Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT stock IDR 12, price IDR 46, upside -74.7%, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value 30%+ above price?No
Quality 50+?Yes
In an uptrend?No
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range 4.00 IDR – 187.00 IDR · fair‑value band 9.97 IDR – 13.34 IDR · the 46.00 IDR price screens above the 11.66 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 24, 2026.
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PT Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk engages in the wholesale trading of household appliances and equipment in Indonesia. The company offers cork, woven goods from straw, rattan, bamboo, and other related products.
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It also engages in the retail trading of glassware; kitchen supplies and utensils; specialized carpets, rugs, and wall and floor coverings; and stone, clay, wood, bamboo or rattan, and textiles.
In addition, the company is involved in the completion of building construction and interior design activities. The company sells its products through postal retail trade; internet ordering; and furniture and other wood goods industries.
PT Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Jakarta Timur, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV) currently trades at 46.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.66 IDR, 74.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 17.10 IDR per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 46.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 4.58 IDR, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 9.97 IDR (bear) to 13.34 IDR (bull), the price of 46.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT reported revenue of 10.2B IDR in FY2025 versus 50.4B IDR in FY2021, a compound −33.0%/yr. Reported net income was −8.2B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 87.4B IDR (≈ $4.8M) Micro · P/E ratio 50.4 · P/S ratio 5.44 · EPS (TTM) 0.9130 IDR · Net margin −81.1% · Return on equity −21.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.1% · Operating margin −27.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −75%, OLIV screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear9.97 IDRFair Value 11.66 IDRBull13.34 IDR
Price 46.00 IDR · Upside -74.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.7554 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−43.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.4% (2020) → −82.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.0% a year for the price.
Compare Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 297 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OLIV
Frequently asked questions
Is Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11.66 IDR versus a price of 46.00 IDR, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OLIV?
Our model-based fair value for Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is 11.66 IDR (as of Oct 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 46.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of OLIV?
Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 11.66 IDR (as of Oct 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.97 IDR, optimistic scenario 13.34 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 11.66 IDR, about −75% upside versus a price of 46.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 9.97 IDR, optimistic scenario 13.34 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 16.8B IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT would have to grow free cash flow by +23.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -20.3 % per year. As of Oct 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OLIV use?
Our models discount Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT that is +23.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT grew -20.3 % a year. The price currently implies +23.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (+23.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.72 %: that much free cash flow Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT it is 11.66 IDR per share (as of Oct 24, 2026), against a price of 46.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 24, 2026, OLIV trades above its calculated fair value: price 46.00 IDR, fair value 11.66 IDR, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OLIV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (46.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (11.66 IDR). For Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT the two are 34.34 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT worth?
The market values Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT at about 87.4B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 24, 2026). Per share that is 46.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 11.66 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OLIV?
Our models span a range for Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT: cautious scenario 9.97 IDR, base 11.66 IDR, optimistic 13.34 IDR per share (as of Oct 24, 2026, price 46.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OLIV?
Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 50.4 (as of Oct 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 11.66 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.4, P/S 5.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (as of Oct 24, 2026): return on equity −21.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OLIV from its 52-week high?
Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT trades at 46.00 IDR, about 64% below its 52-week high of 128.00 IDR and 2% above the low of 45.00 IDR (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 11.66 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, King Slide Works Co, SharkNinja, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 24, 2026: price 46.00 IDR, calculated fair value 11.66 IDR (−75%), Quality Score 60/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OLIV calculated?
We run Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 11.66 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 46.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 11.66 IDR, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (13.34 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT
How large is the market capitalisation of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
The market capitalisation of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is 87.4B IDR (≈ $4.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is 5.44 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
Earnings per share at Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT are 0.9130 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 50.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
The net margin of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is −81.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is −21.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is −6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
The operating margin of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is −27.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
Revenue at Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is growing +138% versus a year earlier (3y avg −43.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV)?
Earnings per share at Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT are growing −80.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT (OLIV) carry?
The net debt of Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera Tbk PT is 3.5B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 24, 2026