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OptiCept Technologies AB (OPTI) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SE · Market cap 267M SEK

OT OptiCept Technologies AB OPTI · ST
Pricekr 2.65
Fair Valuekr 1.85
Upside-29.9%
Quality20/100
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Mixed Growth
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Low Range kr 1.38 – kr 2.76 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −15.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 30% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 1.38 to kr 2.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 87.48 kr 1.68 Fair Value kr 1.85 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 1.68 – kr 87.48 · fair‑value band kr 1.38 – kr 2.76 · the kr 2.65 price screens above the kr 1.85 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

OptiCept Technologies AB (OPTI) currently trades at kr 2.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.85, implying the stock looks roughly 29.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 36.8M SEK. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -31.8%. Net debt stands at 44.2M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 1.38 (bear case) to kr 2.76 (bull case); at kr 2.65, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -30%, OPTI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 1.62 kr 2.18 kr 3.25 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 1.62 kr 2.18 kr 3.25 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 36.8M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.5%
Net margin -278%
Return on equity -31.8%
Free cash flow −54.2M SEK FY2025
Operating margin -182%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) kr -1.57
Net debt 44.2M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 20/100

Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

OptiCept Technologies AB (publ) operates as a food and plant tech company in Sweden and internationally. It designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells technology platforms that are integrated into the production process in the food and plant industry.

Full company description

OptiCept Technologies AB (publ) operates as a food and plant tech company in Sweden and internationally. It designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells technology platforms that are integrated into the production process in the food and plant industry. The company also operates controlled environment pulsed electric field treatment (CEPT), a pulsed electric field for food product; and OptiBoost, a vacuum infusion (VI) for plant products. Its products are used in dried fruits and vegetables, fruits and vegetable juice, olive oil, potato processing, cut flowers, and forest and plant cuttings industries. The company was formerly known as OptiFreeze AB (publ) and changed its name to OptiCept Technologies AB (publ) in July 2021. OptiCept Technologies AB (publ) was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Lund, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

OptiCept Technologies AB reported revenue of kr 27.9M in FY2025 versus kr 4.4M in FY2021, a compound +58.3%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 90.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
27.9M SEK
Latest YoY
+57.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+38.5%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+96.2%
Revenue +58.3%/yr
FY21 kr 4.4M
FY22 kr 10.5M
FY23 kr 9.1M
FY24 kr 17.7M
FY25 kr 27.9M
Net income
FY21 −kr 47.3M
FY22 −kr 100M
FY23 −kr 80.4M
FY24 −kr 55.7M
FY25 −kr 90.5M

OPTI screens 30% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OptiCept Technologies AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OPTI

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −30% · Above median
Return on assets -14% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -182% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.76× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 8 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is OptiCept Technologies AB (OPTI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 1.85 versus a price of kr 2.65, about −30% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OPTI?
Our model-based fair value for OptiCept Technologies AB is kr 1.85 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 2.65.
What is the quality score of OPTI?
OptiCept Technologies AB has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of OptiCept Technologies AB (OPTI)?
OptiCept Technologies AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 36.8M SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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