Olymp S.A (OLY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Olymp S.A stock PLN 0.08, price PLN 0.24, that is 66.0% below the price, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
45‑month range 0.1630 PLN – 2.08 PLN · fair‑value band 0.0700 PLN – 0.0900 PLN · the 0.2350 PLN price screens above the 0.0800 PLN fair value. As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Olymp S.A. produces and distributes gym and fitness equipment in Poland. The company is based in Poznan, Poland.
Stock analysis
Olymp S.A (OLY) currently trades at 0.2350 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0800 PLN, 66% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 0.0800 PLN per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the 0.2350 PLN price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 0.0300 PLN, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.0700 PLN (bear) to 0.0900 PLN (bull), the price of 0.2350 PLN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Olymp S.A reported revenue of 691K PLN in FY2025 versus 2.1M PLN in FY2021, a compound −24.1%/yr. Reported net income was −764K PLN in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.4M PLN (≈ $873K) Micro · EPS (TTM) −0.0200 PLN · Net margin −111% · Return on assets (EBIT) −25.0% · Free cash flow 33.5K PLN.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at −66%, OLY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear0.0700 PLNFair Value 0.0800 PLNBull0.0900 PLN
Price 0.2350 PLN · Downside -66.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.10/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−17.7% (2021) → −86.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+47.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Poland: IMF forecast 3.1% a year to 2030, 4.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +42.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 167 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−66.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−24.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−110.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)0.0% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
P/B19.82× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow26.1× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 41
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 27
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 52
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Olymp S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OLY.WAR
Frequently asked questions
Is Olymp S.A (OLY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0800 PLN versus a price of 0.2350 PLN, about 66% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OLY?
Our model-based fair value for Olymp S.A is 0.0800 PLN (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.2350 PLN.
What is the quality score of OLY?
Olymp S.A has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Olymp S.A (OLY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0800 PLN (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0700 PLN, optimistic scenario 0.0900 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Olymp S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0800 PLN, about 66% lower versus a price of 0.2350 PLN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0700 PLN, optimistic scenario 0.0900 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Olymp S.A (OLY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Olymp S.A would have to grow free cash flow by +47.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew -24.1 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OLY use?
Our models discount Olymp S.A at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Poland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Olymp S.A that is +47.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Olymp S.A (OLY) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Olymp S.A grew -24.1 % a year. The price currently implies +47.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Olymp S.A (OLY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Olymp S.A (+47.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Olymp S.A (OLY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.98 %: that much free cash flow Olymp S.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Olymp S.A (OLY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Olymp S.A it is 0.0800 PLN per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 0.2350 PLN. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Olymp S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, OLY trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.2350 PLN, fair value 0.0800 PLN, a gap of about −66% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OLY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.2350 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0800 PLN). For Olymp S.A the two are 0.1550 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Olymp S.A worth?
The market values Olymp S.A at about 3.4M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 0.2350 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0800 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OLY?
Our models span a range for Olymp S.A: cautious scenario 0.0700 PLN, base 0.0800 PLN, optimistic 0.0900 PLN per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 0.2350 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is OLY from its 52-week high?
Olymp S.A trades at 0.2350 PLN, about 34% below its 52-week high of 0.3540 PLN and 44% above the low of 0.1630 PLN (as of Nov 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0800 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Olymp S.A?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Pop Mart International Group, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, Life Time Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Olymp S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 0.2350 PLN, calculated fair value 0.0800 PLN (−66%), Quality Score 42/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OLY calculated?
We run Olymp S.A through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0800 PLN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0% above its aggregate fair value. Olymp S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Olymp S.A (OLY)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was 0.2350 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 0.0800 PLN, about 66% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Olymp S.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0900 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Olymp S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Olymp S.A (OLY)?
The market capitalisation of Olymp S.A is 3.4M PLN (≈ $873K). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Olymp S.A (OLY)?
Earnings per share at Olymp S.A are −0.0200 PLN. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Olymp S.A (OLY)?
The net margin of Olymp S.A is −111% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Olymp S.A (OLY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Olymp S.A is −25.0% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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