Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Omnicom Group Inc. BRL 68.84, price BRL 199, upside -65.4%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$145.48 – R$303.47 · fair‑value band R$38.60 – R$93.93 · the R$199.00 price screens above the R$68.84 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Omnicom Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, offers advertising, marketing, and corporate communications services. It provides a range of services in the areas of media and advertising, precision marketing, public relations, healthcare, branding and retail commerce, experiential, execution, and support.
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Omnicom Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, offers advertising, marketing, and corporate communications services. It provides a range of services in the areas of media and advertising, precision marketing, public relations, healthcare, branding and retail commerce, experiential, execution, and support. The company's services include advertising, branding, content marketing, crisis communications, customer data analytics and data-driven decision making, customer relationship management, decision sciences, digital experience design, digital transformation, e-commerce optimization, entertainment marketing, experiential marketing, field marketing, healthcare marketing and communications, in-store design, investor relations, and marketing research.Its services also comprise media planning and buying, merchandising and point of sale, mobile marketing, multi-cultural marketing, organizational communications, package design, performance marketing, product placement, promotional marketing, public affairs, public relations, retail media and e-commerce, shopper marketing, structured innovation, studio production, social media and influencer marketing, and sports and event marketing. It operates in the North and Latin America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA), and the Asia Pacific. The company was incorporated in 1944 and is based in New York, New York.
Stock analysis
Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34) currently trades at R$199.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$68.84, 65.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of R$216.99 per share, and 4 of the 15 models we run sit above the R$199.00 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at R$15.54, and 11 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: R$38.60 (bear) to R$93.93 (bull), the price of R$199.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Omnicom Group Inc. reported revenue of $17.3B in FY2025 versus $14.3B in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$54.5M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap R$119B (≈ $22.8B) · P/S ratio 5.99 · EPS (TTM) R$−0.9600 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin −0.3% · Return on equity 2.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.3% · Operating margin 11.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at −65%, O1MC34 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$38.60Fair Value R$68.84Bull R$93.93
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
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’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.1% (2020) → 2.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−12.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −14.7% a year for the price and +5.1% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (95 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 188 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+52.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2.0% · Below median
Return on assets4.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)0.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)11.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth69.2% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.64× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.89× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Omnicom Group Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/O1MC34
Frequently asked questions
Is Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$68.84 versus a price of R$199.00, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of O1MC34?
Our model-based fair value for Omnicom Group Inc. is R$68.84 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$199.00.
What is the quality score of O1MC34?
Omnicom Group Inc. has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$68.84 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$38.60, optimistic scenario R$93.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Omnicom Group Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$68.84, about −65% upside versus a price of R$199.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$38.60, optimistic scenario R$93.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34)?
Omnicom Group Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $19.8B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Omnicom Group Inc. pay a dividend?
Omnicom Group Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.51% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Omnicom Group Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by -12.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.6 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of O1MC34 use?
Our models discount Omnicom Group Inc. at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.66, country premium for Brazil. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Omnicom Group Inc. that is -12.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Omnicom Group Inc. grew +5.6 % a year. The price currently implies -12.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Omnicom Group Inc. (-12.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 23.37 %: that much free cash flow Omnicom Group Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Omnicom Group Inc. it is R$68.84 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of R$199.00. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Omnicom Group Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, O1MC34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$199.00, fair value R$68.84, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of O1MC34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$199.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$68.84). For Omnicom Group Inc. the two are R$130.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Omnicom Group Inc. worth?
The market values Omnicom Group Inc. at about R$119B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is R$199.00; our models calculate a fair value of R$68.84 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about O1MC34?
Our models span a range for Omnicom Group Inc.: cautious scenario R$38.60, base R$68.84, optimistic R$93.93 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price R$199.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of O1MC34?
The PEG ratio of Omnicom Group Inc. is 16.77 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34)?
Balance-sheet figures for Omnicom Group Inc. (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 2.0%, debt of 0.64 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is O1MC34 from its 52-week high?
Omnicom Group Inc. trades at R$199.00, about 13% below its 52-week high of R$229.09 and 10% above the low of R$181.72 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$68.84 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Omnicom Group Inc.?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value AppLovin Corporation, Publicis Groupe S.A, Focus Media Information Technology Co, JCDecaux SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Omnicom Group Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price R$199.00, calculated fair value R$68.84 (−65%), Quality Score 30/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of O1MC34 calculated?
We run Omnicom Group Inc. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$68.84, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Omnicom Group Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was R$199.00. Our model-based fair value is R$68.84, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Omnicom Group Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$93.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (R$38.60 to R$93.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Omnicom Group Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34)?
The market capitalisation of Omnicom Group Inc. is R$119B (≈ $22.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Omnicom Group Inc. is 5.99 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34)?
Earnings per share at Omnicom Group Inc. are R$−0.9600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34)?
The dividend yield of Omnicom Group Inc. is 1.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34)?
The net margin of Omnicom Group Inc. is −0.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Omnicom Group Inc. is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Omnicom Group Inc. is 6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34)?
The operating margin of Omnicom Group Inc. is 11.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34)?
Revenue at Omnicom Group Inc. is growing +69.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34)?
Earnings per share at Omnicom Group Inc. are growing −6.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Omnicom Group Inc. (O1MC34) carry?
The net debt of Omnicom Group Inc. is $2.2B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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