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Technical Olympic S.A (OLYMP) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · GR · Market cap €96.8M

TO Technical Olympic S.A OLYMP · AT
Price€2.35
Fair Value€1.56
Upside-33.6%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: Medium Range €1.34 – €1.65 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −1.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 34% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€1.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€3.07 €1.40 Fair Value €1.56 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.40 – €3.07 · fair‑value band €1.34 – €1.65 · the €2.35 price screens above the €1.56 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Technical Olympic S.A (OLYMP) currently trades at €2.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.56, implying the stock looks roughly 33.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Technical Olympic S.A generated revenue of €20.4M at a net margin of 14.5%. Revenue declined 19.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 24.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €1.34 (bear case) to €1.65 (bull case); at €2.35, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -34%, OLYMP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €5.09 €7.44 €11.11 80
ROIC Compounder €1.33 €1.34 €1.35 72
Growth-Adj P/E €2.38 €3.40 €4.42 68
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €5.35 €6.99 €11.77 38
Owner Earnings €2.85 €4.37 €7.02 31
5Y Revenue Exit €2.83 €3.19 €3.89 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €3.60 €4.74 €6.96 41
5Y P/E Exit €3.47 €5.18 €7.32 38
10Y Revenue Exit €3.76 €4.99 €5.28 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €4.24 €6.40 €9.72 37
10Y P/E Exit €4.17 €6.18 €9.11 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €0.5100 €3.53 €4.95 54
Lynch FV €1.82 €2.60 €3.38 50
PEG = 1.0 €1.82 €2.60 €3.38 46
EPV €1.33 €1.34 €1.35 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €1.17 €1.56 €1.95 63
P/S Multiple €0.7700 €1.02 €1.28 58
P/B Multiple €0.9500 €1.26 €1.58 55
EV/EBIT €1.50 €1.57 €1.65 53
EV/EBITDA €2.63 €3.09 €3.54 54
EV/Revenue €1.43 €1.50 €1.57 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.36 €3.16 €4.72 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €5.09 €7.44 €11.11 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income €2.94 €2.65 €1.74 61
ROIC Compounder €1.33 €1.34 €1.35 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €2.38 €3.40 €4.42 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€7.44) versus Economic Profit (€1.34). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €20.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) -19.8%
Net margin 14.5%
Return on equity 2.4%
Free cash flow €13.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 24.3
More key figures
Operating margin -21.7%
EPS (TTM) €0.1000
EPS growth (YoY) -31.8%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 96
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Technical Olympic S.A. engages in the construction, shipping, and marina management businesses in Greece, Romania, and Cyprus. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Athens, Greece.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Technical Olympic S.A reported revenue of €20.4M in FY2025 versus €6.8M in FY2021, a compound +31.5%/yr. Reported net income was €3.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€20.4M
Latest YoY
+6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+106.7%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.7%
Revenue +31.5%/yr
FY21 €6.8M
FY22 €14.0M
FY23 €16.3M
FY24 €19.1M
FY25 €20.4M
Net income
FY21 −€4.4M
FY22 €765K
FY23 €1.2M
FY24 €5.3M
FY25 €3.0M

OLYMP screens 34% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Technical Olympic S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OLYMP

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 841 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −34% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -22% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -20% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.60× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 5.49× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 8.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 15
FUTURE 0 · sector 17
PAST 10 · sector 26
HEALTH 98 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Technical Olympic S.A (OLYMP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.56 versus a price of €2.35, about −34% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OLYMP?
Our model-based fair value for Technical Olympic S.A is €1.56 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €2.35.
What is the quality score of OLYMP?
Technical Olympic S.A has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Technical Olympic S.A (OLYMP)?
Technical Olympic S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €20.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OLYMP?
The net profit margin of Technical Olympic S.A is about 14.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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