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Online Vacation Center Holdings (ONVC) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $15.6M

OV Online Vacation Center Holdings logo Online Vacation Center Holdings ONVC · US
Price$1.80
Fair Value$0.5900
Upside-67.2%
Quality57/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.4500 – $0.7400 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $0.6100 to $0.5900 (−3.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −9.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 67% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$3.70 $0.2700 Fair Value $0.5900 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.2700 – $3.70 · fair‑value band $0.4500 – $0.7400 · the $1.80 price screens above the $0.5900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Online Vacation Center Holdings (ONVC) currently trades at $1.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5900, implying the stock looks roughly 67.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Online Vacation Center Holdings generated revenue of $18.2M at a net margin of 4.2%. Revenue grew 17.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 36.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.4500 (bear case) to $0.7400 (bull case); at $1.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -67%, ONVC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.5400 $0.7200 $0.9600 80
Residual Income $0.2600 $0.2700 $0.2700 76
Rev-Margin DCF $0.4800 $0.6500 $0.8700 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.5400 $0.7600 $1.07 38
Owner Earnings $0.9500 $1.43 $2.13 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.4800 $0.6500 $0.8800 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.7800 $1.29 $1.94 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.5900 $0.8800 $1.23 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.4900 $0.6500 $0.8900 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.6700 $1.06 $1.67 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.5600 $0.8000 $1.15 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.1800 $0.9200 $1.27 54
Lynch FV $0.2500 $0.3600 $0.4600 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.2500 $0.3600 $0.4600 46
EPV $0.3700 $0.3900 $0.4100 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.3200 $0.5400 $0.7000 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.3200 $0.5100 $0.5800 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.4500 $0.5900 $0.7400 63
P/S Multiple $0.3400 $0.4600 $0.5700 58
P/B Multiple $0.3400 $0.4600 $0.5700 55
EV/EBIT $0.5500 $0.6600 $0.7700 53
EV/EBITDA $1.01 $1.28 $1.54 54
EV/Revenue $0.4400 $0.5300 $0.6300 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1700 $0.2300 $0.3500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.5400 $0.7200 $0.9600 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.4800 $0.6500 $0.8700 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.2600 $0.2700 $0.2700 76
ROIC Compounder $0.3800 $0.4200 $0.4700 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.3900 $0.5600 $0.7200 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.8000) versus Asset-Based ($0.2300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $18.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.2%
Net margin 4.2%
Return on equity 36.8%
Free cash flow $262K FY2023
P/E ratio 20.5
More key figures
Operating margin -25.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.1000
Net cash $2.2M FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 5
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 57
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp., through its subsidiaries, provides vacation travel and marketing services in the United States. The company offers vacation services for affluent retiree markets.

Full company description

Online Vacation Center Holdings Corp., through its subsidiaries, provides vacation travel and marketing services in the United States. The company offers vacation services for affluent retiree markets. It also involved in developing and selling river, ocean, and land vacation packages; publishes three travel newsletters under the Top Travel Deals, Spotlight, and TravelFlash brands; selling online of golf training aids; and operates a cruises franchise that focused on travel sales through mobile agents, as well as a website that connects travelers to purchase hotel, resort, and vacation packages. The company was founded in 1972 and is based in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2019 – FY2023 · reported fiscal years

Online Vacation Center Holdings reported revenue of $19.0M in FY2023 versus $20.9M in FY2019, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was $205K in FY2023, compounding −48.6%/yr from FY2019.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2023)
$19.0M
Latest YoY
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.7%
Revenue −2.4%/yr
FY19 $20.9M
FY20 $9.1M
FY21 $7.4M
FY22 $18.2M
FY23 $19.0M
Net income −48.6%/yr
FY19 $2.9M
FY20 −$1.7M
FY21 $960K
FY22 $761K
FY23 $205K
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2023) −0.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.3 pp

of which total revenue +3.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +5.6 pp

EBIT margin −9.6 pp
Tax rate +3.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

ONVC screens 67% overvalued. Compare with Booking Holdings →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Online Vacation Center Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ONVC

Peer Group

Travel Services · 90 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −67% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -25% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 17% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.84× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.86× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.86× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 59.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 19
FUTURE 86 · sector 25
PAST 100 · sector 36
HEALTH 58 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Booking Holdings BKNG $182.80 $152.94 -16%
Airbnb, Inc ABNB $148.62 $57.47 -61%
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL $286.96 $215.19 -25%
Viking Holdings VIK $100.69 $43.51 -57%
Carnival Corporation CCL $26.41 $31.36 +19%
Expedia Group EXPE $268.77 $248.63 -7%
Trip.com Group TCOM $42.45 $88.82 +109%
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH $19.46 $20.28 +4%
Global Business Travel Group GBTG $9.40 $4.17 -56%
Travel + Leisure Co TNL $73.27 $27.29 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Online Vacation Center Holdings (ONVC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5900 versus a price of $1.80, about −67% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ONVC?
Our model-based fair value for Online Vacation Center Holdings is $0.5900 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.80.
What is the quality score of ONVC?
Online Vacation Center Holdings has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Online Vacation Center Holdings (ONVC)?
Online Vacation Center Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $18.2M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ONVC?
The net profit margin of Online Vacation Center Holdings is about 4.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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