth-Adj P/E $36.32 $51.88 $67.44 68
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $14.67 $18.74 $23.80 38
Owner Earnings $26.55 $35.22 $46.04 31
5Y Revenue Exit $16.22 $23.20 $32.05 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $23.30 $36.40 $51.70 41
5Y P/E Exit $30.69 $50.18 $70.70 38
10Y Revenue Exit $15.07 $20.63 $28.00 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $19.24 $28.46 $40.78 37
10Y P/E Exit $23.27 $36.62 $53.14 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $18.21 $56.46 $75.06 54
Lynch FV $12.24 $17.49 $22.74 50
PEG = 1.0 $12.24 $17.49 $22.74 46
EPV $21.93 $24.06 $25.79 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $44.19 $58.92 $73.65 63
P/S Multiple $15.03 $20.04 $25.05 58
P/B Multiple $34.15 $45.53 $56.91 55
EV/EBIT $47.16 $61.48 $75.80 53
EV/EBITDA $33.50 $43.26 $53.03 54
EV/Revenue $18.22 $24.24 $30.25 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.63 $12.90 $19.25 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $14.69 $18.19 $22.30 72
Rev-Margin DCF $16.22 $23.23 $31.26 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $16.82 $19.18 $31.25 76
ROIC Compounder $22.39 $25.61 $29.10 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $36.32 $51.88 $67.44 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($51.88) versus Asset-Based ($12.90). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $48.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) -15.9%
Net margin 15.6%
Return on equity 13.3%
Free cash flow $4.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.2
More key figures
Operating margin 16.9%
EPS (TTM) $2.34
EPS growth (YoY) -20.3%
Net cash $16.7M FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nobility Homes, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells of various manufactured and modular homes through Kingswood, Richwood, Tropic Isle, Regency Manor, and Tropic Manor trade names in Florida.

Full company description

Nobility Homes, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells of various manufactured and modular homes through Kingswood, Richwood, Tropic Isle, Regency Manor, and Tropic Manor trade names in Florida. It offers retail insurance services, which involve placing various types of insurance, including property and casualty, automobile, and extended home warranty coverage with insurance underwriters on behalf of its customers in connection with their purchase and financing of manufactured homes, as well as operates as a licensed mortgage loan originator. It sells its manufactured homes through a network of its own retail sales centers; and on a wholesale basis to independent manufactured home retail dealers and manufactured home communities. The company was incorporated in 1967 and is headquartered in Ocala, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nobility Homes, Inc reported revenue of $52.7M in FY2025 versus $45.1M in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was $8.4M in FY2025, compounding +11.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 64/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$52.7M
Latest YoY
+1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Revenue +4.0%/yr
FY21 $45.1M
FY22 $51.5M
FY23 $63.3M
FY24 $51.9M
FY25 $52.7M
Net income +11.8%/yr
FY21 $5.4M
FY22 $7.2M
FY23 $10.9M
FY24 $8.6M
FY25 $8.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nobility Homes, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NOBH

Peer Group

Residential Construction · 65 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +10% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -16% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Residential Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.61× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.01× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 24.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.25× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 47 · sector 51
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 53 · sector 33
HEALTH 0 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 54

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Residential Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
D.R. Horton, Inc DHI $149.39 $214.93 +44%
PulteGroup, Inc PHM $124.75 $193.56 +55%
Lennar Corporation LEN $83.89 $146.58 +75%
NVR, Inc NVR $6,479 $7,821 +21%
Toll Brothers, Inc TOL $150.76 $225.76 +50%
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation TMHC $72.13 $144.47 +100%
Installed Building Products, Inc IBP $228.65 $209.51 -8%
Meritage Homes Corporation MTH $73.83 $104.26 +41%
Champion Homes, Inc SKY $82.70 $75.12 -9%
Cavco Industries, Inc CVCO $569.16 $421.10 -26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nobility Homes, Inc (NOBH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $31.31 versus a price of $28.50, about +10% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of NOBH?
Our model-based fair value for Nobility Homes, Inc is $31.31 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $28.50.
What is the quality score of NOBH?
Nobility Homes, Inc has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nobility Homes, Inc (NOBH)?
Nobility Homes, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $48.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NOBH?
The net profit margin of Nobility Homes, Inc is about 15.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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