OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of OC Oerlikon Corp AG CHF 3.04, price CHF 5.91, upside -48.6%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 2.07 – CHF 6.82 · fair‑value band CHF 2.02 – CHF 4.60 · the CHF 5.91 price screens above the CHF 3.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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OC Oerlikon Corporation AG provides surface engineering, polymer processing, and advanced manufacturing services in Europe, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates through The Oerlikon Division and The Barmag Division.
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OC Oerlikon Corporation AG provides surface engineering, polymer processing, and advanced manufacturing services in Europe, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates through The Oerlikon Division and The Barmag Division. It offers actuation systems, aircraft interior, cold plates, engine fan and compressors, engine hot section, heat exchanger, hydraulic systems, landing gears, RF components, and rocket engine components for aerospace sector. The company also provides brake and safety systems, drive train, engine systems, exhaust systems, exterior, green hydrogen, heat exchangers and EGR coolers, interior, lighting, peripherals and design parts, piping and tubing systems, steering and suspension, thermoelectrical isolation system, and transmissions for automotive sector. In addition, it offers boiler, gas turbines, hydro turbines, green hydrogen, oil and gas, steam turbines, and wind turbines for energy sector; cutting, die casting, metal forming, and plastic processing for tooling industry; and artificial joints, dental implants/abutments, medical, minimally invasive surgical instruments, spine implants, surgical instruments, and veterinary implants for medical sector. Further, the company provides various products for agriculture, beauty and personal care, consumer goods, electronics, engineering, food and packaging, logistic and environmental, metal forming and processing, mining and heavy machinery, pulp, paper and printing, and semiconductor applications; and Luxury and semiconductor products. It offers its surface solutions under Oerlikon Balzers, Oerlikon Metco, Oerlikon AM, Oerlikon Riri, and Oerlikon Fineparts brand names; and provides friction systems, turbine components, and thermoelectrical insulation systems, as well as coating equipment and components. OC Oerlikon Corporation AG was founded in 1876 and is headquartered in the Pfäffikon, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL) currently trades at CHF 5.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 3.04, implying the stock looks roughly 94.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of CHF 3.12 per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the CHF 5.91 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at CHF 0.3700, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: CHF 2.02 (bear) to CHF 4.60 (bull), the price of CHF 5.91 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
OC Oerlikon Corp AG reported revenue of CHF 1.6B in FY2025 versus CHF 2.6B in FY2021, a compound −12.3%/yr. Reported net income was −CHF 19.0M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap CHF 1.9B · P/S ratio 0.91 · EPS (TTM) CHF −0.1600 · Dividend yield 14.4% · Net margin −1.2% · Return on equity −4.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9% · Operating margin 3.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 186% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −49%, OERL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear CHF 2.02Fair Value CHF 3.04Bull CHF 4.60
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.7% (2020) → 5.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +19.4% a year for the price and +2.6% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (37 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 826 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−49% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)14.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.73× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.56× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)1.49× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF22.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA20.9× · Pricier than median
PEG1.28× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)63· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OC Oerlikon Corp AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OERL
Frequently asked questions
Is OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 3.04 versus a price of CHF 5.91, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OERL?
Our model-based fair value for OC Oerlikon Corp AG is CHF 3.04 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 5.91.
What is the quality score of OERL?
OC Oerlikon Corp AG has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 3.04 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 2.02, optimistic scenario CHF 4.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OC Oerlikon Corp AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 3.04, about −49% upside versus a price of CHF 5.91 (overvalued). Cautious scenario CHF 2.02, optimistic scenario CHF 4.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
OC Oerlikon Corp AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 1.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does OC Oerlikon Corp AG pay a dividend?
OC Oerlikon Corp AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 14.38% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, OC Oerlikon Corp AG would have to grow free cash flow by +20.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -7.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OERL use?
Our models discount OC Oerlikon Corp AG at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.00, country premium for Switzerland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For OC Oerlikon Corp AG that is +20.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at OC Oerlikon Corp AG grew -7.0 % a year. The price currently implies +20.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into OC Oerlikon Corp AG (+20.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.40 %: that much free cash flow OC Oerlikon Corp AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OC Oerlikon Corp AG it is CHF 3.04 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of CHF 5.91. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OC Oerlikon Corp AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, OERL trades above its calculated fair value: price CHF 5.91, fair value CHF 3.04, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OERL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 5.91); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 3.04). For OC Oerlikon Corp AG the two are CHF 2.87 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OC Oerlikon Corp AG worth?
The market values OC Oerlikon Corp AG at about CHF 1.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is CHF 5.91; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 3.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OERL?
Our models span a range for OC Oerlikon Corp AG: cautious scenario CHF 2.02, base CHF 3.04, optimistic CHF 4.60 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price CHF 5.91). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of OERL?
The PEG ratio of OC Oerlikon Corp AG is 1.28 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
Balance-sheet figures for OC Oerlikon Corp AG (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −4.9%, debt of 0.73 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OERL from its 52-week high?
OC Oerlikon Corp AG trades at CHF 5.91, at its 52-week high of CHF 5.92 and 186% above the low of CHF 2.07 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of CHF 3.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OC Oerlikon Corp AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OC Oerlikon Corp AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price CHF 5.91, calculated fair value CHF 3.04 (−49%), Quality Score 43/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OERL calculated?
We run OC Oerlikon Corp AG through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of CHF 3.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. OC Oerlikon Corp AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was CHF 5.91. Our model-based fair value is CHF 3.04, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OC Oerlikon Corp AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 4.60). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (CHF 2.02 to CHF 4.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL) come from?
Earnings per share at OC Oerlikon Corp AG grew −11.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.6 %, EBIT margin −4.2 %, tax rate −2.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of OC Oerlikon Corp AG
How large is the market capitalisation of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
The market capitalisation of OC Oerlikon Corp AG is CHF 1.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OC Oerlikon Corp AG is 0.91 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
Earnings per share at OC Oerlikon Corp AG are CHF −0.1600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
The dividend yield of OC Oerlikon Corp AG is 14.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
The net margin of OC Oerlikon Corp AG is −1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OC Oerlikon Corp AG is −4.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OC Oerlikon Corp AG is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
The operating margin of OC Oerlikon Corp AG is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
Revenue at OC Oerlikon Corp AG is growing −2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
Earnings per share at OC Oerlikon Corp AG are growing −60.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL) carry?
The net debt of OC Oerlikon Corp AG is CHF 1.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 14.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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