P.A. Nova S.A (NVA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · PL · Market cap 172M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from 34.62 PLN to 8.15 PLN (−76.5%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +8.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 54% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (10.70 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 7.51 PLN – 18.00 PLN · fair‑value band 6.49 PLN – 10.70 PLN · the 17.85 PLN price screens above the 8.15 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
P.A. Nova S.A (NVA) currently trades at 17.85 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.15 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 54.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, P.A. Nova S.A generated revenue of 228M PLN at a net margin of 10.9%. Revenue declined 29.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at 297M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 6.49 PLN (bear case) to 10.70 PLN (bull case); at 17.85 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -54%, NVA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (38.43 PLN) versus Economic Profit (5.56 PLN). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
P.A. Nova S.A. engages in the construction business in Poland. It is involved in the execution of general and industrial construction facilities; provision of design services; development activities; management of a portfolio of real estate; and delivery and implementation of computer systems, such as CAD/PDM/GIS, as well as training of engineers and …
Full company description
P.A. Nova S.A. engages in the construction business in Poland. It is involved in the execution of general and industrial construction facilities; provision of design services; development activities; management of a portfolio of real estate; and delivery and implementation of computer systems, such as CAD/PDM/GIS, as well as training of engineers and designers. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gliwice, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
P.A. Nova S.A reported revenue of 246M PLN in FY2025 versus 200M PLN in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was 22.0M PLN in FY2025, compounding −1.6%/yr from FY2021.
NVA screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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