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Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited stock ₹16.42, price ₹58.88, that is 72.1% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials IN · ISIN INE426Z01016

OB Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited

OBCL · NSE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 72% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Profit last quarter 36% below a year ago.
Fair value ₹16.42 · Strongly overvalued (−72.1%)
Quality 39/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.5 %/yr in INR)
Loss-making · -2.5% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 12/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹161.95 ₹46.10 Fair Value ₹16.42 Apr 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

55‑month range ₹46.10 – ₹161.95 · fair‑value band ₹10.84 – ₹20.52 · the ₹58.88 price screens above the ₹16.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

OBCL Limited provides transportation and logistics services in India. It operates in two segments, Road Transportation Service and Trading Business. The company offers full truck load transport services for local, regional, and nation-wide cargoes.

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It maintains own fleet contains 83 commercial vehicles, such as trucks and trailers. It also trades coal, sand, iron and steel, metal, river sand, and other products. The company serves the metal, steel, coal, aluminum, cement, petrochemical, paper, marble, tiles, infra, textile, and FMCG industries.

OBCL Limited was formerly known as Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited and changes its name to OBCL Limited in March 2026. OBCL Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Raipur, India.

Stock analysis

Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL) currently trades at ₹58.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹16.42, 72% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: ₹10.84 (bear) to ₹20.52 (bull), the price of ₹58.88 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited reported revenue of ₹3.5B in FY2026 versus ₹3.0B in FY2022, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was −₹78.3M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap ₹1.2B (≈ $13.2M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.36 · EPS (TTM) ₹−4.03 · Net margin −2.5% · Return on equity −8.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 0.9% · Revenue (TTM) ₹3.4B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −72%, OBCL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹10.84 Fair Value ₹16.42 Bull ₹20.52
Price ₹58.88 · Downside -72.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) ₹5.42 ₹8.21 ₹10.26 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹5.42 ₹8.21 ₹10.26 54

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 23
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 9
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 59
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 59
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 83
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 47
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 61
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 80
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 12/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.6% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.9% (2021) → −1.6% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

OBCL screens overvalued: fair value 72% below the price. Compare with Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Trucking · 44 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −72.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −4.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −2.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −3.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.31× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Trucking median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.48× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 0.36× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 97.6× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 13
HEALTH (low debt)85 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 35

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Trucking stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings KNX $58.41 $93.46 +60% vs OBCL
TFI International Inc TFII $94.94 $112.09 +18% vs OBCL
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc ODFL $164.92 $174.14 +6% vs OBCL
Mullen Group MTL C$28.74 C$19.85 −31% vs OBCL
Werner Enterprises, Inc WERN $26.95 $16.48 −39% vs OBCL
Schneider National, Inc SNDR $27.81 $16.20 −42% vs OBCL
Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co 600611 ¥3.98 ¥1.96 −51% vs OBCL
ArcBest Corporation ARCB $127.91 $52.83 −59% vs OBCL
XPO, Inc XPO $176.95 $71.58 −60% vs OBCL
Saia, Inc SAIA $331.90 $126.27 −62% vs OBCL

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Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OBCL

Frequently asked questions

Is Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹16.42 versus a price of ₹58.88, about 72% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OBCL?
Our model-based fair value for Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is ₹16.42 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹58.88.
What is the quality score of OBCL?
Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹16.42 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹10.84, optimistic scenario ₹20.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹16.42, about 72% lower versus a price of ₹58.88 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹10.84, optimistic scenario ₹20.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.4B (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited it is ₹16.42 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of ₹58.88. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, OBCL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹58.88, fair value ₹16.42, a gap of about −72% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OBCL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹58.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹16.42). For Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited the two are ₹42.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited worth?
The market values Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited at about ₹1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is ₹58.88; our models calculate a fair value of ₹16.42 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OBCL?
Our models span a range for Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited: cautious scenario ₹10.84, base ₹16.42, optimistic ₹20.52 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price ₹58.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −8.9%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OBCL from its 52-week high?
Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited trades at ₹58.88, about 2% below its 52-week high of ₹60.27 and 16% above the low of ₹50.87 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹16.42 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc, XPO, Inc, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings, Saia, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price ₹58.88, calculated fair value ₹16.42 (−72%), Quality Score 39/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OBCL calculated?
We run Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ₹16.42 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ₹58.88. Our model-based fair value is ₹16.42, about 72% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹20.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹10.84 to ₹20.52) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL) come from?
Earnings per share at Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited grew +3.6 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.5 %, EBIT margin −3.4 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
The market capitalisation of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is ₹1.2B (≈ $13.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is 0.36 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
Earnings per share at Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited are ₹−4.03. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
The net margin of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is −2.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is −8.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
The operating margin of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
Revenue at Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is growing −3.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL)?
Earnings per share at Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited are growing −36.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL) generate?
The free cash flow of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is −₹114M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited (OBCL) carry?
The net debt of Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited is ₹683M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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