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New Tripoli Bancorp, Inc (NTBP) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $82.0M

NT New Tripoli Bancorp, Inc logo New Tripoli Bancorp, Inc NTBP · US
Price$1,275
Fair Value$723.19
Upside-43.3%
Quality57/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/12)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range $542.39 – $903.99 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +9.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 43% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($903.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$1,459 $619.71 Fair Value $723.19 Oct 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $619.71 – $1,459 · fair‑value band $542.39 – $903.99 · the $1,275 price screens above the $723.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

New Tripoli Bancorp, Inc (NTBP) currently trades at $1,275, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $723.19, implying the stock looks roughly 43.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $12.8M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 23.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $542.39 (bear case) to $903.99 (bull case); at $1,275, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -43%, NTBP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $533.91 $555.86 $557.40 76
Gordon GGM $285.59 $305.22 $334.14 70
P/E Multiple $542.39 $723.19 $903.99 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $285.59 $305.22 $334.14 70
DDM Multi-Stage $285.59 $330.55 $386.65 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $542.39 $723.19 $903.99 63
P/B Multiple $709.28 $945.71 $1,182 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $352.56 $472.43 $705.13 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $533.91 $555.86 $557.40 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($723.19) versus Dividend Discount ($305.22). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow $3.3M FY2024
P/E ratio 23.4
EPS (TTM) $55.64
Net cash $12.8M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

New Tripoli Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for New Tripoli Bank that provides personal and business banking products and services.

Full company description

New Tripoli Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for New Tripoli Bank that provides personal and business banking products and services. The company offers checking and savings, individual retirement, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit; personal, home, auto, recreational vehicle, term, commercial mortgage, and interest-only demand loans, as well as commercial credit lines and debit and credit cards. It also provides cash management and investment, and online and mobile banking services. The company was founded in 1910 and is based in New Tripoli, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

New Tripoli Bancorp, Inc reported revenue of $15.8M in FY2024 versus $17.3M in FY2020, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was $3.5M in FY2024, compounding −12.8%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 38/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$15.8M
Latest YoY
−5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.4%
Revenue −2.2%/yr
FY20 $17.3M
FY21 $20.0M
FY22 $20.8M
FY23 $16.7M
FY24 $15.8M
Net income −12.8%/yr
FY20 $6.1M
FY21 $7.3M
FY22 $6.8M
FY23 $3.2M
FY24 $3.5M

NTBP screens 43% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "New Tripoli Bancorp, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NTBP

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −43% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.84× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 24.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 16.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is New Tripoli Bancorp, Inc (NTBP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $723.19 versus a price of $1,275, about −43% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NTBP?
Our model-based fair value for New Tripoli Bancorp, Inc is $723.19 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1,275.
What is the quality score of NTBP?
New Tripoli Bancorp, Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of NTBP?
The net profit margin of New Tripoli Bancorp, Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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