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NPK International Inc (NPKI) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $1.3B

NI NPK International Inc logo NPK International Inc NPKI · US
Price$13.48
Fair Value$3.95
Upside-70.7%
Quality73/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range $3.36 – $5.42 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −5.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 71% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$16.35 $2.00 Fair Value $3.95 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.00 – $16.35 · fair‑value band $3.36 – $5.42 · the $13.48 price screens above the $3.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

NPK International Inc (NPKI) currently trades at $13.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.95, implying the stock looks roughly 70.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, NPK International Inc generated revenue of $287M at a net margin of 13.7%. Revenue grew 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.5%. Net debt stands at $31.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.36 (bear case) to $5.42 (bull case); at $13.48, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -71%, NPKI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $2.74 $3.64 $4.71 80
Residual Income $3.43 $3.73 $4.84 76
Rev-Margin DCF $2.58 $3.91 $5.34 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.70 $3.69 $4.92 38
Owner Earnings $1.48 $2.04 $2.74 31
5Y Revenue Exit $2.58 $3.87 $5.45 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.04 $4.69 $6.53 41
5Y P/E Exit $3.36 $5.26 $7.15 38
10Y Revenue Exit $2.54 $3.63 $4.97 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $2.87 $4.14 $5.69 37
10Y P/E Exit $3.05 $4.49 $6.11 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.89 $7.02 $9.07 54
PEG = 1.0 $1.25 $1.78 $2.31 46
EPV $3.24 $3.69 $4.07 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0300 $0.0600 $0.0800 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0300 $0.0500 $0.0600 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4.47 $5.96 $7.45 63
P/S Multiple $2.95 $3.94 $4.92 58
P/B Multiple $5.43 $7.24 $9.05 55
EV/EBIT $4.07 $5.46 $6.84 53
EV/EBITDA $3.77 $5.06 $6.34 54
EV/Revenue $2.68 $3.86 $5.04 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.08 $2.79 $4.16 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.74 $3.64 $4.71 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.58 $3.91 $5.34 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.43 $3.73 $4.84 76
ROIC Compounder $3.24 $3.69 $4.07 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $3.54 $5.05 $6.57 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($5.06) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $287M
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.9%
Net margin 13.7%
Return on equity 10.5%
Free cash flow $26.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 37.9
More key figures
Operating margin 18.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.4200
EPS growth (YoY) +4.7%
Net debt $31.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 76
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NPK International Inc., a temporary worksite access solutions company, manufactures, sells, and rents recyclable composite matting products in the United States and United Kingdom.

Full company description

NPK International Inc., a temporary worksite access solutions company, manufactures, sells, and rents recyclable composite matting products in the United States and United Kingdom. The company engages in the installation and rental of matting systems, and related site construction and services to customers in various markets, including power transmission, oil and natural gas exploration and production, pipeline, renewable energy, petrochemical, construction, and other industries. It also offers recyclable composite mats to customers worldwide; and access road construction, site planning and preparation, environmental protection, erosion control, and site restoration services. The company was formerly known as Newpark Resources, Inc. and changed its name to NPK International Inc. in December 2024. The company was founded in 1932 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas..

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NPK International Inc reported revenue of $277M in FY2025 versus $615M in FY2021, a compound −18.1%/yr. Reported net income was $35.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$277M
Latest YoY
+27.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (36Y)
+5.7%
Revenue −18.1%/yr
FY21 $615M
FY22 $193M
FY23 $208M
FY24 $217M
FY25 $277M
Net income
FY21 −$25.5M
FY22 −$20.8M
FY23 $14.5M
FY24 −$150M
FY25 $35.9M

NPKI screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NPK International Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NPKI

Peer Group

Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 16% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.82× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 51.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 17.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.30× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 4
FUTURE 80 · sector 9
PAST 42 · sector 23
HEALTH 98 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $469.98 $212.34 -55%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $142.81 $45.65 -68%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $68.61 $17.35 -75%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €76.62 €101.60 +33%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 523.20 CHF 307.66 -41%
Lennox International Inc LII $543.93 $363.09 -33%
Kingspan Group KRX €87.30 €70.76 -19%
Masco Corporation MAS $78.04 $54.36 -30%
PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC 1,420 IDR 179.76 IDR -87%
NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB kr 36.03 kr 25.37 -30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NPK International Inc (NPKI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.95 versus a price of $13.48, about −71% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NPKI?
Our model-based fair value for NPK International Inc is $3.95 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.48.
What is the quality score of NPKI?
NPK International Inc has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NPK International Inc (NPKI)?
NPK International Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $287M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NPKI?
The net profit margin of NPK International Inc is about 13.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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