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OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $1.4B

OP OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc logo OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc OGPIF · US
Price$0.6634
Fair Value$0.6700
Upside+1.0%
Quality90/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 20.0% net margin
generates free cash flow
11.51% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: High Range $0.5000 – $0.8400 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +35.1% over the past month.

A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $0.5000 (bear) to $0.8400 (bull), base $0.6700. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 90/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (9 months)

$0.7391 $0.2874 Fair Value $0.6700 Nov 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

9‑month range $0.2874 – $0.7391 · fair‑value band $0.5000 – $0.8400 · the $0.6634 price screens below the $0.6700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF) currently trades at $0.6634, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6700, implying the stock looks roughly 1.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 90/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc generated revenue of $518M at a net margin of 20.0%. Revenue grew 99.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 13.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.5000 (bear case) to $0.8400 (bull case); at $0.6634, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 131% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 1%, OGPIF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $0.2200 $0.2600 $0.4000 76
Growth DCF $0.9200 $1.63 $2.62 72
Gordon GGM $0.3300 $0.6000 $0.8200 70
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.9500 $1.59 $3.05 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.5700 $0.9200 $1.39 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.7900 $1.39 $2.17 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.6600 $1.11 $1.65 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.6900 $1.07 $1.65 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.8300 $1.40 $2.30 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.7600 $1.20 $1.87 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.2300 $1.34 $1.87 54
Lynch FV $0.3800 $0.5400 $0.7100 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.3800 $0.5400 $0.7100 46
EPV $0.3900 $0.4400 $0.4800 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.3300 $0.6000 $0.8200 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.3300 $0.5400 $0.6400 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.5000 $0.6700 $0.8400 63
P/S Multiple $0.3600 $0.4800 $0.6000 58
P/B Multiple $0.4300 $0.5700 $0.7100 55
EV/EBIT $0.7900 $1.04 $1.29 53
EV/EBITDA $0.7400 $0.9800 $1.21 54
EV/Revenue $0.3700 $0.5200 $0.6600 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1200 $0.1600 $0.2400 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.9200 $1.63 $2.62 72
Rev-Margin DCF $0.5700 $0.9200 $1.39 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.2200 $0.2600 $0.4000 76
ROIC Compounder $0.4400 $0.5800 $0.7500 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.5500 $0.7800 $1.01 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($1.20) versus Asset-Based ($0.1600). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $518M
Revenue growth (YoY) +99.7%
Net margin 20.0%
Return on equity 19.1%
Free cash flow $178M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.3
More key figures
Operating margin 34.3%
EPS (TTM) $0.0400
Dividend yield 11.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +362%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 90/100

Of which business quality 86 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 30
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc. engages in the exploration, development, production, and utilization of gold, copper, silver, and other mineral resources in the Philippines. It holds an interest in the Didipio Mine project covering an area of approximately 334 hectares, located in the northern Luzon region of the Philippines.

Full company description

OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc. engages in the exploration, development, production, and utilization of gold, copper, silver, and other mineral resources in the Philippines. It holds an interest in the Didipio Mine project covering an area of approximately 334 hectares, located in the northern Luzon region of the Philippines. The company was formerly known as Australasian Philippines Mining Inc. and changed its name to OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc. in January 2006. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Kasibu, the Philippines. OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc. is a subsidiary of OceanaGold (Philippines) Holdings, Inc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc reported revenue of $439M in FY2025 versus $309M in FY2022, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was $76.5M in FY2025, compounding +11.7%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 97/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$439M
Latest YoY
+28.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.4%
Revenue +12.4%/yr
FY22 $309M
FY23 $371M
FY24 $343M
FY25 $439M
Net income +11.7%/yr
FY22 $54.9M
FY23 $26.8M
FY24 $30.0M
FY25 $76.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OGPIF

Peer Group

Gold · 259 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 90 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +1% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Above median
Return on assets 14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 34% · Above median
Revenue growth 100% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 11.5% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.62× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.75× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 35 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 100
PAST 76 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $112.00 $132.73 +19%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.36 ¥30.58 +8%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM C$191.93 C$154.33 -20%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $34.93 $50.66 +45%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM C$152.57 C$52.47 -66%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV C$284.75 C$97.76 -66%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $76.35 $88.63 +16%
Gold Fields Limited GFI $33.33 $59.06 +77%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $22.57 $34.62 +53%
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$20.48 A$15.98 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6700 versus a price of $0.6634, about +1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of OGPIF?
Our model-based fair value for OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc is $0.6700 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.6634.
What is the quality score of OGPIF?
OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc has a Quality Score of 90/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc (OGPIF)?
OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $518M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OGPIF?
The net profit margin of OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc is about 20.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc pay a dividend?
OceanaGold (Philippines) Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.51% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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