New Zealand King Salmon Investments Limited (NZK) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · AU · Market cap A$102M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from A$0.2300 to A$0.2960 (+28.7%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +2.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (30/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.1973). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (A$0.1973 to A$0.3700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.1650 – A$0.7870 · fair‑value band A$0.1973 – A$0.3700 · the A$0.1850 price screens below the A$0.2960 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
New Zealand King Salmon Investments Limited (NZK) currently trades at A$0.1850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2960, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, New Zealand King Salmon Investments Limited generated revenue of A$177M at a net margin of -5.4%. Revenue declined 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$26.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.1973 (bear case) to A$0.3700 (bull case); at A$0.1850, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 60%, NZK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
New Zealand King Salmon Investments Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the farming, processing, sale, and distribution of salmon products in New Zealand, North America, Australia, Japan, Europe, China, and internationally.
Full company description
New Zealand King Salmon Investments Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the farming, processing, sale, and distribution of salmon products in New Zealand, North America, Australia, Japan, Europe, China, and internationally. The company offers whole fish, fillets, raw portions, cold and hot smoked, wood roasted, salmon and potato cakes, caviar, oil, kibble, and pet treats, as well as ready to cook options. It is also involved in the operation of freshwater facilities that support broodstock, hatchery, and smolt production; seafarms; and open ocean farming. The company sells its products under the Ora King, Regal, Southern Ocean, Omega Plus, and New Zealand King Salmon brand names to chefs, consumers, retailers, and wholesalers. It exports its products. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Nelson, New Zealand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
New Zealand King Salmon Investments Limited reported revenue of A$175M in FY2025 versus A$175M in FY2021, a compound +0.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$9.4M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +8.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −21.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch NZK: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 288 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.90 | ¥48.19 | +18% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | -17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,120 IDR | 7,076 IDR | +127% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,540 IDR | 3,105 IDR | +102% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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