NextPlat Corp (NXPL) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $15.7M

Below-average quality, and screening another 32% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• A fairly wide model range ($2.90 to $5.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.72 – $175.00 · fair‑value band $2.90 – $5.49 · the $6.42 price screens above the $4.39 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

NextPlat Corp (NXPL) currently trades at $6.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.39, implying the stock looks roughly 31.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, NextPlat Corp generated revenue of $50.3M at a net margin of -19.2%. Revenue declined 32.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -45.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $12.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.90 (bear case) to $5.49 (bull case); at $6.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -32%, NXPL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

NextPlat Corp operates as a healthcare and e-commerce company in Europe, North America, South America, Asia and Pacific, and Africa. It operates through two segments, e-Commerce Operations and Healthcare Operations.

Full company description

NextPlat Corp operates as a healthcare and e-commerce company in Europe, North America, South America, Asia and Pacific, and Africa. It operates through two segments, e-Commerce Operations and Healthcare Operations. The company operates full-service retail and specialty services pharmacies that provide prescription pharmaceuticals, third-party administration, risk and data management, compounded medications, tele-pharmacy services, anti-retroviral medications, medication therapy management, medication adherence packaging, contracted pharmacy services, health practice risk management, disease testing, contracted pharmacy, and vaccinations services, as well as supplies prescription medications. It also operates e-commerce websites, as well as third-party e-commerce storefronts that provide mobile satellite services solutions for satellite-enabled voice, data, personnel and asset tracking, machine-to-machine, and internet of things connectivity services; voice, data communications, internet of things (IoT), and machine-to-machine services; tracking and monitoring services; satellite communications products; GPS enabled emergency locator distress beacons; satellite tracking devices used to monitor the location, movements, and history of anything that moves; and GTCTrack, a subscription-based mapping and tracking portal that provides a universal and hardware-agnostic, cloud-based data visualization and management platform. In addition, the company provides value-added services, such as prior authorization assistance, same-day home-medication delivery, on-site provider consultation services, primary care reporting and analytics, and customized packaging solutions. Further, it offers satellite phones, tracking devices, broadband terminals, messaging plans, and connectivity services. The company was formerly known as Orbsat Corp. and changed its name to NextPlat Corp in January 2022. NextPlat Corp was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Hallandale Beach, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NextPlat Corp reported revenue of $54.3M in FY2025 versus $7.7M in FY2021, a compound +62.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$11.7M in FY2025.

NXPL screens 32% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.