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OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of OC Oerlikon Corp AG stock CHF 3.92, price CHF 5.04, that is 22.2% below the price, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials CH · ISIN CH0000816824

OO OC Oerlikon Corp AG logo Some data Nov 7, 2026

OC Oerlikon Corp AG

OERL · SW
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 22% below what the stock costs today.

Highly profitable · 21.4% net margin (TTM)
Generates free cash flow
Upbeat coverage
Quality 45/100
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY −33.9 %/yr in CHF)
Moderate debt
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Some data
Profit last quarter 61% below a year ago.
Fair value CHF 3.92 · Overvalued
16.9% dividend yield · Pays more than it earns
Narrow moat 43/100 · thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

CHF 6.82 CHF 2.07 Fair Value CHF 3.92 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 2.07 – CHF 6.82 · fair‑value band CHF 2.50 – CHF 6.47 · the CHF 5.04 price screens above the CHF 3.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

OC Oerlikon Corporation AG provides surface engineering, polymer processing, and advanced manufacturing services in Europe, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates through The Oerlikon Division and The Barmag Division.

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It offers actuation systems, aircraft interior, cold plates, engine fan and compressors, engine hot section, heat exchanger, hydraulic systems, landing gears, RF components, and rocket engine components for aerospace sector.

The company also provides brake and safety systems, drive train, engine systems, exhaust systems, exterior, green hydrogen, heat exchangers and EGR coolers, interior, lighting, peripherals and design parts, piping and tubing systems, steering and suspension, thermoelectrical isolation system, and transmissions for automotive sector.

In addition, it offers boiler, gas turbines, hydro turbines, green hydrogen, oil and gas, steam turbines, and wind turbines for energy sector; cutting, die casting, metal forming, and plastic processing for tooling industry; and artificial joints, dental implants/abutments, medical, minimally invasive surgical instruments, spine implants, surgical instruments, and veterinary implants for medical sector.

Further, the company provides various products for agriculture, beauty and personal care, consumer goods, electronics, engineering, food and packaging, logistic and environmental, metal forming and processing, mining and heavy machinery, pulp, paper and printing, and semiconductor applications; and Luxury and semiconductor products.

It offers its surface solutions under Oerlikon Balzers, Oerlikon Metco, Oerlikon AM, Oerlikon Riri, and Oerlikon Fineparts brand names; and provides friction systems, turbine components, and thermoelectrical insulation systems, as well as coating equipment and components.

OC Oerlikon Corporation AG was founded in 1876 and is headquartered in the Pfäffikon, Switzerland.

Stock analysis

OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL) currently trades at CHF 5.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 3.92, 22% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of CHF 5.71 per share, and 3 of the 11 models we run sit above the CHF 5.04 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at CHF 0.6500, and 8 of the 11 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: CHF 2.50 (bear) to CHF 6.47 (bull), the price of CHF 5.04 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.

OC Oerlikon Corp AG reported revenue of CHF 1.6B in FY2025 versus CHF 2.6B in FY2021, a compound −12.3%/yr. Reported net income was −CHF 19.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap CHF 1.6B Small · P/E ratio 56.0 · P/S ratio 1.16 · EPS (TTM) CHF 0.0900 · Net margin −1.2% · Return on equity 3.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 9.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 123% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −22%, OERL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear CHF 2.50 Fair Value CHF 3.92 Bull CHF 6.47
Price CHF 5.04 · Downside -22.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF CHF 2.50 CHF 3.92 CHF 6.47 79
Growth DCF CHF 2.67 CHF 4.04 CHF 6.30 77
Owner Earnings CHF 1.28 CHF 2.25 CHF 3.99 74
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF CHF 2.50 CHF 3.92 CHF 6.47 79
Owner Earnings CHF 1.28 CHF 2.25 CHF 3.99 74
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 1.50 CHF 2.58 CHF 4.13 71
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 4.15 CHF 7.16 CHF 11.14 74
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 1.82 CHF 2.64 CHF 3.50 67
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 3.45 CHF 5.41 CHF 7.53 68
Earnings-Based
EPV CHF 0.3700 CHF 0.6500 CHF 0.8900 71
Multiples
EV/EBIT n/a n/a CHF 1.03 61
EV/EBITDA CHF 3.14 CHF 5.71 CHF 8.28 65
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 2.67 CHF 4.04 CHF 6.30 77
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 1.50 CHF 2.67 CHF 4.12 71
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder CHF 0.3700 CHF 0.6500 CHF 0.8900 70

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 16
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 42
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 17
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 95
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 56
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 80
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 88
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 76
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.7% (2020) → 5.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.6% a year for the price and +5.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+3.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+8.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+7.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+6.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+6.0%

