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Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp $0.59, price $1.55, upside -61.9%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN US68275E1047

OV Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp

ONVC · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $0.5900 · Strongly overvalued (−62%)
!Quality 57/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Moderate moat 45/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$3.70 $0.2700 Fair Value $0.5900 Jun 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.2700 – $3.70 · fair‑value band $0.4500 – $0.7400 · the $1.55 price screens above the $0.5900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp., through its subsidiaries, provides vacation travel and marketing services in the United States. The company offers vacation services for affluent retiree markets.

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Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp., through its subsidiaries, provides vacation travel and marketing services in the United States. The company offers vacation services for affluent retiree markets. It also involved in developing and selling river, ocean, and land vacation packages; publishes three travel newsletters under the Top Travel Deals, Spotlight, and TravelFlash brands; selling online of golf training aids; and operates a cruises franchise that focused on travel sales through mobile agents, as well as a website that connects travelers to purchase hotel, resort, and vacation packages. The company was founded in 1972 and is based in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.

Stock analysis

Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC) currently trades at $1.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5900, implying the stock looks roughly 162.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $1.33 per share, and 5 of the 24 models we run sit above the $1.55 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.2300, and 19 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $0.4500 (bear) to $0.7400 (bull), the price of $1.55 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp reported revenue of $19.0M in FY2023 versus $20.9M in FY2019, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was $205K in FY2023, compounding −48.6%/yr from FY2019.

Key figures

Market cap $15.6M · P/E ratio 15.5 · P/S ratio 0.17 · EPS (TTM) $0.1000 · Net margin 1.1% · Return on equity 36.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.7% · Operating margin −25.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −62%, ONVC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.4500 Fair Value $0.5900 Bull $0.7400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $1.24 $2.03 $3.37 78
Growth DCF $1.23 $1.94 $3.10 77
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.04 $1.63 $2.36 75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.24 $2.03 $3.37 78
Owner Earnings $1.76 $2.96 $4.99 74
5Y Revenue Exit $0.7000 $0.9200 $1.20 74
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.04 $1.63 $2.36 75
5Y P/E Exit $0.8300 $1.19 $1.58 71
10Y Revenue Exit $0.8700 $1.14 $1.52 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.10 $1.65 $2.47 68
10Y P/E Exit $0.9600 $1.33 $1.83 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.1800 $0.8600 $1.19 64
Lynch FV $0.2300 $0.3300 $0.4200 61
PEG = 1.0 $0.2300 $0.3300 $0.4200 57
EPV $0.4200 $0.4500 $0.4800 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.4500 $0.5900 $0.7400 63
P/S Multiple $0.3400 $0.4600 $0.5700 58
P/B Multiple $0.3400 $0.4600 $0.5700 55
EV/EBIT $0.5500 $0.6600 $0.7700 66
EV/EBITDA $1.01 $1.28 $1.54 67
EV/Revenue $0.4400 $0.5300 $0.6300 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1700 $0.2300 $0.3500 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.23 $1.94 $3.10 77
Rev-Margin DCF $0.7000 $0.9300 $1.23 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.2800 $0.3000 $0.3300 71
ROIC Compounder $0.4400 $0.5200 $0.6200 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.3700 $0.5300 $0.6900 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 5
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−32.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−32.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−26% vs −9%, slowing
Profit margin 2018 to 2023 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 1%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +21.6% a year for the price.

ONVC screens 163% overvalued. Compare with Booking Holdings →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Travel Services · 88 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −62% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −25% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 17% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.84× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 5.86× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.86× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 59.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 50
FUTURE (revenue growth)86 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)58 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Booking Holdings BKNG $164.22 $187.11 +14%
Airbnb, Inc ABNB $149.58 $164.54 +10%
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL $230.30 $208.66 −9%
Viking Holdings VIK $81.02 $89.12 +10%
Carnival Corporation CCL $21.80 $36.68 +68%
Expedia Group EXPE $280.70 $308.77 +10%
Trip.com Group 9961 HK$323.40 HK$679.13 +110%
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH $14.22 $20.28 +43%
Global Business Travel Group GBTG $9.46 $5.23 −45%
Travel + Leisure Co TNL $62.87 $35.88 −43%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ONVC

Frequently asked questions

Is Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5900 versus a price of $1.55, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ONVC?
Our model-based fair value for Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp is $0.5900 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.55.
What is the quality score of ONVC?
Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.5900 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.4500, optimistic scenario $0.7400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.5900, about −62% upside versus a price of $1.55 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.4500, optimistic scenario $0.7400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC)?
Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $18.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +24.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ONVC use?
Our models discount Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.67, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp that is +24.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp grew +0.8 % a year. The price currently implies +24.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (+24.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.22 %: that much free cash flow Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp it is $0.5900 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1.55. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ONVC trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.55, fair value $0.5900, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ONVC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.5900). For Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp the two are $0.9600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp worth?
The market values Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp at about $15.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.55; our models calculate a fair value of $0.5900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ONVC?
Our models span a range for Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp: cautious scenario $0.4500, base $0.5900, optimistic $0.7400 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ONVC?
Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.5900 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.9, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 7.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 36.8%, debt of 0.84 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ONVC from its 52-week high?
Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp trades at $1.55, about 46% below its 52-week high of $2.89 and at the low of $1.55 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.5900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Booking Holdings, Airbnb, Inc, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd, Viking Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1.55, calculated fair value $0.5900 (−62%), Quality Score 57/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ONVC calculated?
We run Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.5900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $1.55. Our model-based fair value is $0.5900, about −62% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC) come from?
Earnings per share at Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp grew −0.6 % a year from 2013 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.3 %, EBIT margin −9.6 %, tax rate +3.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC)?
The market capitalisation of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp is $15.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp is 0.17 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC)?
Earnings per share at Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp are $0.1000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC)?
The net margin of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp is 1.1% (fiscal year 2023). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp is 36.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp is −0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC)?
The operating margin of Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp is −25.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC)?
Revenue at Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp is growing +17.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp (ONVC) hold?
Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp holds more cash than debt, $2.2M net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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