Oil Refineries Ltd (OILRF) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $1.5B
What is Oil Refineries Ltd really worth?
Oil Refineries Ltd
OILRF · US
A solid business, but trading 59% above our fair value of $0.4235.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 19, 2026, revised from $0.2300 to $0.4235 (+84.1%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +30.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.5340). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0036 – $2.68 · fair‑value band $0.3130 – $0.5340 · the $0.6715 price screens above the $0.4235 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
Oil Refineries Ltd (OILRF) currently trades at $0.6715, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4235, implying the stock looks roughly 58.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $0.3700 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the $0.6715 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.1400, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Oil Refineries Ltd generated revenue of $6.2B at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue grew 24.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. Net debt stands at $792M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.3130 (bear case) to $0.5340 (bull case); at $0.6715, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 242% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −56% fair-value upside, at −37%, OILRF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.0060 per share, which is 1.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($0.3700) versus Earnings-Based ($0.1400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Oil Refineries Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells finished petroleum products, intermediate products, and aromatics in Israel, Asia, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Refining, Polymers, Investments in an Oil Asset, and Other segments.
Full company description
Oil Refineries Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells finished petroleum products, intermediate products, and aromatics in Israel, Asia, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Refining, Polymers, Investments in an Oil Asset, and Other segments. The company offers gasoline, naphtha, diesel fuel, kerosene, fuel oil, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and bitumen to fuel and gas marketing companies; and infrastructure services, including the storage, pumping, and distribution of petroleum products. It also provides aromatics, such as benzene, toluene, xylene, paraxylene, orthoxylene phthalic anhydrides, and solvents for clothing, packaging, medicines, paint, cosmetics, computers, domestic maintenance products, and automotive parts applications. In addition, the company provides polymers comprising polypropylene and low-density polyethylene, which are used as raw materials for the plastics industry; and feedstock consisting of propylene and ethylene to manufacture polymers. Further, it is also involved in the production and operation of shallow-water oil and gas assets in the Gulf of America in the United States; leasing of tankers for maritime shipping of fuel products; and trading and shipping activities. Oil Refineries Ltd. was incorporated in 1959 and is headquartered in Haifa, Israel.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Oil Refineries Ltd reported revenue of $6.3B in FY2025 versus $6.6B in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was $50.9M in FY2025, compounding −33.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.2 % · buybacks/dilution +0.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
OILRF screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 116 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,314 | ₹835.66 | −36% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $352.36 | $127.32 | −64% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $368.83 | $133.18 | −64% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $242.23 | $99.41 | −59% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.28 | €3.83 | −88% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 75.80 TWD | 15.32 TWD | −80% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $87.93 | $44.96 | −49% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹318.00 | ₹846.81 | +166% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 122,400 KRW | 53,541 KRW | −56% |
| Sunoco LP, SUN | $75.55 | $53.36 | −29% |
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