Novaturas AB (NTU) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · PL · Market cap 37.2M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 2.63 PLN to 11.43 PLN (+334.6%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −4.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 111% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (5.13 PLN to 19.74 PLN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.56 PLN – 52.38 PLN · fair‑value band 5.13 PLN – 19.74 PLN · the 5.42 PLN price screens below the 11.43 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Novaturas AB (NTU) currently trades at 5.42 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.43 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 110.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Novaturas AB generated revenue of 168M PLN at a net margin of -0.7%. Revenue declined 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.7%. Net debt stands at 11.2M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 5.13 PLN (bear case) to 19.74 PLN (bull case); at 5.42 PLN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at 111%, NTU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (5.80 PLN) versus Asset-Based (0.5900 PLN). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Novaturas AB, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the tour operator and travel agency activities in Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia. It operates through the Flight Packages, Sightseeing Tours by Plane, Sightseeing Tours by Coach, and Other segments.
Full company description
Novaturas AB, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the tour operator and travel agency activities in Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia. It operates through the Flight Packages, Sightseeing Tours by Plane, Sightseeing Tours by Coach, and Other segments. The company offers summer and winter holiday packages, as well as sightseeing tours by coach and aircraft to various destinations. It also provides flight tickets and ordering hotels online. The company sells its products to individual clients and tour operators through a retail travel agency network and internal sales channels, as well as an e-commerce platform. Novaturas AB was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Kaunas, Lithuania.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Novaturas AB reported revenue of 168M PLN in FY2025 versus 109M PLN in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was −1.2M PLN in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Travel Services · 90 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booking Holdings BKNG | $182.80 | $152.94 | -16% |
| Airbnb, Inc ABNB | $148.62 | $57.47 | -61% |
| Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL | $286.96 | $215.19 | -25% |
| Viking Holdings VIK | $100.69 | $43.51 | -57% |
| Carnival Corporation CCL | $26.41 | $31.36 | +19% |
| Expedia Group EXPE | $268.77 | $248.63 | -7% |
| Trip.com Group TCOM | $42.45 | $88.82 | +109% |
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH | $19.46 | $20.28 | +4% |
| Global Business Travel Group GBTG | $9.40 | $4.17 | -56% |
| Travel + Leisure Co TNL | $73.27 | $27.29 | -63% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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