National Storage Affiliates Trust (NSA) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $6.5B
National Storage Affiliates Trust
NSA · US
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price −2.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($20.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $23.97 – $53.32 · fair‑value band $12.18 – $20.31 · the $43.41 price screens above the $16.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
National Storage Affiliates Trust (NSA) currently trades at $43.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.25, implying the stock looks roughly 62.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, National Storage Affiliates Trust generated revenue of $750M at a net margin of 10.5%. Revenue grew 18.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at $3.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $12.18 (bear case) to $20.31 (bull case); at $43.41, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -63%, NSA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($56.31) versus Asset-Based ($8.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
National Storage Affiliates Trust is a real estate investment trust headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado, focused on the ownership, operation and acquisition of self storage properties predominantly located within the top 100 metropolitan statistical areas throughout the United States.
Full company description
National Storage Affiliates Trust is a real estate investment trust headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado, focused on the ownership, operation and acquisition of self storage properties predominantly located within the top 100 metropolitan statistical areas throughout the United States. As of March 31, 2026, the Company held ownership interests in and operated 1,061 self storage properties, located in 37 states and Puerto Rico with approximately 69.3 million rentable square feet, excluding three properties classified as held for sale, that were sold to a third party in April 2026. NSA is one of the largest owners and operators of self storage properties among public and private companies in the United States. National Storage Affiliates Trust was incorporated in 2013 in Maryland, USA.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
National Storage Affiliates Trust reported revenue of $753M in FY2025 versus $586M in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was $73.8M in FY2025, compounding −8.5%/yr from FY2021.
NSA screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Prologis, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Public Storage (PSA) Completes Senior Notes Offering Tied To National Storage Deal
- Public Storage Closes NSA Deal: What to Expect From Q2 Results?
- Public Storage Completes Acquisition of National Storage Affiliates Trust
- Public Storage Announces Closing of National Storage Affiliates Acquisition
Peer Group
REIT - Industrial · 63 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prologis, Inc PLD | $143.42 | $61.28 | -57% |
| Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA | $322.48 | $172.80 | -46% |
| Extra Space Storage Inc EXR | $147.71 | $78.38 | -47% |
| EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP | $213.10 | $81.41 | -62% |
| Lineage, Inc LINE | $41.42 | $47.91 | +16% |
| CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U | 2.51 SGD | 2.00 SGD | -20% |
| CubeSmart CUBE | $42.09 | $25.06 | -40% |
| First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR | $66.99 | $21.48 | -68% |
| Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR | $39.00 | $21.35 | -45% |
| STAG Industrial, Inc STAG | $41.11 | $24.31 | -41% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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