Ora Banda Mining Limited (OBM) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$2.0B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +24.1% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (A$0.7000 to A$2.37). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0250 – A$1.68 · fair‑value band A$0.7000 – A$2.37 · the A$1.34 price screens above the A$1.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Ora Banda Mining Limited (OBM) currently trades at A$1.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.28, implying the stock looks roughly 4.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ora Banda Mining Limited generated revenue of A$554M at a net margin of 41.8%. Revenue grew 80.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 85.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$44.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.7000 (bear case) to A$2.37 (bull case); at A$1.34, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 116% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -4%, OBM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$4.16) versus Dividend Discount (A$0.0800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ora Banda Mining Limited engages in the exploration, operation, and development of mineral properties and mining in Australia. The company primarily explores for gold, nickel, copper, lithium. The company holds 100% interests in the Davyhurst Gold Project located in north-west of Kalgoorlie.
Full company description
Ora Banda Mining Limited engages in the exploration, operation, and development of mineral properties and mining in Australia. The company primarily explores for gold, nickel, copper, lithium. The company holds 100% interests in the Davyhurst Gold Project located in north-west of Kalgoorlie. The company was formerly known as Eastern Goldfields Limited and changed its name to Ora Banda Mining Limited in June 2019. Ora Banda Mining Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ora Banda Mining Limited reported revenue of A$404M in FY2025 versus A$25.1M in FY2021, a compound +100.3%/yr. Reported net income was A$186M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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