Oriental Land Co (OLCLY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $23.3B
Oriental Land Co
OLCLY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price +12.2% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $13.45 – $25.17 · fair‑value band $7.41 – $13.43 · the $16.42 price screens above the $10.74 fair value. As of Jul 19, 2026.
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Oriental Land Co (OLCLY) currently trades at $16.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.74, implying the stock looks roughly 34.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Oriental Land Co generated revenue of $705B at a net margin of 17.3%. Revenue grew 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $142B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.41 (bear case) to $13.43 (bull case); at $16.42, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -35%, OLCLY screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Oriental Land Co., Ltd. operates and manages theme parks and hotels in Japan. It operates through Theme Park and Hotels segments. The Theme Park segment operates and manages Tokyo Disneyland and Tokyo DisneySea theme parks. The Hotel Business segment operates and manages Tokyo Disneyland Hotel, Tokyo DisneySea Hotel MiraCosta, Disney Ambassador Hotel, Tokyo Disney Celebration Hotel, Tokyo Disney Resort Toy Story Hotel, and Tokyo DisneySea Fantasy Springs Hotel. The company also operates and manages Ikspiari, a shopping complex that includes shops and restaurants, and a cinema complex; and Disney Resort Line, a monorail connecting four stations. It is also involved in the land development and maintenance of landscaping. Oriental Land Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1960 and is based in Urayasu, Japan.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Oriental Land Co reported revenue of $747B in FY2026 versus $276B in FY2022, a compound +28.3%/yr. Reported net income was $129B in FY2026, compounding +100.0%/yr from FY2022.
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10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
| Pop Mart International Group PMRTY | $21.06 | $7.00 | -67% |
| ANTA Sports Products Limited ANPDF | $9.10 | $7.74 | -15% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $35.41 | $19.60 | -45% |
| BANDAI NAMCO Holdings NCBDY | $11.23 | $15.86 | +41% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $83.88 | $69.36 | -17% |
| Games Workshop Group GWKSY | $29.20 | $15.62 | -47% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $33.40 | $16.15 | -52% |
| Shimano Inc SMNNY | $11.55 | $5.70 | -51% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $94.55 | $28.69 | -70% |
| Li Ning Company LNNGF | $2.14 | $3.65 | +70% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.