OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc $0.73, price $0.59, upside +23.3%, quality 90 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
10‑month range $0.2842 – $0.7307 · fair‑value band $0.5100 – $0.9400 · the $0.5922 price screens below the $0.7300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 24, 2026.
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OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc. engages in the exploration, development, production, and utilization of gold, copper, silver, and other mineral resources in the Philippines. It holds an interest in the Didipio Mine project covering an area of approximately 334 hectares, located in the northern Luzon region of the Philippines.
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OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc. engages in the exploration, development, production, and utilization of gold, copper, silver, and other mineral resources in the Philippines. It holds an interest in the Didipio Mine project covering an area of approximately 334 hectares, located in the northern Luzon region of the Philippines. The company was formerly known as Australasian Philippines Mining Inc. and changed its name to OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc. in January 2006. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Kasibu, the Philippines. OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc. is a subsidiary of OceanaGold (Philippines) Holdings, Inc.
Stock analysis
OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF) currently trades at $0.5922, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7300, implying the stock looks roughly 18.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $1.14 per share, and 14 of the 25 models we run sit above the $0.5922 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.1600, and 11 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.5100 (bear) to $0.9400 (bull), the price of $0.5922 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 90/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc reported revenue of $439M in FY2025 versus $309M in FY2022, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was $76.5M in FY2025, compounding +11.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $1.4B · P/E ratio 10.6 · P/S ratio 1.85 · EPS (TTM) $0.0500 · Dividend yield 9.8% · Net margin 17.4% · Return on equity 22.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 23%, OGPIF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.5100Fair Value $0.7300Bull $0.9400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.97/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+28.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.4%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
27.4% (2022) → 29.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−6.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −8.4% a year for the price.
Compare OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 233 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score90 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+23.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)22.7% · Above median
Return on assets16.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)22.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)38.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth31.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)9.8% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
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Is OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.7300 versus a price of $0.5922, about +23% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OGPIF?
Our model-based fair value for OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc is $0.7300 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.5922.
What is the quality score of OGPIF?
OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc has a Quality Score of 90/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.7300 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5100, optimistic scenario $0.9400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.7300, about +23% upside versus a price of $0.5922 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.5100, optimistic scenario $0.9400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF)?
OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $549M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc pay a dividend?
OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.79% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -6.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +12.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OGPIF use?
Our models discount OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.01, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc that is -6.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc grew +12.4 % a year. The price currently implies -6.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (-6.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.19 %: that much free cash flow OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc it is $0.7300 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.5922. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, OGPIF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.5922, fair value $0.7300, a gap of about +23% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OGPIF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.5922); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.7300). For OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc the two are $0.1378 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc worth?
The market values OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc at about $1.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.5922; our models calculate a fair value of $0.7300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OGPIF?
Our models span a range for OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc: cautious scenario $0.5100, base $0.7300, optimistic $0.9400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.5922). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OGPIF?
OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.7300 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.5, P/S 2.5, EV/EBITDA 5.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF)?
Balance-sheet figures for OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 22.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 90/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.5922, calculated fair value $0.7300 (+23%), Quality Score 90/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OGPIF calculated?
We run OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.7300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc currently trades 19 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $0.5922. Our model-based fair value is $0.7300, about +23% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc right now?
A fairly wide model range ($0.5100 to $0.9400) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF)?
The market capitalisation of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc is $1.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc is 1.85 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF)?
Earnings per share at OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc are $0.0500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF)?
The dividend yield of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc is 9.8% (payout 116%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF)?
The net margin of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc is 17.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc is 22.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc is 12.2% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF)?
The operating margin of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc is 38.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF)?
Revenue at OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc is growing +31.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF)?
Earnings per share at OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc are growing +133% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026