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Oportun Financial Corporation (OPRT) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $236M

OF Oportun Financial Corporation logo Oportun Financial Corporation OPRT · US
Price$8.09
Fair Value$6.10
Upside-24.6%
Quality49/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.5% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: High Range $4.57 – $7.62 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +48.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 25% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$27.74 $2.13 Fair Value $6.10 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.13 – $27.74 · fair‑value band $4.57 – $7.62 · the $8.09 price screens above the $6.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Oportun Financial Corporation (OPRT) currently trades at $8.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.10, implying the stock looks roughly 24.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Oportun Financial Corporation generated revenue of $727M at a net margin of 2.5%. Revenue grew 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.7%. Net debt stands at $2.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.57 (bear case) to $7.62 (bull case); at $8.09, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 101% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -25%, OPRT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $20.02 $63.10 $121.51 80
Residual Income $6.12 $6.11 $5.58 76
Rev-Margin DCF $1.87 74
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
10Y P/E Exit $9.30 $27.12 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.75 $18.36 $25.30 54
Lynch FV $4.93 $7.04 $9.16 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple $5.38 $7.18 $8.97 63
P/B Multiple $7.04 $9.38 $11.73 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.26 $5.71 $8.53 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $20.02 $63.10 $121.51 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.87 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $6.12 $6.11 $5.58 76

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($63.10) versus Asset-Based ($5.71). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $727M
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.3%
Net margin 2.5%
Return on equity 4.7%
Free cash flow $389M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.9
More key figures
Operating margin 2.5%
EPS (TTM) $0.3700
EPS growth (YoY) -76.5%
Net debt $2.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 86
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 11
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 21
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 76
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Oportun Financial Corporation provides financial services in the United States. The company offers personal loans and credit cards. It serves customers through online and over the phone, as well as through retail and Lending as a Service partner locations. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in San Mateo, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Oportun Financial Corporation reported revenue of $637M in FY2025 versus $578M in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was $25.2M in FY2025, compounding −14.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$637M
Latest YoY
+19.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.6%
Revenue +2.5%/yr
FY21 $578M
FY22 $734M
FY23 $460M
FY24 $533M
FY25 $637M
Net income −14.6%/yr
FY21 $47.4M
FY22 −$77.7M
FY23 −$180M
FY24 −$78.7M
FY25 $25.2M

OPRT screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oportun Financial Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OPRT

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Credit Services · 331 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −25% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Debt / equity 7.18× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.61× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.32× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 16.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 1 · sector 37
FUTURE 7 · sector 39
PAST 19 · sector 32
HEALTH 0 · sector 58
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Oportun Financial Corporation (OPRT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.10 versus a price of $8.09, about −25% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OPRT?
Our model-based fair value for Oportun Financial Corporation is $6.10 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.09.
What is the quality score of OPRT?
Oportun Financial Corporation has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Oportun Financial Corporation (OPRT)?
Oportun Financial Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $727M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OPRT?
The net profit margin of Oportun Financial Corporation is about 2.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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