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Norditek Group (NOTEK) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SE · Market cap 154M SEK

NG Norditek Group NOTEK · ST
Pricekr 10.75
Fair Valuekr 17.50
Upside+62.8%
Quality43/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 6.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: Medium Range kr 13.12 – kr 21.87 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Share price −4.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 63% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 13.12). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 27.60 kr 7.80 Fair Value kr 17.50 Nov 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

57‑month range kr 7.80 – kr 27.60 · fair‑value band kr 13.12 – kr 21.87 · the kr 10.75 price screens below the kr 17.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Norditek Group (NOTEK) currently trades at kr 10.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 17.50, implying the stock looks roughly 62.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Norditek Group generated revenue of 113M SEK at a net margin of 6.7%. Revenue declined 6.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. Net debt stands at 21.6M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 13.12 (bear case) to kr 21.87 (bull case); at kr 10.75, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at 63%, NOTEK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income kr 5.88 kr 6.46 kr 8.28 76
ROIC Compounder kr 6.33 kr 7.17 kr 8.68 72
Growth-Adj P/E kr 15.72 kr 22.46 kr 29.19 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings kr 1.44 kr 3.22 kr 6.29 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 5.67 kr 38.81 kr 54.43 54
Lynch FV kr 11.41 kr 16.31 kr 21.20 50
PEG = 1.0 kr 11.41 kr 16.31 kr 21.20 46
EPV kr 6.33 kr 7.15 kr 7.81 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 13.12 kr 17.50 kr 21.87 63
P/S Multiple kr 10.62 kr 14.16 kr 17.71 58
P/B Multiple kr 10.62 kr 14.16 kr 17.71 55
EV/EBIT kr 15.39 kr 20.67 kr 25.94 53
EV/EBITDA kr 14.87 kr 19.97 kr 25.07 54
EV/Revenue kr 9.43 kr 13.66 kr 17.89 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 3.57 kr 4.78 kr 7.13 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 5.88 kr 6.46 kr 8.28 76
ROIC Compounder kr 6.33 kr 7.17 kr 8.68 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 15.72 kr 22.46 kr 29.19 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 22.46) versus DCF Models (kr 3.22). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 113M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.6%
Net margin 6.7%
Return on equity 8.3%
Free cash flow −5.7M SEK FY2025
P/E ratio 23.5
More key figures
Operating margin 6.6%
EPS (TTM) kr 0.5300
EPS growth (YoY) -78.7%
Net debt 21.6M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 76
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 21
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Norditek Group AB (publ) develops, sells, leases, or rents out crushers, sorting plants, and self-developed machines to recycle and convert materials in Sweden into salable products in Sweden. The company recycles industrial waste, wood waste, and gravel and rocks.

Full company description

Norditek Group AB (publ) develops, sells, leases, or rents out crushers, sorting plants, and self-developed machines to recycle and convert materials in Sweden into salable products in Sweden. The company recycles industrial waste, wood waste, and gravel and rocks. It offers flip flow sieves, sorting plant, wind visibility, water bath, magnets, air suction, crushers, laundry equipment, semi-stationary plant, waste compactors, belt conveyor, stacker, screening media, and other accessories. Norditek Group AB (publ) was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Norditek Group reported revenue of kr 108M in FY2025 versus kr 70.6M in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was kr 11.4M in FY2025, compounding +14.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
108M SEK
Latest YoY
+37.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.1%
Revenue +11.1%/yr
FY21 kr 70.6M
FY22 kr 71.7M
FY23 kr 91.6M
FY24 kr 78.3M
FY25 kr 108M
Net income +14.0%/yr
FY21 kr 6.8M
FY22 kr 6.7M
FY23 kr 4.8M
FY24 kr 696K
FY25 kr 11.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Norditek Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NOTEK

Peer Group

Waste Management · 166 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside +63% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth -7% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.27× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.58× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.36× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 8
FUTURE 0 · sector 22
PAST 33 · sector 25
HEALTH 86 · sector 81
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $233.33 $128.02 -45%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $219.20 $122.01 -44%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN C$242.43 C$78.67 -68%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €37.51 €24.50 -35%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $303.64 $155.37 -49%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL C$55.40 C$94.12 +70%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €12.20 €7.30 -40%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.32 ¥5.27 -17%
Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 ¥16.18 ¥20.91 +29%
Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY A$2.34 A$1.18 -50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Norditek Group (NOTEK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 17.50 versus a price of kr 10.75, about +63% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NOTEK?
Our model-based fair value for Norditek Group is kr 17.50 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 10.75.
What is the quality score of NOTEK?
Norditek Group has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Norditek Group (NOTEK)?
Norditek Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 113M SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NOTEK?
The net profit margin of Norditek Group is about 6.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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