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Ordell Minerals Ltd (ORD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ordell Minerals Ltd stock A$0.09, price A$0.45, upside -81.1%, quality 33 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU

OM Ordell Minerals Ltd logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

Ordell Minerals Ltd

ORD · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 81% below what the stock costs today.

Fair value A$0.0850 · Strongly overvalued (−81.1%)
Quality 33/100
Weak Growth
Trails peers (0/6)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.9800 A$0.2050 Fair Value A$0.0850 Jul 2024 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

27‑month range A$0.2050 – A$0.9800 · fair‑value band A$0.0595 – A$0.1020 · the A$0.4500 price screens above the A$0.0850 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Ordell Minerals Limited engages in the evaluation, acquisition, exploration, and evaluation of mineral properties in Australia. It explores gold, lithium, and nickel deposits. The company holds 80.3% interest in its flagship Barimaia Project, located in the Murchison region of Western Australia.

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Ordell Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2022 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Ordell Minerals Ltd (ORD) currently trades at A$0.4500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0850, 81.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0595 (bear) to A$0.1020 (bull), the price of A$0.4500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Ordell Minerals Ltd reported revenue of A$80.6K in FY2024 versus A$0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −A$6.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$34.0M (≈ $23.9M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.1000 · Return on equity −87.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −59.5% · Operating margin −4,750% · Revenue (TTM) A$165K · Revenue growth (YoY) +8.5% · Net cash A$295K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −81%, ORD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0595 Fair Value A$0.0850 Bull A$0.1020
Price A$0.4500 · Upside -81.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0700 A$0.1000 A$0.1200 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0700 A$0.1000 A$0.1200 53

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 77
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 11
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 1
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 34
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 34
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ORD screens overvalued: fair value 81% below the price. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 201 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −81.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −55.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 8.5% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.56× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)43 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $22.98 $51.08 +122% vs ORD
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥27.85 ¥44.62 +60% vs ORD
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $183.11 $219.71 +20% vs ORD
Newmont Corporation NEM $112.64 $123.90 +10% vs ORD
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $231.60 $254.76 +10% vs ORD
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $236.83 $260.51 +10% vs ORD
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $87.25 $88.60 +2% vs ORD
Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 ¥25.22 ¥23.61 −6% vs ORD
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$25.42 A$19.85 −22% vs ORD
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $123.26 $88.26 −28% vs ORD

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Ordell Minerals Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0850 −81%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ordell Minerals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ORD

Frequently asked questions

Is Ordell Minerals Ltd (ORD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0850 versus a price of A$0.4500, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ORD?
Our model-based fair value for Ordell Minerals Ltd is A$0.0850 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.4500.
What is the quality score of ORD?
Ordell Minerals Ltd has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ordell Minerals Ltd (ORD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0850 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0595, optimistic scenario A$0.1020. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ordell Minerals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0850, about −81% upside versus a price of A$0.4500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0595, optimistic scenario A$0.1020. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ordell Minerals Ltd (ORD)?
Ordell Minerals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$165K (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ordell Minerals Ltd (ORD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ordell Minerals Ltd it is A$0.0850 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of A$0.4500. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ordell Minerals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, ORD trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.4500, fair value A$0.0850, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ORD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.4500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0850). For Ordell Minerals Ltd the two are A$0.3650 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ordell Minerals Ltd worth?
The market values Ordell Minerals Ltd at about A$34.0M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is A$0.4500; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0850 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ORD?
Our models span a range for Ordell Minerals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0595, base A$0.0850, optimistic A$0.1020 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price A$0.4500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ordell Minerals Ltd (ORD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ordell Minerals Ltd (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity −87.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ORD from its 52-week high?
Ordell Minerals Ltd trades at A$0.4500, about 54% below its 52-week high of A$0.9800 and 22% above the low of A$0.3700 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0850 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ordell Minerals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ordell Minerals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price A$0.4500, calculated fair value A$0.0850 (−81%), Quality Score 33/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ORD calculated?
We run Ordell Minerals Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0850, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Ordell Minerals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ordell Minerals Ltd (ORD)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was A$0.4500. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0850, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ordell Minerals Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1020). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Ordell Minerals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Ordell Minerals Ltd (ORD)?
The market capitalisation of Ordell Minerals Ltd is A$34.0M (≈ $23.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Ordell Minerals Ltd (ORD)?
Earnings per share at Ordell Minerals Ltd are A$−0.1000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Ordell Minerals Ltd (ORD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ordell Minerals Ltd is −87.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ordell Minerals Ltd (ORD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ordell Minerals Ltd is −59.5% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ordell Minerals Ltd (ORD)?
The operating margin of Ordell Minerals Ltd is −4,750% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ordell Minerals Ltd (ORD)?
Revenue at Ordell Minerals Ltd is growing +8.5% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Ordell Minerals Ltd (ORD) hold?
Ordell Minerals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$295K net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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