Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc $0.48, price $1.98, upside -75.8%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.3389 – $2.16 · fair‑value band $0.4300 – $0.5200 · the $1.98 price screens above the $0.4800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc. manufactures and sells metal alloys, composite components, and fastener systems in the United States and Canada. The company offers components for aerospace, military, specialty automotive, sports, and recreational industries. It also manufactures track spikes used in track shoes.
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Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc. manufactures and sells metal alloys, composite components, and fastener systems in the United States and Canada. The company offers components for aerospace, military, specialty automotive, sports, and recreational industries. It also manufactures track spikes used in track shoes. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Cerritos, California.
Stock analysis
Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF) currently trades at $1.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4800, 75.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $1.23 per share, and 3 of the 24 models we run sit above the $1.98 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0800, and 21 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $0.4300 (bear) to $0.5200 (bull), the price of $1.98 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc reported revenue of $14.9M in FY2025 versus $5.8M in FY2021, a compound +26.9%/yr. Reported net income was $118K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $30.6M · P/E ratio 66.0 · P/S ratio 0.52 · EPS (TTM) $0.0300 · Net margin 0.8% · Return on equity 2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.3% · Operating margin 18.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 120% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −57% fair-value upside, at −76%, OLNCF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.4300Fair Value $0.4800Bull $0.5200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0227 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.2% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−27% → 4%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.9% a year for the price.
Compare Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 252 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−72.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2.7% · Below median
Return on assets3.1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2.6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)18.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth32.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)66.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.30× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)2.09× · Pricier than median
P/FCF31.0× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA19.2× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 53
PAST (return on equity)11· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 24
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4800 versus a price of $1.98, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OLNCF?
Our model-based fair value for Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc is $0.4800 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.98.
What is the quality score of OLNCF?
Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4800 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.4300, optimistic scenario $0.5200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4800, about −76% upside versus a price of $1.98 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.4300, optimistic scenario $0.5200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF)?
Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $16.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +17.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OLNCF use?
Our models discount Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc that is +17.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc grew +17.4 % a year. The price currently implies +17.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (+17.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.52 %: that much free cash flow Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc it is $0.4800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.98. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, OLNCF trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.98, fair value $0.4800, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OLNCF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4800). For Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc the two are $1.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc worth?
The market values Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc at about $30.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.98; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OLNCF?
Our models span a range for Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc: cautious scenario $0.4300, base $0.4800, optimistic $0.5200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OLNCF?
Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 66.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.4800 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.3, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 19.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.7%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OLNCF from its 52-week high?
Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc trades at $1.98, about 8% below its 52-week high of $2.16 and 120% above the low of $0.9000 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ATI Inc, Carpenter Technology Corporation, Mueller Industries, Inc, Bharat Forge Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.98, calculated fair value $0.4800 (−76%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OLNCF calculated?
We run Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.98. Our model-based fair value is $0.4800, about −76% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.5200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF)?
The market capitalisation of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc is $30.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc is 0.52 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF)?
Earnings per share at Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc are $0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 66.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF)?
The net margin of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc is 0.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc is −2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF)?
The operating margin of Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc is 18.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF)?
Revenue at Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc is growing +32.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc (OLNCF)?
Earnings per share at Omni-Lite Industries Canada Inc are growing +272% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026