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Orbit Garant Drilling Inc (OGD) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$46.2M

OG Orbit Garant Drilling Inc OGD · TO
PriceC$1.40
Fair ValueC$2.95
Upside+110.7%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: High Range C$1.63 – C$4.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from C$2.36 to C$2.95 (+25.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +17.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 111% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$1.63). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (C$1.63 to C$4.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$2.44 C$0.4300 Fair Value C$2.95 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.4300 – C$2.44 · fair‑value band C$1.63 – C$4.20 · the C$1.40 price screens below the C$2.95 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Orbit Garant Drilling Inc (OGD) currently trades at C$1.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$2.95, implying the stock looks roughly 110.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Orbit Garant Drilling Inc generated revenue of C$193M at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. Net debt stands at C$29.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$1.63 (bear case) to C$4.20 (bull case); at C$1.40, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 111%, OGD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF C$1.00 C$1.47 C$2.02 80
Residual Income C$1.45 C$1.58 C$1.85 76
Rev-Margin DCF C$1.70 C$3.08 C$4.60 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$0.9900 C$1.53 C$2.19 38
Owner Earnings C$0.8000 C$1.27 C$1.85 31
5Y Revenue Exit C$1.70 C$3.08 C$4.81 39
5Y EBITDA Exit C$2.30 C$4.18 C$6.32 41
5Y P/E Exit C$1.35 C$2.44 C$3.54 38
10Y Revenue Exit C$1.29 C$2.34 C$3.70 36
10Y EBITDA Exit C$1.68 C$2.98 C$4.66 37
10Y P/E Exit C$1.17 C$1.96 C$2.89 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$1.34 C$3.73 C$4.90 54
Lynch FV C$0.7500 C$1.07 C$1.39 50
PEG = 1.0 C$0.7500 C$1.07 C$1.39 46
EPV C$1.34 C$1.57 C$1.75 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$2.52 C$3.36 C$4.20 63
P/S Multiple C$2.52 C$3.36 C$4.20 58
P/B Multiple C$2.52 C$3.36 C$4.20 55
EV/EBIT C$2.92 C$4.08 C$5.25 53
EV/EBITDA C$3.90 C$5.39 C$6.88 54
EV/Revenue C$2.46 C$3.75 C$5.05 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.9000 C$1.20 C$1.79 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$1.00 C$1.47 C$2.02 80
Rev-Margin DCF C$1.70 C$3.08 C$4.60 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$1.45 C$1.58 C$1.85 76
ROIC Compounder C$1.34 C$1.57 C$1.75 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$2.05 C$2.92 C$3.80 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (C$3.36) versus Earnings-Based (C$1.07). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$193M
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.7%
Net margin 1.4%
Return on equity 4.0%
Free cash flow C$7.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 17.3
More key figures
Operating margin -3.2%
EPS (TTM) C$0.0700
EPS growth (YoY) +200%
Net debt C$29.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 26
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Orbit Garant Drilling Inc. provides mineral drilling services in Canada, the United States, Central and South America, and West Africa. The company provides surface and underground diamond drilling to mining companies through various stages of mineral exploration, mine development, and production.

Full company description

Orbit Garant Drilling Inc. provides mineral drilling services in Canada, the United States, Central and South America, and West Africa. The company provides surface and underground diamond drilling to mining companies through various stages of mineral exploration, mine development, and production. It also offers geotechnical and water drilling services to mining or mineral exploration companies, engineering and environmental consultant firms, and government agencies. In addition, the company manufactures and sells conventional and specialized drill rigs, as well as ancillary equipment. Orbit Garant Drilling Inc. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Val-D'or, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Orbit Garant Drilling Inc reported revenue of C$189M in FY2025 versus C$163M in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was C$7.5M in FY2025, compounding +34.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$189M
Latest YoY
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.5%
Revenue +3.7%/yr
FY21 C$163M
FY22 C$195M
FY23 C$201M
FY24 C$181M
FY25 C$189M
Net income +34.6%/yr
FY21 C$2.3M
FY22 −C$6.6M
FY23 −C$669K
FY24 −C$1.3M
FY25 C$7.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orbit Garant Drilling Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OGD

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +111% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.37× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.48× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.17× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 14 · sector 23
PAST 16 · sector 0
HEALTH 82 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 21

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 942.42 MXN -34%
Rio Tinto Group RIO A$164.89 A$81.76 -50%
Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 199.23 MXN 187.72 MXN -6%
Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.14 -36%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.20 ¥16.15 -11%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$18.47 A$18.62 +1%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥74.71 ¥9.55 -87%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹521.95 ₹576.80 +11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥39.56 ¥10.59 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Orbit Garant Drilling Inc (OGD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$2.95 versus a price of C$1.40, about +111% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OGD?
Our model-based fair value for Orbit Garant Drilling Inc is C$2.95 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$1.40.
What is the quality score of OGD?
Orbit Garant Drilling Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Orbit Garant Drilling Inc (OGD)?
Orbit Garant Drilling Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$193M (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OGD?
The net profit margin of Orbit Garant Drilling Inc is about 1.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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