NPK International Inc. (NPKI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of NPK International Inc. stock $3.75, price $8.64, that is 56.6% below the price, quality 71 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.00 – $16.35 · fair‑value band $2.90 – $5.15 · the $8.64 price screens above the $3.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 4, 2026.
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NPK International Inc., a temporary worksite access solutions company, manufactures, sells, and rents recyclable composite matting products in the United States and United Kingdom.
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The company engages in the installation and rental of matting systems, and related site construction and services to customers in various markets, including power transmission, oil and natural gas exploration and production, pipeline, renewable energy, petrochemical, construction, and other industries.
It also offers recyclable composite mats to customers worldwide; and access road construction, site planning and preparation, environmental protection, erosion control, and site restoration services.
The company was formerly known as Newpark Resources, Inc. and changed its name to NPK International Inc. in December 2024. The company was founded in 1932 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas..
Stock analysis
NPK International Inc. (NPKI) currently trades at $8.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.75, 57% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $5.09 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the $8.64 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.02, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $2.90 (bear) to $5.15 (bull), the price of $8.64 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
NPK International Inc. reported revenue of $277M in FY2025 versus $615M in FY2021, a compound −18.1%/yr. Reported net income was $35.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $742M Small · P/E ratio 18.8 · P/S ratio 2.41 · EPS (TTM) $0.4600 · Net margin 14.0% · Return on equity 11.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 13.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 55 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −57%, NPKI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$2.90Fair Value $3.75Bull$5.15
Price $8.64 · Downside -56.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3932 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $138,600, on Nov 2, 2026. Over the same period, 5 people sold shares worth $2.9M.
BuyJohn C MingeDirector15,000 shares at $9.24$138,600Nov 2, 2026
SaleMatthew James WarrenChief Accounting Officer2,991 shares at $13.41$40,109Sep 9, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleRose M RobesonDirector10,000 shares at $13.49$134,900Aug 27, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleMichael A LewisDirector4× since Nov 24, 2025: 8,052 shares, avg. $13.97$112,466Aug 17, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleLori BriggsVP & President, Ind. Solutions2× since Jun 2, 2026: 18,771 shares, avg. $14.66$275,096Jun 8, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleMatthew LaniganPresident & CEO, Director167,375 shares at $14.43$2.4MJun 3, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleGregg PiontekSenior Vice President and CFO4× since Mar 4, 2026: 173,590 shares, avg. $14.33$2.5MApr 9, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleMary Celeste FrugeVP, General Counsel2× since Mar 6, 2026: 12,193 shares, avg. $13.36$162,875Mar 16, 202610b5-1 plan
Plus 16 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.5% a year
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+36.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+36.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−16% → 17%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 13.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.5% a year for the price and +7.6% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (26 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 255 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−56.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.3% · Above median
Return on assets8.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)14.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)13.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)10.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)18.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B2.11× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)2.41× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)28.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA8.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG1.30× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)54· sector 24
PAST (return on equity)45· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NPK International Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NPKI
Frequently asked questions
Is NPK International Inc. (NPKI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.75 versus a price of $8.64, about 57% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NPKI?
Our model-based fair value for NPK International Inc. is $3.75 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.64.
What is the quality score of NPKI?
NPK International Inc. has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NPK International Inc. (NPKI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.75 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.90, optimistic scenario $5.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NPK International Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.75, about 57% lower versus a price of $8.64 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.90, optimistic scenario $5.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NPK International Inc. (NPKI)?
NPK International Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $308M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into NPK International Inc. (NPKI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, NPK International Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +23.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -10.9 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NPKI use?
Our models discount NPK International Inc. at 12.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.47, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For NPK International Inc. that is +23.4 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has NPK International Inc. (NPKI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at NPK International Inc. grew -10.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +23.4 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of NPK International Inc. (NPKI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +14.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into NPK International Inc. (+23.4 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of NPK International Inc. (NPKI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.55 %: that much free cash flow NPK International Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of NPK International Inc. (NPKI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NPK International Inc. it is $3.75 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of $8.64. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is NPK International Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, NPKI trades above its calculated fair value: price $8.64, fair value $3.75, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NPKI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.75). For NPK International Inc. the two are $4.89 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NPK International Inc. worth?
The market values NPK International Inc. at about $742M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is $8.64; our models calculate a fair value of $3.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NPKI?
Our models span a range for NPK International Inc.: cautious scenario $2.90, base $3.75, optimistic $5.15 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price $8.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NPKI?
NPK International Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.8 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $3.75 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.3, P/B 2.1, P/S 2.4, EV/EBITDA 8.6.
What is the PEG ratio of NPKI?
The PEG ratio of NPK International Inc. is 1.30 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 4, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of NPK International Inc. (NPKI)?
Balance-sheet figures for NPK International Inc. (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 11.3%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NPKI from its 52-week high?
NPK International Inc. trades at $8.64, about 47% below its 52-week high of $16.35 and at the low of $8.62 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NPK International Inc.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Johnson Controls International plc, Trane Technologies plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NPK International Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price $8.64, calculated fair value $3.75 (−57%), Quality Score 71/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NPKI calculated?
We run NPK International Inc. through 23 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $3.75 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. NPK International Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NPK International Inc. (NPKI)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $8.64. Our model-based fair value is $3.75, about 57% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NPK International Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (71/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of NPK International Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of NPK International Inc. (NPKI)?
The market capitalisation of NPK International Inc. is $742M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NPK International Inc. (NPKI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NPK International Inc. is 2.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NPK International Inc. (NPKI)?
Earnings per share at NPK International Inc. are $0.4600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of NPK International Inc. (NPKI)?
The net margin of NPK International Inc. is 14.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NPK International Inc. (NPKI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NPK International Inc. is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NPK International Inc. (NPKI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NPK International Inc. is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NPK International Inc. (NPKI)?
The operating margin of NPK International Inc. is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NPK International Inc. (NPKI)?
Revenue at NPK International Inc. is growing +10.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NPK International Inc. (NPKI)?
Earnings per share at NPK International Inc. are growing +3.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does NPK International Inc. (NPKI) carry?
The net debt of NPK International Inc. is $31.5M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 4, 2026