Nisshinbo Holdings (NSHBY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.4B

A solid business, but screening 38% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($24.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $9.97 – $31.35 · fair‑value band $14.53 – $24.22 · the $31.35 price screens above the $19.38 fair value. As of Jul 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Nisshinbo Holdings (NSHBY) currently trades at $31.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.38, implying the stock looks roughly 38.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $570B. Revenue declined 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. Net debt stands at $134B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $14.53 (bear case) to $24.22 (bull case); at $31.35, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 134% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -38%, NSHBY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($4,172) versus Asset-Based ($2,467). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Nisshinbo Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in wireless communication, microdevice, automobile brakes, mechatronics, chemicals, textiles, and real estate businesses in China and internationally.

Full company description

Nisshinbo Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in wireless communication, microdevice, automobile brakes, mechatronics, chemicals, textiles, and real estate businesses in China and internationally. It offers disaster prevention, monitoring, video, automotive radar, and broadcasting systems; wireless communication equipment for ships; communication and sensor equipment for transportation infrastructure; bridge system for merchant shipping; close-proximity wireless solutions; ultrasonic-related devices; and equipment for the ministry of defense. The company also provides analog, small, low-power power, and single processing semiconductors, power management IC, RF and opto-semiconductor devices, and microwave electron tubes transmitter/receiver for satellite communications products; friction materials for automobile brakes; and fans for air conditioning equipment, peripheral products for automobile headlamps, and precision parts for electronically controlled brake systems. In addition, it provides insulation materials, resin modifiers, carbon separators for fuel cells, and molding and EBS valve block products; carbon products for semiconductor manufacturing equipment, airlite foam, carbodilite resin additive, bipolar plates for fuel cells, and amorphous carbon; and wrinkle-resistant shirts and uniforms, spandex, Oikos non-woven fabrics, and elastomer-related products. Further, it sells and leases real estates, including shopping centers, sport and leisure facilities, offices, housing, and housing exhibition sites. The company was incorporated in 1907 and is headquartered in Chuo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nisshinbo Holdings reported revenue of $527B in FY2025 versus $511B in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was $14.6B in FY2025, compounding −12.4%/yr from FY2021.

NSHBY screens 38% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Industrials stocks →

Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.