Nordwest Handel AG (NWX) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · DE · Market cap €52.2M
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −6.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 123% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€28.12). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €14.89 – €21.15 · fair‑value band €28.12 – €48.95 · the €16.90 price screens below the €37.66 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Nordwest Handel AG (NWX) currently trades at €16.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €37.66, implying the stock looks roughly 122.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Nordwest Handel AG generated revenue of €255M at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue declined 16.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. Net debt stands at €34.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €28.12 (bear case) to €48.95 (bull case); at €16.90, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at 123%, NWX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€49.77) versus Dividend Discount (€7.44). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nordwest Handel AG provides procurement, logistics, and sales services. The company offers smoke protection, garage, house, interior wooden, metal, and security doors; industrial gates, residential roof windows, awnings, meshes, and stairs.
Full company description
Nordwest Handel AG provides procurement, logistics, and sales services. The company offers smoke protection, garage, house, interior wooden, metal, and security doors; industrial gates, residential roof windows, awnings, meshes, and stairs. It provides loppers, handles, mixers, steel nails, buckets and tubs, gardening and landscaping, construction tools, shovels, wheelbarrows, hedge clippers, shredders, building site, tar, asphalt, and forestry equipment; and surveying technology related products; safe locks, access control, cylinders, electrical door opener, furniture and skylight fittings; railing, shelving, automatic door, and escape route safety system; door and gate fittings, ventilation, door locking, and window technology door products. In addition, the company provides fastening chemicals, dowels, wood and chipboard screws, and heavy load fastening; and steel products. Further, it offers head, eye, respiratory protection, and ear defenders, protective footwear, work and protective clothing, first aid equipment, environmental and heat protection, skin protection, cleaning and care, personal protective equipment and hand protection products; gardening and landscaping, laser measuring systems, cleaning devices, generators, woodworking, compressed air tools, metal processing, cordless, and power tools; drilling, milling, threading, indexable insert, supplementary machining, and threading tools; and countersinking tools. Additionally, the company provides angle finders, stopwatches, folding rules, spirit levels, tape measures, abrasive paper, fabric/sanding belts; diamond cutting, fan-type, non-woven, cutting and roughening discs, engineer files, key and diamond files, machine, and hand brushes, and marketing services. It sells its products under the Promat and Delphis brands. The company was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Dortmund, Germany. Nordwest Handel AG operates as a subsidiary of Dr. Helmut Rothenberger Holding GmbH.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nordwest Handel AG reported revenue of €272M in FY2025 versus €759M in FY2021, a compound −22.6%/yr. Reported net income was €7.6M in FY2025, compounding −3.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Industrial Distribution · 107 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW | $1,305 | $613.88 | -53% |
| Fastenal Company FAST | $52.22 | $20.64 | -60% |
| Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG | $245.18 | $148.98 | -39% |
| WESCO International, Inc WCC | $364.60 | $213.01 | -42% |
| Watsco, Inc WSO | $309.41 | $268.10 | -13% |
| Toromont Industries Ltd TIH | C$218.77 | C$127.90 | -42% |
| Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT | $352.29 | $191.65 | -46% |
| Finning International Inc FTT | C$93.86 | C$76.38 | -19% |
| Addtech AB ADDTB | kr 344.00 | kr 156.35 | -55% |
| Core & Main, Inc CNM | $45.45 | $49.47 | +9% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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