New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc $5.14, price $4.52, upside +13.7%, quality 74 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
31‑month range $3.91 – $9.70 · fair‑value band $3.85 – $6.42 · the $4.52 price screens below the $5.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. engages in the provision of private educational services under the New Oriental brand in the People's Republic of China.
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New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. engages in the provision of private educational services under the New Oriental brand in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Educational Services and Test Preparation Courses; Private Label Products and Livestreaming E-Commerce; Overseas Study Consulting Services; and Educational Materials and Distribution. The company offers test preparation courses to students taking language and entrance exams used by educational institutions in the United States, the Commonwealth countries, and the People's Republic of China. It also provides non-academic tutoring courses; intelligent learning systems and devices to offer a digital learning experience for students; and overseas studies consulting services. In addition, the company offers online education services through the Koolearn.com platform. Further, it develops and edits educational materials for language training and test preparation. In addition, the company offers educational programs, services, and products to students through schools; learning centers; and bookstores, as well as through its online learning platforms. New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF) currently trades at $4.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.14, implying the stock looks roughly 12.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $7.59 per share, and 16 of the 24 models we run sit above the $4.52 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.66, and 8 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $3.85 (bear) to $6.42 (bull), the price of $4.52 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc reported revenue of $4.9B in FY2025 versus $4.3B in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was $372M in FY2025, compounding +2.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $7.1B · P/E ratio 16.7 · P/S ratio 1.27 · EPS (TTM) $0.2700 · Net margin 7.6% · Return on equity 10.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.2% · Operating margin 12.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 14%, NWOEF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.85Fair Value $5.14Bull $6.42
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.72/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−1.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 10%
2025 sits 59% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.3% a year for the price and +8.9% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (90 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Compare New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 141 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+14% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)13% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth20% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)26.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NWOEF
Frequently asked questions
Is New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.14 versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $4.52, about +14% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NWOEF?
Our model-based fair value for New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc is $5.14 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): $4.52.
What is the quality score of NWOEF?
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.14 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.85, optimistic scenario $6.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.14, about +14% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $4.52 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $3.85, optimistic scenario $6.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF)?
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -8.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NWOEF use?
Our models discount New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.18, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc that is -8.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc grew +6.5 % a year. The price currently implies -8.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (-8.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.92 %: that much free cash flow New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc it is $5.14 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $4.52. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, NWOEF trades below its calculated fair value: price $4.52, fair value $5.14, a gap of about +14% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NWOEF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.52); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.14). For New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc the two are $0.6200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc worth?
The market values New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc at about $7.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $4.52; our models calculate a fair value of $5.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NWOEF?
Our models span a range for New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc: cautious scenario $3.85, base $5.14, optimistic $6.42 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $4.52). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NWOEF?
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $5.14 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 1.8, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 7.1.
What is the PEG ratio of NWOEF?
The PEG ratio of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc is 0.78 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF)?
Balance-sheet figures for New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.8%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 74/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NWOEF from its 52-week high?
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc trades at $4.52, about 30% below its 52-week high of $6.45 and at the low of $4.52 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value TAL Education Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Grand Canyon Education, Inc, Physicswallah Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $4.52, calculated fair value $5.14 (+14%), Quality Score 74/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NWOEF calculated?
We run New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc currently trades 14 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at $4.52. Our model-based fair value is $5.14, about +14% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF)?
The market capitalisation of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc is $7.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc is 1.27 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF)?
Earnings per share at New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc are $0.2700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF)?
The net margin of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc is 7.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc is −0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF)?
The operating margin of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc is 12.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF)?
Revenue at New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc is growing +19.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc (NWOEF)?
Earnings per share at New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc are growing +60.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026