OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CH · Market cap CHF 1.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from CHF 2.04 to CHF 2.01 (−1.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +11.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 60% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 3.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (CHF 1.31 to CHF 3.41). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 2.07 – CHF 6.86 · fair‑value band CHF 1.31 – CHF 3.41 · the CHF 4.98 price screens above the CHF 2.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERL) currently trades at CHF 4.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 2.01, implying the stock looks roughly 59.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, OC Oerlikon Corporation generated revenue of CHF 1.6B at a net margin of -1.2%. Revenue declined 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.9%. Net debt stands at CHF 1.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 1.31 (bear case) to CHF 3.41 (bull case); at CHF 4.98, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 146% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -60%, OERL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (CHF 3.12) versus Earnings-Based (CHF 0.3700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
OC Oerlikon Corporation AG provides surface engineering, polymer processing, and advanced manufacturing services in Europe, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates through The Oerlikon Division and The Barmag Division.
Full company description
OC Oerlikon Corporation AG provides surface engineering, polymer processing, and advanced manufacturing services in Europe, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates through The Oerlikon Division and The Barmag Division. It offers actuation systems, aircraft interior, cold plates, engine fan and compressors, engine hot section, heat exchanger, hydraulic systems, landing gears, RF components, and rocket engine components for aerospace sector. The company also provides brake and safety systems, drive train, engine systems, exhaust systems, exterior, green hydrogen, heat exchangers and EGR coolers, interior, lighting, peripherals and design parts, piping and tubing systems, steering and suspension, thermoelectrical isolation system, and transmissions for automotive sector. In addition, it offers boiler, gas turbines, hydro turbines, green hydrogen, oil and gas, steam turbines, and wind turbines for energy sector; cutting, die casting, metal forming, and plastic processing for tooling industry; and artificial joints, dental implants/abutments, medical, minimally invasive surgical instruments, spine implants, surgical instruments, and veterinary implants for medical sector. Further, the company provides various products for agriculture, beauty and personal care, consumer goods, electronics, engineering, food and packaging, logistic and environmental, metal forming and processing, mining and heavy machinery, pulp, paper and printing, and semiconductor applications; and Luxury and semiconductor products. It offers its surface solutions under Oerlikon Balzers, Oerlikon Metco, Oerlikon AM, Oerlikon Riri, and Oerlikon Fineparts brand names; and provides friction systems, turbine components, and thermoelectrical insulation systems, as well as coating equipment and components. OC Oerlikon Corporation AG was founded in 1876 and is headquartered in the Pfäffikon, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
OC Oerlikon Corporation reported revenue of CHF 1.6B in FY2025 versus CHF 2.6B in FY2021, a compound −12.3%/yr. Reported net income was −CHF 19.0M in FY2025.
OERL screens 60% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- OC Oerlikon Corp AG, Pfaffikon (OERLY) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Order Growth ...
- What Is OC Oerlikon Corporation AG's (VTX:OERL) Share Price Doing?
- OC Oerlikon Corp AG, Pfaffikon (OERLY) Full Year 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strategic ...
- Should We Be Cautious About OC Oerlikon Corporation AG's (VTX:OERL) ROE Of 0.5%?
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
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| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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