OERL screens overvalued: fair value 22% below the price. Compare with SIE →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (38 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 813 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −21.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 3.3% · Below median
Return on assets −0.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 21.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 9.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 16.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.73× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 56.0× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.38× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)5 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)3 · sector 30
PAST (return on equity)13 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)63 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 29

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Cummins Inc CMI $450.07 $359.36 −20% vs OERL
SIE SIE €263.65 €149.56 −43% vs OERL
AMETEK, Inc AME $228.67 $125.74 −45% vs OERL
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $280.95 $154.30 −45% vs OERL
Sandvik AB SAND kr 357.40 kr 194.33 −46% vs OERL
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $917.79 $492.92 −46% vs OERL
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $375.86 $186.75 −50% vs OERL
Emerson Electric Co EMR $162.35 $79.99 −51% vs OERL
Eaton Corporation ETN $341.72 $156.90 −54% vs OERL
GE Vernova Inc GEV $774.11 $143.50 −81% vs OERL

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OC Oerlikon Corp AG: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OC Oerlikon Corp AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OERL

Frequently asked questions

Is OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 3.92 versus a price of CHF 5.04, about 22% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OERL?
Our model-based fair value for OC Oerlikon Corp AG is CHF 3.92 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 5.04.
What is the quality score of OERL?
OC Oerlikon Corp AG has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 3.92 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 2.50, optimistic scenario CHF 6.47. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OC Oerlikon Corp AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 3.92, about 22% lower versus a price of CHF 5.04 (overvalued). Cautious scenario CHF 2.50, optimistic scenario CHF 6.47. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
OC Oerlikon Corp AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 1.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, OC Oerlikon Corp AG would have to grow free cash flow by +14.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -7.0 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OERL use?
Our models discount OC Oerlikon Corp AG at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.99, country premium for Switzerland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For OC Oerlikon Corp AG that is +14.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at OC Oerlikon Corp AG grew -7.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +14.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into OC Oerlikon Corp AG (+14.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.29 %: that much free cash flow OC Oerlikon Corp AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OC Oerlikon Corp AG it is CHF 3.92 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of CHF 5.04. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 5 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is OC Oerlikon Corp AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, OERL trades above its calculated fair value: price CHF 5.04, fair value CHF 3.92, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OERL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 5.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 3.92). For OC Oerlikon Corp AG the two are CHF 1.12 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OC Oerlikon Corp AG worth?
The market values OC Oerlikon Corp AG at about CHF 1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is CHF 5.04; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 3.92 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OERL?
Our models span a range for OC Oerlikon Corp AG: cautious scenario CHF 2.50, base CHF 3.92, optimistic CHF 6.47 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price CHF 5.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OERL?
OC Oerlikon Corp AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 56.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of CHF 3.92 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 78.3 (the reported result was a loss). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 36.8. Other multiples: PEG 0.4.
What is the PEG ratio of OERL?
The PEG ratio of OC Oerlikon Corp AG is 0.38 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
Balance-sheet figures for OC Oerlikon Corp AG (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 3.3%, debt of 0.73 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OERL from its 52-week high?
OC Oerlikon Corp AG trades at CHF 5.04, about 15% below its 52-week high of CHF 5.94 and 123% above the low of CHF 2.26 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of CHF 3.92 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OC Oerlikon Corp AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OC Oerlikon Corp AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price CHF 5.04, calculated fair value CHF 3.92 (−22%), Quality Score 45/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OERL calculated?
We run OC Oerlikon Corp AG through 12 models from 5 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of CHF 3.92 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. OC Oerlikon Corp AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was CHF 5.04. Our model-based fair value is CHF 3.92, about 22% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OC Oerlikon Corp AG right now?
Weak quality (45/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (CHF 2.50 to CHF 6.47) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL) come from?
Earnings per share at OC Oerlikon Corp AG grew −11.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.6 %, EBIT margin −4.2 %, tax rate −2.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of OC Oerlikon Corp AG

How large is the market capitalisation of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
The market capitalisation of OC Oerlikon Corp AG is CHF 1.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OC Oerlikon Corp AG is 1.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
Earnings per share at OC Oerlikon Corp AG are CHF 0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 56.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
The net margin of OC Oerlikon Corp AG is −1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OC Oerlikon Corp AG is 3.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OC Oerlikon Corp AG is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
The operating margin of OC Oerlikon Corp AG is 9.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
Revenue at OC Oerlikon Corp AG is growing +0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL)?
Earnings per share at OC Oerlikon Corp AG are growing −60.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does OC Oerlikon Corp AG (OERL) carry?
The net debt of OC Oerlikon Corp AG is CHF 1.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 14.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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