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Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · ID · ISIN ID1000167802

OM Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT

OLIV · JK

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 10.15 IDR · Strongly overvalued (−83%)
!Quality 60/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −20.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -81.1% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

187.00 IDR 4.00 IDR Fair Value 10.15 IDR May 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

52‑month range 4.00 IDR – 187.00 IDR · fair‑value band 8.51 IDR – 12.06 IDR · the 60.00 IDR price screens above the 10.15 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk engages in the wholesale trading of household appliances and equipment in Indonesia. The company offers cork, woven goods from straw, rattan, bamboo, and other related products.

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PT Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk engages in the wholesale trading of household appliances and equipment in Indonesia. The company offers cork, woven goods from straw, rattan, bamboo, and other related products. It also engages in the retail trading of glassware; kitchen supplies and utensils; specialized carpets, rugs, and wall and floor coverings; and stone, clay, wood, bamboo or rattan, and textiles. In addition, the company is involved in the completion of building construction and interior design activities. The company sells its products through postal retail trade; internet ordering; and furniture and other wood goods industries. PT Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Jakarta Timur, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV) currently trades at 60.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.15 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 491.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 13.08 IDR per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 60.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 6.42 IDR, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 8.51 IDR (bear) to 12.06 IDR (bull), the price of 60.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT reported revenue of 10.2B IDR in FY2025 versus 50.4B IDR in FY2021, a compound −33.0%/yr. Reported net income was −8.2B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 114B IDR (≈ $11.4M) · P/E ratio 65.7 · P/S ratio 9.34 · EPS (TTM) 0.9130 IDR · Net margin −81.1% · Return on equity −20.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.1% · Operating margin −103%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and 253% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −83%, OLIV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 8.51 IDR Fair Value 10.15 IDR Bull 12.06 IDR
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.6429 IDR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 12.16 IDR 16.94 IDR 25.78 IDR 80
Growth DCF 12.73 IDR 17.36 IDR 25.29 IDR 79
5Y Revenue Exit 7.22 IDR 9.40 IDR 12.54 IDR 74
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 12.16 IDR 16.94 IDR 25.78 IDR 80
5Y Revenue Exit 7.22 IDR 9.40 IDR 12.54 IDR 74
10Y Revenue Exit 8.95 IDR 10.75 IDR 12.56 IDR 68
Multiples
EV/Revenue 4.50 IDR 6.42 IDR 8.35 IDR 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9.76 IDR 13.08 IDR 19.52 IDR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 12.73 IDR 17.36 IDR 25.29 IDR 79
Rev-Margin DCF 7.22 IDR 9.68 IDR 12.82 IDR 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.6%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−43.9%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.3%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.4% (2020) → −82.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

OLIV screens 491% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 319 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −11% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −81% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −103% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −3% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 65.7× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 61

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Midea Group 000333 ¥86.26 ¥129.42 +50%
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 ¥38.74 ¥97.62 +152%
Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥21.01 ¥45.72 +118%
King Slide Works Co 2059 12,080 TWD 4,427 TWD −63%
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 ¥197.50 ¥38.83 −80%
SharkNinja, Inc SN $160.80 $93.33 −42%
Somnigroup International Inc SGI $66.76 $31.69 −53%
De'Longhi S.p.A DLG €39.34 €39.34 +0%
Mohawk Industries, Inc MHK $126.79 $119.26 −6%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥29.12 ¥50.62 +74%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OLIV

Frequently asked questions

Is Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10.15 IDR versus a price of 60.00 IDR, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OLIV?
Our model-based fair value for Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is 10.15 IDR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 60.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of OLIV?
Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 10.15 IDR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 8.51 IDR, optimistic scenario 12.06 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 10.15 IDR, about −83% upside versus a price of 60.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 8.51 IDR, optimistic scenario 12.06 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 10.2B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT would have to grow free cash flow by +28.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -20.3 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OLIV use?
Our models discount Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.34, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT that is +28.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT grew -20.3 % a year. The price currently implies +28.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (+28.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.09 %: that much free cash flow Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT it is 10.15 IDR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 60.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, OLIV trades above its calculated fair value: price 60.00 IDR, fair value 10.15 IDR, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OLIV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (60.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (10.15 IDR). For Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT the two are 49.85 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT worth?
The market values Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT at about 114B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 60.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 10.15 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OLIV?
Our models span a range for Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT: cautious scenario 8.51 IDR, base 10.15 IDR, optimistic 12.06 IDR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 60.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OLIV?
Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 65.7 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 10.15 IDR is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −20.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OLIV from its 52-week high?
Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT trades at 60.00 IDR, about 71% below its 52-week high of 204.00 IDR and 253% above the low of 17.00 IDR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 10.15 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, King Slide Works Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 60.00 IDR, calculated fair value 10.15 IDR (−83%), Quality Score 60/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OLIV calculated?
We run Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 10.15 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (12.06 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT

How large is the market capitalisation of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
The market capitalisation of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is 114B IDR (≈ $11.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is 9.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
Earnings per share at Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT are 0.9130 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 65.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
The net margin of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is −81.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is −20.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is −6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
The operating margin of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is −103% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
Revenue at Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is growing −3.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −43.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
Earnings per share at Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT are growing −80.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV) carry?
The net debt of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is 3.5B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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